Posted on 12/27/2021 8:10:18 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
Still flat deaths a month into it
Fauci and Biden threw in the towel today with the downward recommendations of length of isolation
Huge number of cases secondary to rampant but inappropriate testing with no one in the hospitals at least in the southeast.
It’s over.
Media did try to stir up some Omicron hysteria. We didn’t fall for it this time except for those fools who ended up waiting in a line for covid tests that they did not need to take.
I’m sorry. I know this must hurt. Don’t worry, you will still be able to get 6 or 7 boosters
Its always been flat. They lie about the numbers to your face and yet you still fall for it
What was the source of the mega death spike of a few days ago?
We’ll have to find out in a couple of days, daily reporting is unlikely to be accurate due to the holidays.
0.03% fatality rate. Somethings never change. 6 cruise ships with outbreaks among vaccinated crew and passengers. 1.1% infection rate across the board, same as cruise ships in March of 2020.
Can we move on now?
I’m sure they’re planning something new...we’re at war
Omicron has exceeded Delta’s peak, for daily new cases.
Soon (days) it will likely exceed last Winter’s highs, to take the all time record, like it just did in France.
Test positivity rate of 14.2%, and rising like a rocket?
That is close to the record already.
Wanted to tell you how much I disagreed with you in the past and how much I agree with you finally. Good that we both survived up until now. Good luck for the future.
More stats may help:1. Case Fatality Rates per age classes
Age alone (though substantially linked to overall heath) is the most pronounced factor in Covid-19 deaths.
COVID-19 is real and a serious threat overall to those in poor health, and especially the aged, as the CDC reported that more than 81% of COVID-19 deaths occur in people over age 65, and with the number of deaths among people over age 65 being 80 times higher than the number of deaths among people aged 18-29.[1] However, obesity — which over 42% of Americans are — along with high blood pressure and diabetes (which tend to be related to obesity) are leading comorbidities in Covid-assigned deaths (and obesity itself is estimated to be attributable to 2,800,000 deaths in America over a 10 year period — at 280,000 per year).
As of Nov. 18 (as well as at the original time of this writing on 12/10/21), the Case Fatality Rate (CFR) — which is the percentage of Covid-19 deaths in the U.S. out of the total number of cases — is 1.6%, and which includes all people of all ages and conditions. Based on statistics from between the beginning of January 2020 and December 8, 2021,the CFR for those aged 0-17 calculates (Y is what % of X) to 0.01% (644 deaths out of 6,310,536 cases); and for those aged 18-29 the CFR is 0.05% (4,700 deaths out of 8,667,566 cases); for ages 30-39 it is 0.21% (13,882 deaths out of 6,697,096 cases); for ages 40-49 it is 0.58% (33,706 deaths out of 5,832,777 cases); for ages 50-64 it is 1.88% (145,247 deaths out of 7,717,656 cases); but for the ages of 65-74 it jumps to 6.21% (178,912 deaths out of 2,880,341 cases); and for the combined ages of 75 and all those who are older then it leaps to 18.43% (411,177 deaths out of 2,231,117 cases). Sources: Statista; CDC on 12/10/21.
Therefore based upon statistics on those aged 0-64 who were tested as being infected with Covid and found or judged as having died from it, then the CFR is 0.56% (198,179 deaths out of 35,225,631 cases, or 1 out of 180). In contrast, for those ages 65 and up the CFR rises to 11.54% (590,089 deaths out of 5,111,458 cases, combined). For comparison, the odds of dying in a motor vehicle accident are 1 in 107 (0.93%) and your chances of getting into a motor vehicle accident are one in 366 (0.27%) for every 1,000 miles driven. And thus despite headlines of exceptions, for the fit and healthy the odds of dying from Covid-19 are very minimal. TOC^
2. CDC Covid-19 case and death criteria
The broad criteria for listing Covid-19 as the presumed cause of death impugns the credibility of the numbers of claimed Covid-19 deaths.
Note also that the number of Covid-19 deaths are likely inflated due to the broad minimal criteria of the CDC in 2020 for assigning Covid-19 as the probable cause, which need to only meet Clinical Criteria and Epidemiologic Linkage without confirmatory or presumptive Laboratory Evidence. (However, under the 2021 criteria the latter presumptive lab evidence can supplant the other two as qualification for a presumed Covid case and thus death. Yet again, Vital Records Criteria alone will suffice, which is a “death certificate that lists COVID-19 disease or SARS-CoV-2 or an equivalent term as an underlying cause of death or a significant condition contributing to death.”) .
Under the original (April 2020 to August 5, 2020) broad minimal criteria of the CDC in 2020 for assigning Covid-19 as the probable cause of death, a case can be listed as Covid death on the basis of (under “Clinical Criteria”) as little as a headache and subjective fever, or just a cough or shortness of breath and which lack a more likely diagnosis than Covid-19. Along with (under “Epidemiologic Linkage)” being part of an exposed risk community (areas or locations of high transmission rates), or having had close contact (being within 6 feet for at least 15 minutes over the course of 24 hours) with a probable case of COVID-19.
The criteria version (there are three so far) prior to 8-5-2020 allowed for simply having having traveled to or lived in an area with sustained, ongoing community transmission of Covid-19), while the 8-5-2020 version added 4 more symptoms or conditions to its list (making it 17) under clinical criteria which require one or two for qualification (“in the absence of a more likely diagnosis”).
