[Pete from Shawnee Mission]

https://spaceweather.com/

SPACE WEATHER NOAA Forecasts Updated at: 2021 Oct 10 2200 UTC SPACE WEATHER NOAA Forecasts

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Updated at: 2021 Oct 10 2200 UTC

FLARE	0-24 hr	24-48 hr
CLASS M	10 %	10 %
CLASS X	01 %	01 %

Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm

Updated at: 2021 Oct 10 2200 UTC

Mid-latitudes

	0-24 hr	24-48 hr
ACTIVE	35 %	35 %
MINOR	30 %	20 %
SEVERE	10 %	05 %

High latitudes

	0-24 hr	24-48 hr
ACTIVE	05 %	10 %
MINOR	20 %	25 %
SEVERE	70 %	60 %

[Cletus.D.Yokel]

IIRC, “High Latitudes” are closer to the Pole (North of 45) and Mid-latitiudes are South of 45 to the tropic lines.

Blu might get a show tonight, if the clouds break up...
I’ll be looking but clouds are increasing here.