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Where will the next ‘big one’ be in California? Seismologists name faults of top concern
KTLA ^ | Danielle Dawson

Posted on 03/06/2023 3:12:17 PM PST by BenLurkin

The last “big one”-level movements in California’s recorded earthquake history are the 1857 earthquake in the central third of the San Andreas and the 1906 earthquake in the northern third...that’s not to say there haven’t been major earthquakes since then.

The 1989 San Francisco-area earthquake and the 1994 Northridge earthquakes, for instance, were both devastating and destructive shocks...

The impact that a large earthquake has, whether it’s a 6.5 or an 8.0, largely depends on the proximity to urbanized areas.

The southern San Andreas is particularly of concern for experts when looking at places that are overdue for an earthquake above a 7.5, impacting areas like San Bernardino, Palm Springs and Imperial County.

That portion of the 700 mile-long fault has not had an earthquake around that size in magnitude since about 1690...

But scientists are also especially worried about...the Hayward fault, which runs directly under cities in the Bay Area.

With these two areas of concern for seismologists, there are a number of potential scenarios that could play out in the earth’s crust – some of which could look a lot like the catastrophic, magnitude 7.8 earthquake in Turkey and Syria due to similarities in the way those faults are set up compared to California.

One such lesson is the potential for a “doublet” earthquake, or additional earthquakes triggered along nearby faults to one that has a “big one.”

The Hayward fault would be a candidate for a secondary earthquake that is dynamically set off if an earthquake, like a 7.4, were to hit in Southern California, she said, considering how much stress has already built up between the plates – mirroring what was seen in Turkey.

(Excerpt) Read more at ktla.com ...


TOPICS: Local News
KEYWORDS: california; earthquakes; faults; turkey
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To: dragnet2

On top of the fire demand, the body can’t do much more than 4 days without water.


41 posted on 03/06/2023 4:01:36 PM PST by D Rider ( )
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To: Pelham
I was there for the Slymar quake. To this day, I won't live below a dam.
42 posted on 03/06/2023 4:02:05 PM PST by DejaJude (I'll be back, again.)
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To: dragnet2

I remember a big quake out in Landers that just kept rolling and getting stronger and stronger. That one doesn’t get much press because rattlesnakes and dirt were harmed most.


43 posted on 03/06/2023 4:03:20 PM PST by Pelham
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To: SunkenCiv

Great song, Great album.


44 posted on 03/06/2023 4:04:11 PM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: BenLurkin

Major roads down and no power or water. That’s a pretty poor situation to be in.


45 posted on 03/06/2023 4:04:33 PM PST by D Rider ( )
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To: Mean Daddy

“There was a major one in Missouri I believe in the 1800’s.”

The New Madrid quake. IIRC it made church bells ring in Philadelphia and it made the Mississippi River flow backwards.


46 posted on 03/06/2023 4:07:09 PM PST by Pelham
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To: Pelham
My mom lived in Barstow when Landers quake hit. The desert is possibly the safest place for the big one.
47 posted on 03/06/2023 4:19:51 PM PST by DejaJude (I'll be back, again.)
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To: Pelham

I know a friend who was in Big Bear during Landers...A short while later, Big Bear quake hit...He was staying at cabin with 5 other guys. They literally thought the world was coming to an end. Even a stream close by suddenly dried up...


48 posted on 03/06/2023 4:22:08 PM PST by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: BenLurkin

If there is an earthquake in California, who’s fault is it?


49 posted on 03/06/2023 4:22:34 PM PST by WeaslesRippedMyFlesh (wake me up when somebody tells the truth)
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To: cgbg

Wait until the pools dry up.


50 posted on 03/06/2023 4:28:36 PM PST by gundog (It was a bright cold day in April, and the clocks were striking thirteen. )
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To: BenLurkin
I've been in some big'uns in the San Diego area and the Easter Quake by El Centro. They were memorable. Because of that I have been watching for patterns on the Cal Tech earthquake site and only see one thing that is really noticeable:

The area of the San Andreas between Parkfield and Maricopa almost never shows any activity, even minor shakes, while areas north and south of there are always rumbling and grumbling.

While looking at other quake activity on the map it seems to pivot around that spot. There seems to be a lot of "equal and opposite" reactions ie a 3.0 at Petrolia followed by a 3.0 by the Salton Sea within a short time.

I have nothing concrete to support the following but I suspect, as an engineer, that there is a lot of potential energy being stored in the area where nothing shows and when it goes it will go with a bang.

51 posted on 03/06/2023 4:33:16 PM PST by pfflier
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To: BenLurkin
not too familiar with cali geography... what along the east side of the fault line? I mean if the big one hits and the section of the earth falls into the ocean, what is the wave that fills in the hole gonna crash up against on the new shore line??
52 posted on 03/06/2023 4:37:18 PM PST by sit-rep ( )
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To: BenLurkin

Why choose? Let them all kick off together.


53 posted on 03/06/2023 4:41:01 PM PST by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; not averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: BenLurkin; 2Fro; all_mighty_dollar; Arkat Kingtroll; Battle Hymn of the Republic; Betis70; ...

Send FReepmail if you want on/off SVP list
The List of Ping Lists

54 posted on 03/06/2023 4:42:46 PM PST by martin_fierro (< |:)~)
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To: cgbg

SF is the worst place to be in “the big one” imho—especially since things have gone downhill there since the last big quakes


Also there is a large skyscraper that is leaning and they don’t seem to be able to fix it. My guess in a “big one” it will come down.

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/leaning-san-francisco-skyscraper-tilting-3-inches-year-engineers-rush-rcna11389

Much of the build up on the bay side is is re-claimed land and it will most likely turn solid ground into liquid when the big one hits.

https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/what-liquefaction


55 posted on 03/06/2023 4:47:39 PM PST by CIB-173RDABN (I am not an expert in anything, and my opinion is just that, an opinion. I may be wrong.)
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To: cgbg

I hope they have video cameras watching the Millennium Tower 24.7. “TIMBERRRRR....”


56 posted on 03/06/2023 4:47:44 PM PST by ProtectOurFreedom (There is lots of money and power in Green Communism and we all know where Communism ends.)
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

After 35 years there, it got so we didn’t roll out of bed for anything < 5.0


57 posted on 03/06/2023 4:48:06 PM PST by martin_fierro (< |:)~)
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To: DejaJude
Natural-gas fueled fires are the biggest cause of damage. Water heaters tip over and pull the gas pipes out of the wall, then the house fills up with gas and BOOM!!

I put an earthquake gas valve on the line downstream from our meter as soon as we moved in back in '83. It's a real simple gadget -- a ball gets knocked off its perch and lands on the gas exit hole in the valve. No moving parts except for that one ball.

We rode through the 1989 Loma Prieta quake just fine and it didn't kill our gas.

Note the low-tech "level" to get the valve properly mounted. Anybody living in EQ country needs one of these (at least until the GD government steals your water heater, furnace and stove)


58 posted on 03/06/2023 4:54:10 PM PST by ProtectOurFreedom (There is lots of money and power in Green Communism and we all know where Communism ends.)
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To: sit-rep

Ai contraire, the Pacific Plate is lifting.

Supposedly.


59 posted on 03/06/2023 5:00:56 PM PST by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion, or satire, or both.)
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To: BenLurkin
It's the Big One Lamont!

Elizabeth ... I'm coming to see you!!!


60 posted on 03/06/2023 5:06:10 PM PST by CapnJack ( )
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