Nice post.
I think THE issue at this point is, “Is the sum of all interventions making the situation worse?”
Without study, it’s premature to declare that it’s masks, or “social distancing”, or isolation/quarantine, or vaccines, or medications - or some or all of these things - that is responsible for what by now is very unusual behavior for a new pathogen.
30 months in, the strain diversification and increased transmission should not be happening. I don’t believe (and I study epidemic diseases for a living) that there is precedent in the natural world for what we are seeing.
Whether or not the behavior is CAUSED by human interventions is an important question.
Thanks
The only thing that is making sense to me is mankind’s experience with the common cold.
It mutates and is shed to others.
Modern medicine cannot (willfully or not) control or predict it.
To my meager knowledge, it has been categorized as both a corona-virus and a rhino-virus that now seem interchangeable.
Yet, there is no cure.
It mutates too quickly and the variants abound, so we are told.
Your epidemiology background is welcome as I am working from several decades of common sense (and a classic, science training background).
1) Stop with this obsession about fear. The virus doesn’t care if someone is afraid or not. If you’re not over 65, you have no need to fear for yourself, at least not in variants we have seen so far. Even if variants expand the death ages, there is no point in fear. The virus doesn’t care.
2) India has no seats in the US House of Representatives and does not care at all about mid-terms.
3) The virus reduced life expectancy in the US about 1.8 years over the last two. The number is now 76.6. If you’re under 65, this is the primary influence on what you might be thinking. If that number keeps falling, retirement is not going to be too attractive, or long.
I have an e-mail feed on my phone for his articles. I'm typing this on my laptop, so I couldn't cut/paste links to the article.
I study epidemic diseases for a living
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could you comment on the link below, given your credentials?
are covid vaccines the superspread vector for omicron?
https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/are-covid-vaccines-the-superspread
Jim, thank you for stating that the virus is not behaving as science would predict. Since I’ve stayed away from reading about covid for months, I returned to find out if scientists had made this observation. In my family, certain anxious individuals, warn that one must keep getting boosted. However after 2 vaccines and 1 booster, all of which caused suffering beyond normal vaccine responses, I don’t want another booster. Do you have a clear idea about what to do? Thanks,
T.W.