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My Annual MLB Postseason Stats & Predictions
Jim Newell ^ | 10/5/2021 | Jim Newell

Posted on 10/05/2021 9:48:49 AM PDT by Jim W N

Stats and Predictions in Body of Comment.

My average over more than 30 years is around 60%.

If a favored team loses, just replace with the next highest ranked team to figure out the next predicted winner(s).

Remember my average is really good, but just like the stock market, you don’t bet on one stock or one year. It’s an overall average over many years.

According to the stats I use (Points For minus Points Against), the “World Series” (best two teams in baseball) would be the NLDS between the Dodgers vs. the Giants.


TOPICS: Hobbies; Sports
KEYWORDS: breadandcircuses; getwokegobroke; kneelers; sportsball
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To: dfwgator

Great game.

.


41 posted on 10/05/2021 8:27:24 PM PDT by Mears (.)
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To: Jim W N
The "Estimate" is the weighted average (5 x Previous-Games) + (3 x 1st-Level) + (1 x 2nd-Level), then divide the sum by 9.

If you're handicapping a game, this is one of your inputs. Statistically, this is an unbiased evaluation of scoring against mutual opponents.

I originally wrote this to help guessing the March madness charts for NCAA basketball. In 2019 I loaded in a little over 16,000 games for 1371 NCAA teams. There were over 5 million interactions in the matrix product protocols.

Here's the log for the NCAA BB calculation:

Your 60% pick ratio is very good for relying on stats. I doubt mine are any better. I like programming and seeing how results compare.

42 posted on 10/05/2021 8:27:33 PM PDT by budj (Combat vet, 2nd of three generations.)
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To: Mears

Now may Tampa take care of the Red Sox.


43 posted on 10/05/2021 8:28:13 PM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: Mears

Boone fired in 3....2.....1!


44 posted on 10/05/2021 8:28:56 PM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: dfwgator

Tampa took care of us on Sunday at Gillette……and will repeat I’m afraid.

.


45 posted on 10/05/2021 9:26:34 PM PDT by Mears (.)
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To: OrangeHoof
Most of all, I want to see the Yankees and Dodgers lose the wild cards and have to explain why 25 gazillionaires couldn’t win one game with their postseason riding on it.

Well, you're 1 for 1 after tonight. And Bucky Bleeping Dent can take a hike. Another ghost has now been exorcised.

Not sure you'll make it two in a row, however. Scherzer is throwing lights out in LA, and the game is being played at Chavez Ravine.

46 posted on 10/05/2021 9:32:09 PM PDT by Ratman0823 (Always remember: "Figures don't lie, but liars figure")
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To: Deplorable American1776

Boston 6 v NYC 2! Red Sox at Rays Thursday night!


47 posted on 10/06/2021 1:32:31 AM PDT by SES1066 (Ask not what the LEFT can do for you, rather ask what the LEFT is doing to YOU!)
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To: Jim W N

Second coming? You do know that 2nd advent and the Rapture of the Church are two separate events, right? Separated by 7 years.

And yes, there is a time table. By asserting no time table tells me you didn’t bother looking at the data. It is iron clad math. Not ambiguous at all. It is symmetrical across all time.

https://docs.google.com/document/d/14VoBinD3jDV9yXZpb_XVj_nBe867JaZ6fCKTMGqIAms/edit#heading=h.n1sr60jw0bjj


48 posted on 10/06/2021 1:47:26 AM PDT by Salvavida (Even now, come Lord Jesus!)
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To: budj

Cool.

So based on your programming, just for fun, how do your 2021 MLB Postseason picks compare to mine?


49 posted on 10/06/2021 6:38:17 AM PDT by Jim W N (MAGA by restoring the Gospel of the Grace of Christ (Jude 3) and our Free Constitutional Republic!)
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To: dfwgator

Nah nah nah nah NAH nah...

As George Steinbrenner rolls over in his grave.


