Posted on 08/28/2021 9:51:10 PM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
With Hurricane Ida intensifying over the Gulf of Mexico Saturday and barreling towards the Gulf Coast, thousands of fleeing residents clogged highways as they raced inland, and the New Orleans airport cancelled all of Sunday's inbound and departing flights.
As of Saturday night, Ida was whipping winds of 105 mph and is about 145 miles southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River, according to the National Hurricane Center.
Louisiana Governor John Bel Edwards said that the storm will be 'one of the strongest hurricanes to hit anywhere in Louisiana since at least the 1850s.'
Forecasters predict it could make landfall by Sunday afternoon or Sunday evening as an 'extremely dangerous' Category 4 storm on the five-step Saffir-Simpson scale with winds of 140 mph.
It's predicted to cause heavy downpours and a tidal surge that could plunge most of the Louisiana shoreline under several feet of water.
'We’re going to catch it head-on,' Bebe McElroy told the Associated Press as she prepared to leave home in the coastal Louisiana village of Cocodrie. 'I’m just going around praying, saying, "Dear Lord, just watch over us."'
(Excerpt) Read more at dailymail.co.uk ...
Wonder if Sean Penn will show up with his leaky boat again?
The differences from Katrina are
(1) track further west will expose NOLA to more damaging front quadrant winds that could still be gusting in the cat-3 range if landfall (swamp contact more accurate) is cat-4.
(2) that will also expose parishes west of the Mississippi to storm surge coming through the marshes from the Gulf.
(3) The Lake Pontchartrain flood levees have been reinforced but an extreme storm can still overtop them, also I read somewhere that three of twenty pumps in the system are low or zero capacity.
(4) This hurricane seems to be likely to continue intensifying up to landfall, Katrina was losing some intensity although its storm surge had already been set up by then.
(5) Hurricane force winds may reach Baton Rouge on this track. (cat-1 to cat-2 gusts there Sunday night).
Landfall currently estimated to be 30 miles west of mouth of Mississippi and just east of Grand Isle, 3 pm CDT. Highest impacts in New Orleans likely 5-8 pm.
One difference is you live on an island: if a storm is headed your way you will pretty much know. Its a much narrower cone to ontemplate. There, the storm can change direction and hit in a different area than the one “prepared”. You don’t know until the last day or so.
In this case, Nawleans might be spared the brunt.
just harder to know, imho.
Thank you for the thread and links FRiend!
We may see one of the rare and ominous extreme wind warnings (EWW) when this thing comes on land. Not good.
Don’t worry about it. Remember how Bush and Cheney guided the hurricane machine into New Orleans? Well now we have Biden and the Democrats and so they are certain to guide the hurricane machine someplace else. Don’t worry about it.
Bump Live Coverage
#Hurricanes: What each category means in terms of winds, storm surge, and damage.
Visualization by @WWLTV, #NewOrleans#HurricaneIda #Ida #ClimateCrisis #ClimateEmergency https://t.co/9sVsbVmcrD pic.twitter.com/bdA23YNYf3— Theodore — Six — Feet — Apart — Grunewald (@TedGrunewald) August 29, 2021
Thanks for that graphic. It gives more meaning to the intensity of categories.
Entergy Outage Map. If it does not go to it directly, choose the weather button which shows a weather map overlay.
4WWL CBS live stream
https://youtu.be/3D7pQxnOIjI
And then they’ll find you on your roof just like Fats Domino.
“Joe Biden doesn’t care about black people.”
Houma is very far inland
Tornados and local flooding
“Landfall” (or swamp contact) was around noon CDT at Port Fouchon LA just west of Grand Isle which took an enormous hit from surge and forward eyewall peak winds. The storm will weaken slowly for 2-3 hours and the eye will be about 30-40 miles west of downtown New Orleans and 20 miles west of Kenner LA by 5 p.m., then 20-30 miles east of Baton Rouge by about 8 p.m. ... there was some talk about a large oil platform near the mouth of the Mississippi coming loose in the 100 mph winds in that zone and drifting towards the delta. ... Will be bad but perhaps not worst-case scenario in New Orleans but places like Kenner, Luling and Laplace will be exposed to near-maximum winds at that time, possibly the storm will be reduced to cat-2 by then however. Baton Rouge looks like it would be on the weaker west side of the eye getting cat-1 northerly winds at the peak. The heaviest rains are likely to be to the west of the storm’s track by about 20-50 miles and slowing forward speed into Monday means very heavy rains in the lower Mississippi valley including parts of AR and MS.
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