2020 PA Results
Biden 50.0% 3,459,923
Trump 48.8% 3,378,263
NOW it’s 8 point difference!? NFW.
Not saying Trump wins PA, however, he would help the GOP overall.
the polls probably said there was a big difference then as well. Enough to demoralize a smidgen of voters not to bother which could have made a difference (Wisconsin actually had a prominently reported poll saying Biden was 17 points ahead...where it was also a razor thin margin). Virtually no third party vote either - the marketing campaign that Joe was “safe”...good ol’ Joe...and Trump was “chaos” helped reduce that - Trump had not only more raw votes than 2016, but also a larger share of the vote than in 2016 when he won the state - same in several other states that he won in 2016 but lost in 2020 - he actually had both more votes, but also a higher percentage of the vote. The marketing campaign targeting the former 3rd party voters to vote for “good ol’ Joe” was successful.
Of course you can also see how very little of the vote it would have required to change their minds to flip the result of the election had the media not covered up the Hunter Biden scandal and portrayed Trump as a lunatic making stuff up when he would try to reference it in interviews. “This is 60 Minutes! We can’t report things we can’t verify!”