[Chickensoup]

There was a statistician who evaluated Trump/Biden election probabilities relationship to the state elections. I have not been able to find him or his work. Anyone have link?

[Krosan]

I don’t know if this is exactly what you wanted, but https://fivethirtyeight.com/ is a site that makes statistical predictions about politics and baseball and other sports.

They have a pretty good track record.

[sheikdetailfeather]

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/12/statistician-texas-lawsuit-georgia-michigan-pennsylvania-wisconsin-says-probability-biden-winning-election-one-quadrillion/

[C210N]

The man you are probably looking for is Captain Seth Keshel. He has traveled the entire USA speaking to conservatives and those that KNOW 2020 was stolen, and one of the ways to tell via statistics. He came to MA, and I went to the talk - as did probably 120 folks, then he did the same in Maine. I have some stuff from him... perhaps I can post...

[C210N]

[indyman777]

fivethirtyeight.com is a liberal site that does a decent job with the statistics. A conservative site is realclearpolitics.com.

[Sooner Gal]

Check out Rich Baris “The Peoples Pundit” on Twitter.