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International Team of Specialists Finds No End in Sight to 30‐Year Cooling Trend in Northern Hemisphere [New York Times, January 5, 1978]
New York Times via Internet Archive ^ | January 5, 1978 | WALTER SULLIVAN

Posted on 04/23/2021 2:11:49 PM PDT by grundle

An international team of specialists has concluded from eight indexes of climate that there is no end in sight to the cooling trend of the last 30 years, at least in the Northern Hemisphere.

In some, but not all cases, the data extend through last winter. They include sea surface temperatures in the northcentral Pacific and north Atlantic, air temperatures at the surface and at various elevations as well as the extent of snow and ice cover at different seasons.

In almost all cases it has been found that the year‐to‐year variations in climate are far more marked than the long‐term trend. The long‐term trend often becomes evident only when data from a number of years are displayed.

The report, prepared by German, Japanese and American specialists, appears in the Dec. 15 issue of Nature, the British journal. The findings indicate that from 1950 to 1975 the cooling, per decade, of most climate indexes in the Northern Hemisphere was from 0.1 to 0.2 degrees Celsius, roughly 0.2 to 0.4 degrees Fahrenheit.

Data from the Southern Hemisphere, particularly south of latitude 30 south, are so meager that reliable conclusions are not possible, the report says. The 30th parallel of south latitude passes through South Africa, Chile and southern Australia. The cooling trend seems to‐extend at least part way into the Southern Hemisphere but there have been indications of warming at high southern latitudes.

The various indexes were reported as follows:

¶Average surface air temperatures recorded at 358 stations north of latitude 20 degrees south from 1951 to 1975 have been analyzed by Drs. R. Yamamoto and T. Iwashima of Kyoto University in Japan on regional and season bases. A general cooling is evident with “an intensive cooling episode” from 1961 to 1964.

¶Generally similar trends are evident in temperatures of the lower 18,000 feet of the atmosphere as charted by Dr. Horst Dronia of the Weather Office in Hannover, West Germany. For the period from 1949 to 1976, he has calculated, for 220 points in the Northern Hemisphere, the average temperature of the atmosphere from the separation between the pressure levels near the surface (at 1,000 millibars) and one high up (at 500 millibars). An increase in separation indicated expansion and hence warming. A decrease, for example, of 20 meters (66 feet) was taken to mean atmospheric shrinking, indicating a cooling in that case of I degree Celsius (almost 2 degrees Fahrenheit).

¶Observations extending higher into the atmosphere confirmed the trend. The authors were Drs. J. K. Angell and. 1. Korshover of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Laboratories. in Silver Spring, Md.

¶North Pacific water temperatures compiled by the same agency's Marine Fisheries Service have been analyzed by Dr. Jerome Namias of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography at La Jolla, Calif. The original source was temperature readings of cooling water intake made by ships at a rate of more than 20,000 a month. The data, plotted for 153 locations, show a gradual cooling broken by a sharp warming in 1967‐68.

¶A similar study based on data from weather ships in the North Atlantic has been done by Dr. Martin Rodewald, former head of the Oceanic Division of the German Weather Service. Since the seven American weather ships were withdrawn in 1973 only two have remained, but observations of a cooling trend have continued.

¶A gradual increase in area of the northern circumpolar vortex, the massive flow of frigid air around the Arctic, has been recorded by Drs. Angell and Korshover. In 1976 its southern’ extent was the greatest in 10 years and last winter it was 1 percent larger than in any previous winter observed.

¶Snow and ice cover in the Northern Hemisphere have varied greatly but there has been a net increase according to a satellite photograph analysis by Dr George J. Kukla of Columbia University's Lamont‐Doherty Geological Observatory. This has been most marked in the spring when so highly reflective a cover returns much solar energy into space at a time of intense solar radiation.

¶Antarctic sea ice coverage, after increasing to 1972, has been shrinking.

