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Check Your Understanding Of The "Efficacy" Claims For 'Vaccines': The Claim "95% Effective" Means A Fraction Of 1% Of The Vaccinated Are "Protected" For 2 Months
5/7/2021 | vanity

Posted on 05/07/2021 3:18:12 PM PDT by ransomnote

Many FALSELY believe that having a Covid-19 vaccine with a 95% efficacy rate means they have 95% chance of staying healthy, and a 5% chance of getting sick. That would only be true if the often quoted efficacy rate referred to Relative Risk Reduction (RRR).

The Pharma companies, NIH, CDC, Fauci, Biden Administration appear to be satisfied that the public is not aware of what 'vaccine' claims like ‘95% effective’ actually mean.

Absolute Risk Reduction (ARR) would have to be calculated to know the percent reduction of risk of illness following vaccination. I haven't seen any commentary in all the advertising which uses ARR statistics.

To calculate ARR, the % of persons expected to become ill following vaccination is subtracted from the % of persons who would have become ill if they hadn't had the vaccine. 

Using Pfizer's data, without a vaccine people have a .93% chance of becoming ill with Covid-19 in the next 2 months (duration of Pfizer’s study). 

According to Pfizer, if they have the vaccine, their risk of illness over the next 2 months drops from .93 of one percent, to .05 of one percent (rounded). We don't know how many would have become ill if the study continued beyond 2 months so that theoretical 'protection' has a time frame.

A nice walk through of the math involved is provided by a former math professor who doesn’t have a dog in this fight, he just wants people to understand math because…well…you can take a math professor out of the math lab but you can’t take the math out of the professor.  

Prof. Richard Zucker illustrates his point first by walking through calculations for Measles, and then through the same calculations for Covid-19.

Measures of Vaccine Effectiveness - YouTube (17 minute video)

He compares this value with prior Measles vaccinations, in which you would have to vaccinate 1.3 children to protect 1 child from the disease. He shows through his calculations, using Pfizer’s data, 113 people have to be vaccinated to protect 1 person from becoming ill with Covid-19.

(IMAGE BELOW from Professor Zucker's video)

I think the the number of persons vaccinated required to "protect" one person from Covid-19 must be continually increasing, because many have already had Covid-19 and the risk of becoming ill from it is decreasing, and presummably the vaccinated are a little less vulnerable to illness as well. I've not seen any calculations about the percentages of people harmed by the 'vaccines'.

Those pushing for ‘herd immunity,’ and reasoning as if only vaccines can provide immunity, often state that the non-vaccinated are ‘holding us back’. In reality, because the risk of getting Covid-19 to those who have not yet had it is under 1%, the public health benefit of any vaccine of any efficacy rate is also going to be under 1% to those who haven't already had Covid-19.

Those who have had Covid-19 already have antibodies and do not benefit from vaccination, according to physicians like Dr. McCullough, who has worked with a team of physicians who developed a treatment protocol that reduces deaths from Covid-19 among the vulnerable by 85%. You may read about (print out) their medication protocol or watch the first 7 minutes of the video at the link below:

COVID Vaccine Killing Huge Numbers, Warns Leading Doctor – Liberty Sentinel [32 minute video] (freerepublic.com)

Now the public is being wooed with prizes and treats if they get vaccinated. 100$ savings bonds (WV, for ages 19 to 35), beer, nightclubs, museum passes, and other perks await the vaccine submission.

What's Behind Vaccine Hysteria? - American Thinker

The Yankees and Mets announced the stadiums will once again be open, but the vaccinated will ‘get’ to sit next to each other and the unvaccinated will have to socially distance. Yet we’re talking about a less than 1% chance of illness in the vaccinated section compared with a less than 1% chance of illness in the vaccinated section seated outdoors, all wearing masks.

Continued employment is a perk looming on the horizon. Commerce and travel, all of it tied to less than 1% difference with or without the vax.

Bills GM to cut players who refuse The Vaccine… [Buffalo]

The young and the healthy are likely the dominant demographic in a baseball stadium, so the risk of illness at a football stadium is actually smaller than Pfizer’s 2 month trial data .93% risk. So the benefits of vaccination would be smaller still.

