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There was a statistician who evaluated Trump/Biden election probabilities relationship to the state elections. I have not been able to find him or his work. Anyone have link?
Self | Chickensoup

Posted on 10/31/2022 4:22:17 AM PDT by Chickensoup

There was a statistician who evaluated Trump/Biden election probabilities relationship to the state elections. I have not been able to find him or his work. Anyone have link?


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: charlescicchetti; cicchetti; electionanalysis; statistics
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There was a statistician who evaluated Trump/Biden election probabilities relationship to the state elections. I have not been able to find him or his work. Anyone have link?
1 posted on 10/31/2022 4:22:17 AM PDT by Chickensoup
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To: Chickensoup

I don’t know if this is exactly what you wanted, but https://fivethirtyeight.com/ is a site that makes statistical predictions about politics and baseball and other sports.

They have a pretty good track record.


2 posted on 10/31/2022 4:27:21 AM PDT by Krosan
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To: Chickensoup

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/12/statistician-texas-lawsuit-georgia-michigan-pennsylvania-wisconsin-says-probability-biden-winning-election-one-quadrillion/


3 posted on 10/31/2022 4:33:44 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather
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To: sheikdetailfeather

Bkmk


4 posted on 10/31/2022 4:43:56 AM PDT by sauropod (The New York Times' 1619 Project's Nikole Hannah-Jones: "all journalism is activism.")
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To: Krosan
I don’t know if this is exactly what you wanted, but https://fivethirtyeight.com/ is a site that makes statistical predictions about politics and baseball and other sports.

They have a pretty good track record.

They are left-wing and predicted Trump would lose in 2016 and label anyone who questions the 2020 result as election deniers.

5 posted on 10/31/2022 4:46:25 AM PDT by HandBasketHell
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To: HandBasketHell

That’s not true! 538 said Trump has 1 in 3 chance.

It was Huffington Post, who said Trump will surely lose and 538 Nate Silver wrote an article saying they’re retarded.


6 posted on 10/31/2022 4:49:11 AM PDT by Krosan
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To: Krosan

Just perusing their site and it certainly looks by the word truck headlines they are left. Seems like just another lefty propaganda site to me, if the headlines to their “articles” are any indicator.


7 posted on 10/31/2022 5:02:26 AM PDT by Billie Bud
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To: Billie Bud

It used to be just a baseball prediction site, but they started to predict elections too and turned out they were the most accurate. This is what made them politically famous. They haven’t been awfully wrong so far.


8 posted on 10/31/2022 5:15:19 AM PDT by Krosan
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To: Chickensoup

The man you are probably looking for is Captain Seth Keshel. He has traveled the entire USA speaking to conservatives and those that KNOW 2020 was stolen, and one of the ways to tell via statistics. He came to MA, and I went to the talk - as did probably 120 folks, then he did the same in Maine. I have some stuff from him... perhaps I can post...


9 posted on 10/31/2022 5:30:41 AM PDT by C210N (Everything will be okay in the end. If it’s not okay, it’s not the end.)
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To: Chickensoup

10 posted on 10/31/2022 5:33:03 AM PDT by C210N (Everything will be okay in the end. If it’s not okay, it’s not the end.)
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To: sheikdetailfeather

That’s the one I remember reading at the time, but there may have been others as well. Either way, good work!


11 posted on 10/31/2022 5:48:31 AM PDT by FamiliarFace (I got my own way of livin' But everything gets done With a southern accent Where I come from. TP)
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To: C210N

Seth has a very active Telegram account as well, if interested.


12 posted on 10/31/2022 6:16:05 AM PDT by OriginalChristian (The end of the American Republic as founded, began when the first Career Politician was elected...)
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To: C210N

Anyone voting in one of these counties shouldn’t vote by mail. Show up in person and vote the old fashioned way. Voting by mail here will most certainly result in your vote getting switched at the central ballot counting center.


13 posted on 10/31/2022 6:34:12 AM PDT by Dr. Franklin ("A republic, if you can keep it." )
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To: C210N

That would be great. He was silenced.

Brazil is talking about similar statical abnormalities.


14 posted on 10/31/2022 6:50:01 AM PDT by Chickensoup (Genocide is here. Leftist extremists are spearhheading the Genocide against conservatives. )
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To: OriginalChristian

Thank you I will follow.


15 posted on 10/31/2022 6:51:16 AM PDT by Chickensoup (Genocide is here. Leftist extremists are spearhheading the Genocide against conservatives. )
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To: Chickensoup

fivethirtyeight.com is a liberal site that does a decent job with the statistics. A conservative site is realclearpolitics.com.


16 posted on 10/31/2022 7:03:33 AM PDT by indyman777 (question)
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To: Chickensoup

Check out Rich Baris “The Peoples Pundit” on Twitter.


17 posted on 10/31/2022 7:08:40 AM PDT by Sooner Gal
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To: Sooner Gal

Thank you


18 posted on 10/31/2022 9:00:46 AM PDT by Chickensoup (Genocide is here. Leftist extremists are spearhheading the Genocide against conservatives. )
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To: FamiliarFace

Yes. Twitter banned Gateway Pundit shortly after they tweeted that article out on the stats and then I got temporarily banned for retweeting it.


19 posted on 10/31/2022 11:07:37 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather
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To: Chickensoup; kiryandil; C210N

Kiryandil has posted about election statistics and will be a great source to continue the conversation.


20 posted on 10/31/2022 1:57:35 PM PDT by texas booster (Join FreeRepublic's Folding@Home team (Team # 36120) Cure Alzheimer's!)
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