Posted on 11/10/2022 5:24:30 AM PST by MtnClimber
The under-polled voters were not silent, wary Trump supporters, but seething upscale women and college students.
What, if anything, did the midterms tell us about the country—other than underwhelming Republicans could still take the House and Senate?
During the COVID lockdowns, American elections radically changed to mail-in and early voting. They did so in a wild variety of state-by-state ways. Add ranked voting and a required majority margin to the mess and the result is that once cherished Election Day balloting becomes increasingly irrelevant.
Election Night also no longer exists. Returns are not counted for days. It is intolerable for a modern democracy to wait and wait for all sorts of different ballots both cast and counted under radically different and sometimes dubious conditions.
The Democrats—with overwhelming media and money advantages—have mastered these arts of massive and unprecedented early, mail-in, and absentee voting. Old-fashioned Republicans count on riling up their voters to show up on Election Day. But it is far easier to finesse and control the mail-in ballots than to “get out the vote.”
The country is more divided in more ways than ever. America’s interior just gets redder and the bicoastal corridors bluer.
Exceptional Republican gubernatorial or senatorial candidates like Lee Zeldin, Tudor Dixon, and Tiffany Smiley in blue states like New York, Michigan, or Washington cannot win upsets against even so-so Democratic incumbents—even during a supposedly bad election cycle for Democrats, laboring under a president with a 40 percent approval rating.
Similarly, media-spawned leftist heartthrobs like Beto O’Rourke and Stacey Abrams can burn through hundreds of millions of dollars. But they still cannot unseat workmanlike Republican incumbents in Texas and Georgia.
Out-of-state immigration has only solidified these red-blue brand polarizations.
(Excerpt) Read more at amgreatness.com ...
I am happy we don’t have a Governor O’Rourke or a Governor Abrams!
VDH ping
Indeed it is. But how do we change it?
Republicans need to learn mail ballot techniques. There’s a gap in capabilities. Especially in PA MI.
The GOP needs a “Fixer” similar to the Dems Marc Elias. These elections are ultimately won at the courts based on election laws for each state. When I voted, I was floored they didn’t even ask for an ID. That’s just a recipe for turning a state blue.
“The under-polled voters were not silent, wary Trump supporters, but seething upscale women”
Dems won the Karen vote. Qu’elle surprise. As if there was a missed chance to make spoiled brats happy and win their vote.
The modes of voting don’t cause the delay. NJ uses mail, drop box, early voting, and day of voting. There was no delay in counting or getting races decided.
Some states appear to be particularly screwed up in their process.
The polls were accurate this time.
Fivethirtyeight’s model had the Senate likely outcomes between 54 R and 48 R Senators. We will probably wind up at 50 or 51, right in the center of the distribution.
For the House, I can’t recall the exact range, but 230 was in the center, and we’ll probably wind up with about 230 R Representatives.
I don’t know why we’re giving Democrats the satisfaction of only focusing on who lost or is losing. There are plenty of winners, especially in blue areas, that we should be celebrating. We all like instant gratification, but turning blue regions into red ones realistically takes more than a couple of election cycles. Long-term D-voters are starting to question their party, and that’s certainly something to celebrate as well.
“ID”
You and your candidates are entitled to due process under Amendment VIII of the Bill of Rights.
Control of one branch of Congress works as well as control of both.
I believe in the need for Biden control.
Good point on the Rs needing a “fixer” like Elias; I don’t like the guy but he is effective. And if you look at the results, you come up with these conclusions: 1) there is not a single R congressthing in the six states of New England; 2) within that, the State of New Hampshire is gone; 3) still hope in wide swaths of New York, especially Long Island and Upstate - the Rs, led by a superb governor candidate, Zeldin, nailed all they could; 4) the people of Pennsylvania, at least in the cities, will vote for a rock if there is a D next to it; 5) DeSantis is an amazing leader of his State and of his party who produces results; and, 6) Illinois now has 3 R congressthings out of 17 total - a state that has gone Blue and will remain so, just like New England. My disappointment with Trump was that he picked off the wall candidates who did great damage - Doug Mastriano is a great guy but I saw him many mornings on Bannon’s America’s Voice - the listeners already supported him and he should have been going after the undecided. Also, Trump had a huge warchest and little of it went to candidates he pushed who were starved for money. And he ran his mouth at inopportune times causing damage to the party. Trump was a great president, overcame the hell thrown against him but also appointed terrible people like Bolton, Wray and his chiefs of staff.
The upscale white women and college students are some of the biggest takers of the clot shots.
A lot of them will die off. Before they do, they are going to try to make a claim on the earnings of those of us who didn’t get jabbed in order to pay their medical bills and support them when their disabilities make them unable to work, or at least when they try to claim they are too disabled to work.
We have to hope they die off soon so that they can be outvoted before any politicians supporting policies designed to go after our money can win elections.
I don’t care if I sound cold. Somebody has to be left with money to spend in order for our economy to have any chance of remaining anything close to resembling a functioning economy.
Illinois doesn't ask for ID when voting in person. I just give them my name and address. They are then suppose to check that my signature matches with the one on record. I don't think they do the signature check anymore. I requested a mail in ballot once for the early 2020 primary election. I had to give either my DL number or the last 4 digits of my SS number in order to receive the ballot in the mail. I could either mail the ballot in or drop it off at a dropbox after signing the outside envelope. At the time, I thought it was somewhat reasonable because they attempted to verify the voter to receive the mail in ballot. Earlier this year I received an email from the county clerk notifying me that the verification process can be one and done for future elections. Living in a university town, the absurdity of this is quite apparent. There are high turnover rates of people in the community. I am guessing the turnover rate is at least 10K people a year
VDH, it’s the voter fraud, stupid!
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