Bookmark, short on time today.
The big picture from what I’ve gathered so far here and elsewhere is that Russia is very slowly taking small bites of territory and Ukraine is worried about material shortages, as always. There are no death/wounded stats for either side that can be trusted. The slow pace of the ground movement indicates both sides are taking pretty heavy losses. That a loser over time for Ukraine.
If the arms supply dries up, the war ends quickly. If the arms supply keeps up, Ukraine continues to lose slowly.
Your thoughts?
About 6 weeks until the whole area turns back into shell churned mud...