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David Tepper says the Fed has to cut rates at least two or three more times to keep credibility
CNBC ^ | 9/26/2024 | Yun Li

Posted on 09/26/2024 8:51:58 AM PDT by Miami Rebel

Appaloosa Management’s David Tepper said investors should believe the Federal Reserve when it says it will lower interest rates because the central bank has now to keep credibility.

“You just read what these guys are saying,” Tepper said on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” Thursday. “Powell told you something... He told you some kind of recalibration. He has to follow through somewhat. I’m not that smart. I just read what they say and do they have conviction. They usually do what they say, especially when they have this level of conviction.”

The Fed last week sliced half a percentage point off benchmark rates, starting its first easing campaign in four years with an aggressive move despite a pretty stable economy. In addition to this reduction, the central bank indicated through its “dot plot” the equivalent of 50 more basis points of cuts by the end of the year.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the cut was a “recalibration” for the central bank and did not commit to similar moves at each upcoming meeting.

“Probably two or three interest rates, 25 basis point cuts, they have to do, or they lose credibility,” Tepper said. “They’re going to do something besides the 50. You know, another 25, 25, 25 seems like it’s going to have to be done.” (1 basis point equals 0.01%)

‘I don’t love the U.S. markets’

Still, Tepper said the macro setup for U.S. stocks makes him nervous as the Fed eases monetary policy in a relatively solid economy like it did in the 1990s. The super-sized rate cut last week came despite most economic indicators looking fairly solid.

“It was around the 90s in that market where the where the Fed cut rates into Y2K in a good economy,” he said. “Rich in ’97 ....richer after long term credit, and bubble mania in ’99 early 2000 so I don’t love this. I’m a value guy.”

Gross domestic product has been rising steadily, and the Atlanta Fed is tracking 3% growth in the third quarter based on the resilience in consumer spending. Meanwhile, most gauges showed inflation is still well ahead of the Fed’s 2% target. However, there has been a slowdown in the labor market, which partly prompted the oversized rate reduction.

‘Sure as heck won’t be short’

The widely followed hedge fund manager said while the central bank’s move gave him hesitation, he certainly is not betting against U.S. equities because of the immediate benefits of easy policy.

“I don’t love the U.S. markets on a value standpoint, but I sure as heck won’t be short, because I would be nervous as heck about the setup with easy money everywhere, a relatively good economy,” Tepper said. “It would make me nervous, not to be somewhat long the U.S.”

Tepper, who is also the owner of National Football League’s Carolina Panthers team, revealed that he’s going all in on China on the back of a rate cut and a flood of support measures the government recently announced to shore up a flailing economy.

He added that he prefers Asian equities and European equities to U.S. stocks.


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: fed; investing; rates
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Tepper is one of the greatest money managers of recent decades. In the 31 years of Appaloosa, his investors' average return has been 28% after fees.

I haven't touched a Chinese stock in decades, but I might take a flyer on an ETF if the market pulls back from its highs. As to bonds, as I have posted earlier, I took a profit on the TLT at 100 and have been buying corporates (which have all traded up in the last month.)

1 posted on 09/26/2024 8:51:58 AM PDT by Miami Rebel
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To: Miami Rebel

I hope they listen. It will do wonders for my gold and crypto holdings


2 posted on 09/26/2024 8:54:10 AM PDT by montag813
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To: Miami Rebel
yeah. he's clearly long.

credibility

with money managers like tepper

3 posted on 09/26/2024 8:54:54 AM PDT by xoxox
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To: xoxox

Do we need a Fed?


4 posted on 09/26/2024 8:55:40 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: Miami Rebel

“Tepper is one of the greatest money managers of recent decades.”

He sure as heck has no clue how to pick quarterbacks


5 posted on 09/26/2024 9:02:31 AM PDT by God luvs America (6young 3.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: DIRTYSECRET

the horse is a bit out of the barn now, no?


6 posted on 09/26/2024 9:04:29 AM PDT by xoxox
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To: Miami Rebel

If the Fed wanted credibility, they’d submit to an impartial external audit.


7 posted on 09/26/2024 9:06:11 AM PDT by martin_fierro (< |:)~)
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To: DIRTYSECRET
Do we need a Fed?

The Dims do during an election year. Lower rates helps prop up the economy.

8 posted on 09/26/2024 9:06:51 AM PDT by Tell It Right (1 Thessalonians 5:21 -- Put everything to the test, hold fast to that which is true.)
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To: God luvs America
He sure as heck has no clue how to pick quarterbacks

Perhaps his quarterbacks would fare better when they land on teams with the other pieces needed (e.g. o-line, defense, coaching).

Darnold and Mayfield found their footing in new homes.
9 posted on 09/26/2024 9:11:18 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana ("Whatsoever he shall say to you, do ye." (John 2:5))
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To: God luvs America

“He sure as heck has no clue how to pick quarterbacks”

Or quarterbucks


10 posted on 09/26/2024 9:24:32 AM PDT by cymbeline
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To: Miami Rebel

And you thought he was only a medical expert.


11 posted on 09/26/2024 9:25:05 AM PDT by bray (It's not racist to be racist against races the DNC hates.)
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To: Miami Rebel

Fire up the Easy Credit, let’s start Printing Trillions more, should work out just peachy...


12 posted on 09/26/2024 9:26:20 AM PDT by eyeamok
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To: Dr. Sivana

Don’t disagree- Tepper outta stick to managing money rather than football teams


13 posted on 09/26/2024 9:26:29 AM PDT by God luvs America (6young 3.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: montag813

Me too! My savings and CD rates will soon be more that 6%.

It pays to save!


14 posted on 09/26/2024 9:52:08 AM PDT by CodeJockey
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To: Tell It Right
Lower rates helps prop up the economy.

Didn't seem to work this time.

15 posted on 09/26/2024 10:00:23 AM PDT by frogjerk
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To: Miami Rebel
Gross domestic product has been rising steadily, and the Atlanta Fed is tracking 3% growth in the third quarter based on the resilience in consumer spending. Meanwhile, most gauges showed inflation is still well ahead of the Fed’s 2% target. However, there has been a slowdown in the labor market, which partly prompted the oversized rate reduction.

How much of GDP is government spending? Asking for a friend...

16 posted on 09/26/2024 10:01:42 AM PDT by frogjerk
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To: Miami Rebel

And make sure you do it before the ELECTION! We need to fool the American people.

Say goodbye once again to making any safe interest on savings.


17 posted on 09/26/2024 10:04:00 AM PDT by Revel
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To: Miami Rebel

How do you keep what you never had?


18 posted on 09/26/2024 10:05:28 AM PDT by Larry Lucido (Donate! Don't just post clickbait!)
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To: Miami Rebel

No more rate cuts until 1 year from now, or later.


19 posted on 09/26/2024 10:07:04 AM PDT by linMcHlp
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To: montag813
The feds cutting rates right now is more for political reasons than economic ones. They are arranging chairs on the deck of the Titanic. Inflation isn't going anywhere for a while, especially when our government keeps printing and spending money like drunk Nancy Pelosi. Even if Trump wins in November I don't know if he can turn things around. He will definitely be a thousand percent better than the airhead Kamala.
20 posted on 09/26/2024 10:11:17 AM PDT by Rdct29 (The Democrats Are The New Nazi Party )
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