The unvaccinated could get Covid-19  in the next 2 months, and if so, they are likely to recover and if particularly vulnerable (elderly, immune suppressed etc.), can use available treatments which are 85% effective. If those physicians and researchers who claim immunity is lasting are correct, why should those who've already had Covid-19 undergo the compounded risks of vaccination as they receive repeated ‘booster’ vaccination?

Why is there no real risk-benefit analysis in the push to vaccinate everyone with experimental products? The CDC’s documentation indicates boosters will not have to undergo the testing that the initial vaccines underwent. 

The vaccines have risks, some of which are unknown and may result in ADE or other autoimmune illnesses. The vaccine trials were too short to tell us if they are safe, for whom, or for how long.

There’s evidence that the ‘vaccines’ promote the production of spike proteins that are themselves toxic to human health, and those vaccinated will not have a way to halt the production of those spike proteins in their bodies. I’ve heard (been shouted at) that the spike proteins won’t endure past a few days, weeks or months, but that assertion is insufficiently tested to promote as fact.

Some trolls gleefully post that the vaccines will likely be reclassified as ‘FDA approved’ within months to reduce the public’s ‘vaccine hesitancy’; not that the ‘vaccines’ will undergo the needed 10+  years of extensive testing for standard ‘FDA Approval’, but that they will simply be ‘reclassified’ for marketing purposes.

Pfizer asks FDA for full approval of coronavirus vaccine (msn.com)

Those trolls brag that once FDA approved, the fake vaccines can then be made mandatory. Imagine the quality of your life if the thought of other Americans receiving experimental vaccines against their will, in violation of their human and Constitutional Rights, made you felt superior and proud.

The Biden Administration will discover that the American public has, can and will say “NO!” to the destruction of freedom in our nation.  Every day, more are waking up and seeing through the propaganda.

Vaccine specialists like Geert Vanden Bossche are warning that mass vaccinating a population in the middle of an outbreak, as we are told we are living through for a year now, is expected to lead to the development of stronger strains that we would face had we waited for natural herd immunity and treated the ill instead of withholding FDA approved medications. I hope he and the others saying this are wrong.

Given the hard salesmanship, the stripping of our rights, censorship, the violations of the Nuremburg Code of 1948 regarding informed consent, and threats/plans to institute shunning and steady advancement of vaccine passports, I believe the warnings are true.

I don’t believe the stated reason for the vaccinations, presumably Covid-19, explains the dictatorial grasping manner the Biden Administration is trying to treat us like livestock and ‘have us’ mass vaccinated. These bizarre tactics are not medically driven.

Want more proof?

New study from the UK government predicts 60-70% of future Covid deaths will be of those who had the 2nd shot of vaccines....

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/spi-m-o-summary-of-further-modelling-of-easing-restrictions-roadmap-step-2-31-march-2021

Of course we're hearing about 'variants' and the experts don't agree on whether or not our natural immunity to Covid-19 or 'vaccines' will protect us.

There are reasons why vaccination may not provide the benefits to public health claimed by manufacturers, the CDC, Fauci, and the co-owners of Moderna's patent in the NIH.

Italian Researchers: Vaccines Will Not Work Because SARS-CoV-2 Is Also Entering Bacteria (freerepublic.com)

The push for vaccination, 'vaccine apartheid', vaccination passports and vaccination risk censorship is not based on science.


TOPICS: Conspiracy; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: 500000deadamericans; aliens; antimather; antivaxisprodeath; bidenskeywordtrolls; chinavirusvaccine; covid; covidisreal; covidisworsethanvax; fearporn; getvaccinatedplease; hysterics; ignorethisplease; misleading; nutcase; qlown; qtard; sucksatmath; trumpisprovax; vaccinations; vaccinedenial; vaccinessavelives
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To: bagster

I will lose my mind if anyone thinks forcing vaccines is ok. That’s madness and will open a door to some very horrible things. Forced medical procedures for example.

Electric shock “therapy”?


