Posted on 12/10/2021 8:39:57 AM PST by freddy005
The Democrats’ Hispanic Voter Problem It's Not As Bad As You Think—It’s Worse
The Democrats are steadily losing ground with Hispanic voters. The seriousness of this problem tends to be underestimated in Democratic circles for a couple of reasons: (1) they don’t realize how big the shift is; and (2) they don’t realize how thoroughly it undermines the most influential Democratic theory of the case for building their coalition.
On the latter, consider that most Democrats like to believe that, since a relatively conservative white population is in sharp decline while a presumably liberal nonwhite population keeps growing, the course of social and demographic change should deliver an ever-growing Democratic coalition. It is simply a matter of getting this burgeoning nonwhite population to the polls.
But consider further that, as the Census documents, the biggest single driver of the increased nonwhite population is the growth of the Hispanic population. They are by far the largest group within the Census-designated nonwhite population (19 percent vs. 12 percent for blacks). While their representation among voters considerably lags their representation in the overall population, it is fair to say that voting trends among this group will decisively shape voting trends among nonwhites in the future since their share of voters will continue to increase while black voter share is expected to remain roughly constant.
It therefore follows that, if Hispanic voting trends continue to move steadily against the Democrats, the pro-Democratic effect of nonwhite population growth will be blunted, if not cancelled out entirely, and that very influential Democratic theory of the case falls apart. That could...provoke quite a sea change in Democratic thinking.
Turning to the nature and size of recent Hispanic shifts against the Democrats—it’s not as bad as you think, it’s worse. Here are ten points... Read ‘em and weep.
(Excerpt) Read more at theliberalpatriot.substack.com ...
I don’t believe it.
I don’t believe it.
—
Check the voting stats from the Texas border towns. Hispanic voters are trading conservative.
The Democrats confuse the Hispanic vote with the illegal alien vote, because they are racists.
Once people accept a nation as their home, they tend to vote for things to make that home prosper. That is to say, they don’t vote Democrat.
“…[could] provoke quite a sea change in Democratic thinking”
Uh huh, sure, right.
If we return to an acknowledged "partisan" media, such as the US had in 1870, the Hispanics will be assimilated and become aware their fortunes are better with conservative politicians.
The only reason many Hispanics voted against Trump was the litany of constant lies about him.
Listen up you uppity Spanish speaking people. Vote for white liberal marxist democrats to fix you broken gendered language. No more heteronormative oppression of ‘el’ and ‘la.’
“Liberal Patriot”?
Talk about an oxymoron.
Any such numbers are easily overcome by illegal alien Hispanics being allowed to vote and outright voter fraud.
Don't let your guard down. That is why they are producing such stories.
If you want to know the USA’s political and societal future, look at Venezuela, Argentina, and Brazil.
Conservative socially? Yes
Politically statist? Yes
Economically free-market? No.
Small Government libertarian? Hell no.
I’m with you. I’ve been hearing this for a decade without seeing the proof.
Glenn Youngkin won the Hispanic vote in Virginia.
In many of those border counties, Trump was the first Republican to win since Abraham Lincoln was president.
For better or worse, I’d say the vast majority of Hispanic immigrants have something that Democrats find completely unacceptable: a desire to improve their own circumstances through their own efforts. More and more of these immigrants find the misfits and losers in the Democratic Party to be absolutely repulsive.
“Check the voting stats from the Texas border towns. Hispanic voters are trading conservative.”
Very true. But don’t look too close at the urban Hispanic vote, because there’s no such trend there. There was certainly no such trend in the northeast (Jersey, New York, eastern PA) or in California outside of Imperial County on the border.
Insofar as the trend in a few border counties is important, the question for the post-Trump era is: were those rural and border-area Hispanics simply voting for Trump’s wall and for Trump himself, as opposed to a sudden liking for the Republican party as a whole (which is NOTHING like Trump)? Trump’s coattails were evident in south Texas races for Congress in 2020 though it produced no flips of any seats — will races there still be competitive in the future or will they revert to normal? Let’s run some good MAGA conservative Hispanics in those districts in 2022 and find out.
Once upon a time both liberals and conservatives wanted the same things for the US and only differed about how to achieve them.
You can almost hear the lefties saying "Drat!"Consistent with this, Latino voters evinced little sympathy with the more radical demands that came to be associated with the Black Lives Matter movement. In VSG data, despite showing support for some specific policing reforms, Hispanics opposed defunding the police, decreasing the size of police forces and the scope of their work and reparations for the descendants of slaves by 2:1 or more. The findings about relatively positive Hispanic attitudes toward police have been confirmed by poll after poll, as concern about crime in their communities has spiked.
An important thing to remember about the Hispanic population is that they are heavily oriented toward upward mobility and see themselves as being able to benefit from available opportunities to attain that. Three-fifths of Latinos in the national exit poll said they believed life would be better for the next generation of Americans.
They are also patriotic. By well over 3:1, Hispanics in the VSG survey said they would rather be a citizen of the United States than any other country in the world and by 35 points said they were proud of the way American democracy works. These findings on patriotism are confirmed by results from the 2020 More in Common Identity and Belonging study, where the views of Hispanics contrasted starkly with the negative views of progressive activists.
It is part of standard media propaganda preceding or accompanying surges of illegal alien influx.
And we will get them!
I’m in Texas and most Hispanics I know have a great work ethic, are capitalist business minded, value God and family and are patriotic.
Um no.
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