In 2021, in implicit further recognition and or admission that the criteria had been too broad (and with vaccination beginning), the CDC tightened up its Clinical Criteria from simply having as little as a cough or shortness of breath (“in the absence of a more likely diagnosis”) to prefacing it as “Acute onset or worsening of ...” such, while expanding the list of symptoms or conditions to 21 under Clinical Criteria.
Moreover, regarding vital records criteria noted above, since a Probable case is one that “Meets clinical criteria AND epidemiologic linkage with no confirmatory or presumptive laboratory evidence for SARS-CoV-2,” OR Meets presumptive laboratory evidence, OR Meets vital records criteria with no confirmatory laboratory evidence for SARS-CoV-2,” then since the latter alone suffices as criteria for counting a death as due to Covid, then it presumes that the official assigning Covid-19 as the cause has at least followed the aforementioned CDC criteria for determining if a person had Covid-19. And yet it is far from certain that Covid-19 was the actual cause.
In addition, “meets presumptive laboratory evidence” also is a sole condition for assigning Covid-19 as the cause of death, and which means “Detection of SARS-CoV-2 specific antigen in a post-mortem obtained respiratory swab or clinical specimen using a diagnostic test performed by a CLIA-certified provider.”
However, the CDC states “people can continue to test positive for COVID-19 for up to 3 months after diagnosis,” for as the CDC further affirms, “patients who have recovered from COVID-19 can continue to have detectable SARS-CoV-2 RNA in upper respiratory specimens for up to 3 months after illness onset. after being infected,” which is long after they were infectious. Yet for some time the CDC was conflating viral and antibody tests, combining test results that diagnose current coronavirus infections with test results that measure whether someone has ever had the virus.
Moreover, as USA Today confirmed,
“Hospitals and doctors do get paid more for Medicare patients diagnosed with COVID-19 or if it's considered presumed they have COVID-19 absent a laboratory-confirmed test, and three times more if the patients are placed on a ventilator to cover the cost of care and loss of business resulting from a shift in focus to treat COVID-19 cases.”
Also, (mainly) after vaccination began some totals of Covid-assigned deaths were significantly revised downward after further consideration. And in May 2021, faced with a report of a number of fully vaccinated people having died with Covid-19, CDC Director Rochelle Walensky clarified that, “Many, many hospitals are screening people for COVID when they come in, so not all of those 223 cases who had COVID actually died of COVID.” Which admission that not all those vaccinated people listed as Covid-19 deaths “actually died of COVID” does, by implication, support the claim that COVID deaths were over-counted in many hospitals — contrary to how liberal “factcheck.org” tries to deny that implication, [2] as well as its reported statement that there has been no change in how CDC is counting COVID-19 deaths, for as preceding research substantiates, there has been change.
As of 12–05-21, for over 5% of reported COVID-19 deaths, that virus was the only cause mentioned on the death certificate, and “for deaths with conditions or causes in addition to COVID-19, on average, there were 4.0 additional conditions or causes per death.” While this does not necessarily mean the virus was not the leading contributor in the other 94% of the deaths, and it certainly does not mean it was the leading contributor in all the other 94% of these deaths. TOC^
3. Conditions and Comorbidities
Certain health conditions are Covid-19 comorbiditiesContinued, by the grace of God.
[[Media did try to stir up some Omicron hysteria.]]
Now they are trying to stir up bird flu hysteria-
Yahoo news had a big scare article about bird flu being the next big pandemic come next year- Here’s their scare headline:
“Massive New Bird Flu Outbreak Could Be 2022’s Deadly Pandemic”
https://www.yahoo.com/news/massive-bird-flu-outbreak-could-153426477.html
“It Could”, only it hasn’t since 2003- only 800 or so have actually died from bird flu since then- but remember back how they hyped it as a coming world wide pandemic- now they are at it again-
[[Omicron has exceeded Delta’s peak, for daily new cases]]
Huh? How do they know? The following is from the CDC website itself
What Laboratories Should Know:
There are no authorized, cleared, or approved diagnostic tests to specifically detect SARS-CoV-2 variants (Omicron or other variants). Currently, COVID-19 tests are designed and authorized to check broadly for the SARS-CoV-2 virus, not for specific variants.
The Omicron variant has a deletion in the spike (S) gene (Δ69-70). Some molecular tests with multiple genetic targets include a target covering the portion of the S gene where the deletion occurs. The presence of this mutation can result in an S-gene target failure (SGTF, also referred to as an S-gene drop out). The S-gene target will fail (return as negative) while other targets are expected to remain positive in the presence of this virus. SGTF can signal the need for sequencing to characterize the variant in a specimen. SGTF has been observed in other variants and thus is not specific to the Omicron variant”
Straight from the cdc’s own website
Somebody's getting rich.
This is H5N1 bird flu virus. US government has stockpiled vaccine for it.
You sound crestfallen, to be honest.
So are you still advocating boosters, or not.
We’ll have to find out in a couple of days, daily reporting is unlikely to be accurate due to the holidays.
+++++
The daily reports are never accurate and there is a good reason for that:
Some states report daily. But many report only once a week on Fridays. Others report daily but not weekends and just add the weekend results to the Monday report.
And yes, I’m sure the holidays confuse it even more,
The above is the reason that the infection and death data is typically presented as a 7-day moving average. That smooths the data and gives a better representation of the trends.
But my question is, specific to omnicron, how many Americans have died because of omnicron?
Despite the high number of infections, my understanding is only 1. Or am I wrong?
typo ... omicron
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