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New risk score strongly predicts dementia chances within 14 years
Medical Xpress / British Medical Journal / BMJ Mental Health ^ | Aug. 25, 2023 | Melis Anatürk et al

Posted on 09/02/2023 8:27:05 PM PDT by ConservativeMind

A new dementia risk score, which draws on 11 mostly modifiable risk factors, identifies people at risk—from midlife onward—of developing the disease within the next 14 years, suggests a large long term study.

The UK Biobank Dementia Risk Score, or UKBDRS for short, outperformed three other widely used risk scores originally developed in Australia (ANU-ADRI), Finland (CAIDE), and the U.K. (DRS), the findings show.

In all, 220,762 (average age just under 60) people from the UK Biobank study and 2,934 (average age 57) from the Whitehall II study were included in the final analysis.

The researchers compiled a list of 28 established factors associated with a heightened or reduced risk of developing dementia, to which they applied a statistical method (LASSO regression) designed to identify and discard the least relevant factors, and so focus the score on the strongest predictors.

This produced 11 predictive factors for any type of dementia—the UK Biobank Dementia Risk Score (UKBDRS).

The 11 factors were: age; education; history of diabetes; history of/ current depression; history of stroke; parental dementia; economic disadvantage (Townsend deprivation index) high blood pressure; high cholesterol; living alone; and male sex.

Within 14 years, 3,813 (nearly 2%) and 93 (just over 3%) participants developed dementia in the UK Biobank and Whitehall II groups, respectively.

UKBDRS-APOE produced the highest predictive score, closely followed by the UKBDRS, and then age alone, followed by DRS, CAIDE, and finally ANU-ADRI.

Referring to the illustrative example provided, she explains, "While older age (60 and above) and APOE confer the greatest risk, modifiable factors, such as diabetes, depression, and high blood pressure also have a key role. For example, the estimated risk for a person with all of these will be approximately three times higher than that of a person of the same age who doesn't have any."

(Excerpt) Read more at medicalxpress.com ...


TOPICS: Health/Medicine
KEYWORDS: 000000001craparticle; 000001utterbs; dementia; medicalxpress; prediction
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From the writeup:

“The 11 factors were: age; education; history of diabetes; history of/ current depression; history of stroke; parental dementia; economic disadvantage (Townsend deprivation index) high blood pressure; high cholesterol; living alone; and male sex.”

A lot of these are modifiable, even starting today.

1 posted on 09/02/2023 8:27:05 PM PDT by ConservativeMind
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To: ConservativeMind

I’d rather be happily oblivious during the Great Reset.


2 posted on 09/02/2023 8:31:33 PM PDT by Jonty30 (If liberals were truth tellers, they'd call themselves literals. )
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To: ConservativeMind

Obviously not causative factors. Clickbait.

No study could ever come close to replicating even a single one of those other than a statistical link a/k/a a casual relationship. time to start drinking one or more but less than three glasses of red wine per week to prevent heart disease.


3 posted on 09/02/2023 8:33:54 PM PDT by anton
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To: ConservativeMind

Education and economic disadvantage are actually proxies for brain size. People with large brains have more brain cells to lose before they turn into Demonrat voters.


4 posted on 09/02/2023 8:51:23 PM PDT by Reeses
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To: Reeses

“Education and economic disadvantage are actually proxies for brain size. People with large brains have more brain cells to lose”

That’s completely and totally false.


5 posted on 09/02/2023 8:55:42 PM PDT by steve86 (Numquam accusatus, numquam ad curiam ibit, numquam ad carcerem™)
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To: ConservativeMind

We’re they all taking statins?


6 posted on 09/02/2023 9:01:24 PM PDT by TornadoAlley3 ( I'm Proud To Be An Okie From Muskogee)
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To: steve86

I think that was a ‘lite’ joke.


7 posted on 09/02/2023 9:02:37 PM PDT by lee martell
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To: steve86
Low IQ at age 11 does really well at predicting later dementia:

Archival intelligence-test records, long presumed lost, provide a unique opportunity for scientists to compare childhood mental ability and later dementia.

8 posted on 09/02/2023 9:08:44 PM PDT by Reeses
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To: ConservativeMind

Consuming too many carbohydrates, especially seeds and seed oils are bad. Getting too many omega 6 PUFAs are bad. One suspects that these will push someone toward dimentia.


9 posted on 09/02/2023 9:26:21 PM PDT by Seaplaner (Never give in. Never give in. Never, never, never...in nothing, great or small...Winston ChurchIill)
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To: Mazey; ckilmer; goodnesswins; Jane Long; BusterDog; jy8z; ProtectOurFreedom; matthew fuller; ...

The “Take Charge Of Your Health” Ping List

This high volume ping list is for health articles and studies which describe something you or your doctor, when informed, may be able to immediately implement for your benefit.

Email me to get on either the “Common/Top Issues” (20 - 25% fewer pings) or “Everything” list.

10 posted on 09/02/2023 9:45:11 PM PDT by ConservativeMind (Trump: Befuddling Democrats, Republicans, and the Media for the benefit of the US and all mankind.)
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To: ConservativeMind

What?


11 posted on 09/02/2023 10:07:58 PM PDT by Sequoyah101 (Procrastination is just a form of defiance)
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To: Seaplaner

No soy for me! To what type of seeds are you referring?


12 posted on 09/02/2023 10:08:20 PM PDT by madison10
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To: TornadoAlley3

Great question. I believe statins do way more harm than good.


13 posted on 09/02/2023 10:25:56 PM PDT by DennisR (Look around - God gives countless clues that He does, indeed, exist.)
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To: Reeses
People with large brains have more brain cells to lose before they turn into Demonrat voters.

That's why I always tamp little plugs into my ears at night.

Don't want to lose any brain cells, and start voting Dem!

Regards,

14 posted on 09/02/2023 10:31:31 PM PDT by alexander_busek (Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.)
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To: Jonty30
I’d rather be happily oblivious during the Great Reset

You will be among the first lined up against the wall.

Just wow. I sincerely hope I missed the sarcasm tag.

Otherwise, we're doomed

15 posted on 09/02/2023 10:34:30 PM PDT by Don W (When blacks riot, neighborhoods and cities burn. When whites riot, nations and continents burn)
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To: Don W

I’ll take the line up.
I wasnt’ really joking on that point, just because of how bad I think it will be. They intend to kill billions. I wouldn’t want to be a survivor in that world.


16 posted on 09/02/2023 10:36:33 PM PDT by Jonty30 (If liberals were truth tellers, they'd call themselves literals. )
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To: ConservativeMind
The 11 factors were: age; education; history of diabetes; history of/ current depression; history of stroke; parental dementia; economic disadvantage (Townsend deprivation index) high blood pressure; high cholesterol; living alone; and male sex.

I've always avoided "male sex."

Regards,

17 posted on 09/02/2023 10:51:43 PM PDT by alexander_busek (Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.)
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To: ConservativeMind

Damn, could’ve gave this test to Biden when he was VP in 2009 and saved us a lot of headaches


18 posted on 09/03/2023 12:41:51 AM PDT by Mozzafiato
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To: ConservativeMind

I know that I haven’t met everybody in the world with dementia or Alzheimer’s, but the ones I have met seem to have one thing in common. Bad attitude / pessimistic outlook in life / mean steak.

I know it’s not true across the board, but just my own experience.


19 posted on 09/03/2023 3:33:55 AM PDT by MayflowerMadam
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To: ConservativeMind

What is male sex mean? Males? Males having sex with males? Males sexually active?


20 posted on 09/03/2023 4:34:03 AM PDT by Raycpa
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