50 posted on 10/06/2021 6:39:41 AM PDT by Jim W N (MAGA by restoring the Gospel of the Grace of Christ (Jude 3) and our Free Constitutional Republic!)
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To: Salvavida

Yes you’re right, there is a seven-year period between Jesus first and second coming and your understanding of that puts you ahead of many.

(If you’ll note in my comments, I have called “the rapture” the FIRST part of Jesus second coming. We are now in the period (so far about 2000 years) between Daniel’s 69th week and 70th week. Daniel’s 70th week (the horrific seven-year tribulation) begins with the rapture FOR his saints and ends with Jesus coming WITH “ten thousands of his saints”.)

But pay closer attention to what I (and scripture) are saying.

I (and scripture) are not saying there is NO timetable for the time of the Gentiles which we are in. I said WE do not know what that exact and precise timetable is and Jesus told us that. We only know “the times and the seasons.”

There IS a timetable but only the Father knows what it is (Matt. 24: 36). Despite your protests, you, my fine FRiend, simply do not know the day(s) or the hour(s). How do I know? The Bible tells me so.

Could Jesus come sometime between now and October 9? Yes, but I don’t think so because Luke 14:23 needs first to be fulfilled. But if he does come in the next couple of days, it will NOT be be based on some kind of mathematical code or other you’ve broken pinpointing the day(s) that is unknown to all except the Father.


51 posted on 10/06/2021 7:42:37 AM PDT by Jim W N (MAGA by restoring the Gospel of the Grace of Christ (Jude 3) and our Free Constitutional Republic!)
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To: Impy; be-baw

Hey doe anybody know if there’s a live stream for tonight’s Wild Card SL/LA game? Should be a good one.


52 posted on 10/06/2021 5:39:23 PM PDT by Jim W N (MAGA by restoring the Gospel of the Grace of Christ (Jude 3) and our Free Constitutional Republic!)
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To: Jim W N

on TBS


53 posted on 10/06/2021 5:44:01 PM PDT by Repeal The 17th (Get out of the matrix and get a real life.)
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To: Repeal The 17th

I just finished reading the whole thread...
Is this about baseball or Jesus?
Jesus never played baseball...well...
except for some Hispanic folks name Hey-soos...


54 posted on 10/06/2021 5:51:50 PM PDT by Repeal The 17th (Get out of the matrix and get a real life.)
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To: Repeal The 17th; Impy; be-baw

Guys, I’m talking about live stream on FB which can be a kick in the a$$. Anything going? If not, how do you get it going (on “breaking”?) so others see it and join in?


55 posted on 10/06/2021 6:02:33 PM PDT by Jim W N (MAGA by restoring the Gospel of the Grace of Christ (Jude 3) and our Free Constitutional Republic!)
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To: Jim W N

Not found on farcebook that I know of...


56 posted on 10/06/2021 6:04:42 PM PDT by Repeal The 17th (Get out of the matrix and get a real life.)
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To: Repeal The 17th; Impy; be-baw

I’ll try again...

Live stream on Free Republic ( I hate typing)...

If not, how do you get it going (on “breaking”?) so others see it and join in?


57 posted on 10/06/2021 6:10:51 PM PDT by Jim W N (MAGA by restoring the Gospel of the Grace of Christ (Jude 3) and our Free Constitutional Republic!)
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To: Jim W N

Cardinals 1
Dodgers 0
Bottom of 3rd
Best I can do is this:
https://www.mlb.com/gameday/cardinals-vs-dodgers/2021/10/06/660937#game_state=live,game_tab=,game=660937


58 posted on 10/06/2021 6:14:16 PM PDT by Repeal The 17th (Get out of the matrix and get a real life.)
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To: Repeal The 17th

Dodgers have bases loaded with 1 out.


59 posted on 10/06/2021 6:23:40 PM PDT by Repeal The 17th (Get out of the matrix and get a real life.)
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To: Repeal The 17th

End of 4th
Tie game.


60 posted on 10/06/2021 6:53:18 PM PDT by Repeal The 17th (Get out of the matrix and get a real life.)
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