141 posted on 05/26/2021 4:52:41 AM PDT by sanjuanbob (Do NOT buy Chinese Products)
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To: ransomnote

Wait to see 16 full grown superior black men to die or be disabled, this year from heart attacks, strokes and other complications. Some maybe during games. Nice gift the mRNA has been to mankind.


142 posted on 07/11/2021 4:03:35 PM PDT by Glad2bnuts ((“If there are no absolutes by which to judge society, then society is absolute.” Francis Schaeffer,)
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To: mrsmith

We live and we die. I will take treatments, but I am not taking another vaccine as long as I live. I regret every shot after reading deeply about them. Did we need a vaccine to become immune to the Spanish Influenza? NO, we became immune naturally. The very same virus is still alive and circulating through our world. We are all now immune, we even pass that on to our children BECAUSE we are survivors. The best part about Covid is the survivors, not those who took a jab. Children hardly notice the disease, yet them being exposed, likely makes them immune for life, and their children and childrens children will be immune. It has happened at least thousands of times before with different diseases.


143 posted on 07/11/2021 4:35:05 PM PDT by Glad2bnuts ((“If there are no absolutes by which to judge society, then society is absolute.” Francis Schaeffer,)
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To: David Chase

I admire all your posts. You are not pro or anti vaxxer. You are simply trying to discover the truth.

The problem however is, the truth is not easy to discover and more difficult to conclude. Because covid is a brand new lab created virus and it is simply premature to “conclude” anything.

I am 100% against ANY mandates for medical procedures. That includes vaccines.

I took the VAERS (Vaccine Adverse Effects Report System) numbers on a recent date, and divided that number by how many Americans had received the vaccine on that date. That gives fraction representing problems with covid vaccines. Multiply that fraction by 100 and you get Percentage of people who had adverse side effects, and I came up with 0.002%. In other words the vaccines on that date were 99.998% safe.

I don’t know if the covid vaccines are effective in preventing death from covid. My main point here always has been that these vaccines are a big nothing burger in terms of causing problems. Very few medical procedures can boast 99.998% safety. Elective surgery for nose job is much more risky than covid vaccines. My nephew is a plastic surgeon in Florida with multi-million dollar annual practice. He would kill to achieve 99.998% safety record.

In my own case, as a 81 year old, it has been 155 days past the 2nd shot of Moderna vaccine, and zero side effects. My wife is in her 4th year of fighting stage-4 cancer and her immune system is highly compromised from all the chemo & radiation and surgeries. She also has no adverse effects from the vaccine after 155 days. So I can stick my neck out and pontificate that these covid vaccines are a big nothing burger in causing problems. I am looking forward to sailing on a cruise ship next month with my vaccinations docs handy.

Have a happy day.


144 posted on 08/07/2021 11:54:25 AM PDT by entropy12 (President Trump was the force behind warp speed availability of vaccines for Americans. )
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To: entropy12

Thank you for your kind words.

Yes I’ve read some stats you posted in comments at various Threads a few times. Always makes an excellent case for safety. The numbers don’t lie.

I guess I am pro vax for my wife and myself and other family members.
But I believe in freedom and it’s not up to me to decide people’s medical choices.

My second dose of Pfizer on April 21st…….no side effects at all a long as we don’t count the new Ear growing on my chest……

I’m pretty sure we’ll reach herd immunity eventually.
The hard way or the easy way…….unfortunately it’s looking like the hard way.

Have a great day.


145 posted on 08/07/2021 2:13:01 PM PDT by David Chase
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To: null and void; aragorn; EnigmaticAnomaly; kalee; Kale; AZ .44 MAG; Baynative; bgill; bitt; ...

p


146 posted on 07/15/2023 6:43:27 PM PDT by bitt (<img src=' 'width=40%>)
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To: ransomnote; All

Thanks ‘note & thanks to every poster.


147 posted on 07/15/2023 7:28:22 PM PDT by PGalt (Past Peak Civilization?)
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To: bitt

Wonder what excuse will be used next plandemic ?


148 posted on 07/15/2023 7:41:48 PM PDT by no-to-illegals ( The enemy has US surrounded. May God have mercy on them.)
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