[SaxxonWoods]

The big picture from what I’ve gathered so far here and elsewhere is that Russia is very slowly taking small bites of territory and Ukraine is worried about material shortages, as always. There are no death/wounded stats for either side that can be trusted. The slow pace of the ground movement indicates both sides are taking pretty heavy losses. That a loser over time for Ukraine.

If the arms supply dries up, the war ends quickly. If the arms supply keeps up, Ukraine continues to lose slowly.

Your thoughts?

[Chode]

If the arms supply dries up, the war ends quickly. If the arms supply keeps up, Ukraine continues to lose slowly.

prettymuch

a war of attrition for UKR, what happens first, do they run out of projos or do the tubes wear out???

defense is on their side

but RUS can’t sustain their losses attacking either...

[Rockingham]

As a large country with a repressive security state and a traditional reliance on brutal attrition tactics, Russia's military aims to gather enough men and material to grind Ukraine down for a victory of some sort. Nevertheless, the economic and political strains on Russia are such that she cannot achieve victory at a bearable cost.

Putin has signaled repeatedly that he is open to a peace deal of some sort, and the accumulating damage to Russia is more severe than is generally realized. The critical imponderables for Ukraine are Western support and the prospects for a coup against Putin. For the US and Europe, the Ukraine War is integral to security challenges around the world, with continuing losses or a defeat a plus. My guess is that the war will continue.