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Russia’s inherently flawed and ineffective conventional military has been noted especially by China. China realizes that Russia is unable to defend its Siberian treasure house and its rich underpopulated far eastern Asian Pacific possessions.

The CHICOM’s have taken note of how Russia is bleeding out. The CHICOM’s will turn on Russia like Hitler turned on Stalin.

“China’s ex-ambassador to Ukraine Gao Yusheng has offered his take on Russia’s war against Ukraine, concluding that “the failure of the Russian blitzkrieg and the failure to achieve a quick victory signaled the beginning of the Russian defeat.” “Russia’s political, economic, military and diplomatic power will be significantly weakened and isolated,” according to the former diplomat. “

LOL. I think the Russians are laughing their butts off knowing that NATO is a paper tiger now. That’s after Pentagon contracted Raytheon to replenish the arsenal of missiles expended by sending them to Ukraine, scheduled to be fulfilled by 2026.

#3. China's military has problems as bad as Russia's. They have not fought a major conflict since the Sino-Vietnamese War in 1979. Their command, control, logistics, motivation are even worse than Russia's. These have a anti-China biased, but they get the point across of the problems China's army has:10 Signs China's Military Is Weaker Than You Think | China Uncensored, and Gravitas: 5 weaknesses plaguing the People's Liberation Army.

China needs to look long and hard at its own military before even thinking about moving on Siberia or they may be a enemy Russia can beat.

China may see weakness in Russia, however I suspect Russia’s ability to defend it’s own territory may be much greater than its ability to project into Ukraine. In Ukraine they depended on a small and shrinking truck fleet that simply cannot sustain the resupply they need at the front line. However they control lots of rail lines going throughout the east that can quickly move men and materials to defend. You can also convince a lot more conscripts of the value of defending “Mother Russia” than you can to conquer Ukraine. Lots of Chinese hardware is also copied off of Russian stuff so it is likely just as bad if not worse.

I think there is a significant risk of China going after the Russian east, but it could be a very costly miscalculation, just like Russia’s foray into Ukraine. On the other hand, China has for decades focused on how it will project power into the South China Sea and how to take Taiwan. Changing targets would be a significant strategic refocus. I think that they would expend their military projection capabilities taking Taiwan or taking Eastern Russia. Those are either/or propositions, assuming they could actually take even one.