Posted on 06/08/2023 12:49:56 PM PDT by Red Badger
The Climate Prediction Center has announced that an El Nino weather phenomenon has developed. Such a weather pattern means Atlantic and Gulf coast regions could be more at risk of tropical weather, such as flooding like the kind that affected Palm Beach, Fla., in November. File Photo by Gary I Rothstein/UPI
June 8 (UPI) -- The National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center says an El Nino weather pattern has officially developed, raising the possibility of a more robust hurricane season for Gulf and Atlantic coast regions.
In May, the World Meteorological Organization predicted a high likelihood of an El Nino weather phenomenon developing in 2023. The National Weather Service now confirms that an ocean climate phenomenon has, indeed, occurred.
"El Nino conditions are present and are expected to gradually strengthen into the Northern Hemisphere winter 2023-24," the Climate Prediction Center said in an update Thursday.
"In May, weak El Nino conditions emerged as above-average sea surface temperatures strengthened across the equatorial Pacific Ocean. All of the latest weekly Nino indices were more than +0.5 degrees Celsius," officials at the center said.
The center predicted the climate pattern would continue through this winter and could even strengthen in the fall.
"At its peak, the chance of a strong El Nino is nearly the same as it was last month (56% chance of November-January Nino)," the center said.
An El Nino phenomenon happens when the surface of the Pacific Ocean warms, causing significant weather changes. A La Nina weather phenomenon occurs when the Pacific cools. Together the phenomena form the El Nino/Southern Oscillation cycle, and it can predict the severity of hurricanes at different times in the cycle and in different oceans.
In March, the WMO declared the three-year La Nina phenomenon was over.
In May, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted a "near-normal" hurricane season this year, with 12-17 named storms forecast.
PING!.................
But hurricane season will be near normal. Go figure. Until they can predict the weather tomorrow correctly, they need to stop this nonsense of long term weather. I swear in central Florida they predict heavy rain all day and not a drop falls. Spit on their long term crap.
That's right; There's a big difference.
This is making it sound like it's a rare event, when in fact, it's been part of our weather since well, whenever.
Anything they claim this pattern will do this year is pure BS. They do not know.
The volcanic eruption of the Tonga volcano year ago this past Jan has disrupted weather.
The conservative estimates are that it added at least ten per cent more water vapor into the atmosphere.
The short answer is..they have no clue what is in store and if anything is certain, the weather experienced this past late winter is indicative, then we are in for a hell of a ride.
BTW, they say that water vapor will stay up there for about a decade.
All we need is for another VEI 6 or so, to really get things stirred up.
Agree. I watch the weather "forecasts" pretty closely. In my region, Midwest, the rain forecast can, and does, change hourly. I can see a 50% chance at 8 AM to happen around 1 PM, come back an hour or so later and it's down to 15% by 3 PM. It gets worse when they try to talk snow.
we are extremely hot and dry here in eastern Washington...same as other western states except maybe California that got its share of rain this year....
Climate change causes El Nino, and La Nina, and forest fires and tornadoes and volcanoes and snow and rain and melting of Antarctica and the Arctic and glaciers to melt and ice ages and global warming and rising waters in the oceans and tectonic plate clashes and...hunger and migrations of people and racism and confusion about what genders we are and solar flares...
IOW, we have to stop nature from doing what it’s been doing from the beginning of time. To fight nature, we have to give up our ICE vehicles and stoves and clothes washers and clothes dryers and dishwashers and stop heating and cooling our homes and stop building homes and stop cutting down trees and go back to living in caves, but most importantly, we have to surrender all our assets (including bank accounts) to the government in order to fight climate-change (aka: nature).
Can’t CONgress pass a law? How hard is it?
” and Gulf coast regions could be more at risk of tropical weather”
Note the term “could”. These yahoos seldom get YESTERDAY’S wx right, why should we believe the wx can be predicted months in advance?
This ain’t no El Nino.
This is the result of the global weather modification cloud seeding William Henry Gates III has been perpetrating for decades.
When I lived in Orlando (well, technically Altamonte Springs), we would get afternoon showers just about every day between 1400 and 1600. It would last anywhere from 10-30 minutes, but it was just about every day from May through August.
Time to panic. We’re all gonna die.🤪😜🤪😜
Oh boy...Florida better raise those home insurance rates again.
Let me guess, now they’re blaming humans for El Ninos and La Ninas too...
Climate “prediction” after the fact. Hasn’t Ryan Hall Y’all been talking about this for a month ?
You can read good stuff about the ENSO on WUWT. Suffice it to say here, this is mildly newsworthy but no big deal. They make it sound like it’s some historic anomaly. Wretched creatures.
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