The observations come, at a time when a warming trend could have been expected from the increase of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere due to extensive fuel burning. The gas inhibits the escape of solar heat from the earth. Dr. Kukla, in a telephone interview this week, said that the cause of the apparent cooling remained unknown and that no scientific attempt to predict whether the trend would continue was possible. Monitoring of the various indexes is continuing, he added.


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: globalcooling; globalwarming
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1 posted on 04/23/2021 2:11:49 PM PDT by grundle
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To: grundle

Nonsense then, nonsense now.


2 posted on 04/23/2021 2:12:52 PM PDT by RBW in PA
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To: grundle

Did the “International Team of Specialists” include any scientists?


3 posted on 04/23/2021 2:15:52 PM PDT by Steely Tom ([Voter Fraud] == [Civil War])
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To: RBW in PA

Nonsense then, nonsense now.

..........................................

Nonsense forever.


4 posted on 04/23/2021 2:16:59 PM PDT by Graybeard58 (The China virus doesn't scare me, Venezuelaism does.)
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To: grundle

There was supposed to be an ice age coming according to the libtards when I was growing up but that never gained enough traction for a power grab.


5 posted on 04/23/2021 2:17:13 PM PDT by NWFree (Socialism is legalized plunder)
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To: NWFree

The ice age is coming, the sun’s zooming in
Meltdown expected, the wheat is growing thin
Engines stop running, but I have no fear
‘Cause London is drowning
I live by the river


6 posted on 04/23/2021 2:18:08 PM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: grundle

That’s why it’s called climate change now instead of global warming.


7 posted on 04/23/2021 2:22:09 PM PDT by SkyDancer (To Most People The Sky's The Limit ~ To A Pilot, It is Home)
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To: grundle

Hmmm, just a little cooler now and maybe that hockeystick will come in handy after all...


8 posted on 04/23/2021 2:24:44 PM PDT by Hegemony Cricket (< < Wandering aimfully > >)
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To: grundle

They meant to say that they see no end to the annual funding increase requests.


9 posted on 04/23/2021 2:24:47 PM PDT by Howie66 (God Bless TEXAS! #Texit)
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To: grundle

And Gates wants to cover up the sun.


10 posted on 04/23/2021 2:25:08 PM PDT by ryderann
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To: Graybeard58

Actually this reads more like legitimate science. We are dealing with a periodic solar minimum. That cools the earth’s atmosphere AND legitimately causes wider swings, read extreme, weather due to lower ozone and upper level winds that tend to level weather closer to average.

Expect moderately cooler and drier weather, with broader upper and lower temps.


11 posted on 04/23/2021 2:26:21 PM PDT by Blueflag
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To: grundle

I lived through the Great Blizzard of 1978. It was the beginning of the end, and marked the start of the next Ice Age,


12 posted on 04/23/2021 2:26:27 PM PDT by kaehurowing
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To: grundle

Then Algore shows up and reverses it ,LOL


13 posted on 04/23/2021 2:27:04 PM PDT by butlerweave
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To: NWFree
There was supposed to be an ice age coming according to the libtards when I was growing up but that never gained enough traction for a power grab.

True, but they tried again with an oil shortage ruse. Carter even shoved the 55 mph limit down our throat.

14 posted on 04/23/2021 2:27:07 PM PDT by unixfox (Abolish Slavery, Repeal the 16th Amendment)
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To: grundle

Well, they didn’t have real sciencey scientists back then like Anthony Fauci and Greta Thunberg. We are so lucky. Sarcasm.


15 posted on 04/23/2021 2:27:14 PM PDT by cdcdawg (WTF is "Jim Eagle?")
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To: grundle

“Yah, but.. well, this has nothing to do with “Climate Change” said the econarcistic activists. “We are the ones to tell you what to think, not them.” Then their tone will change. “We told you that “Climate Change” was coming, and that’s what this is! We must stop the existential threat to the Earth, Global Cooling!”


16 posted on 04/23/2021 2:28:20 PM PDT by Richard Axtell ( )
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To: grundle

Lake Tahoe early 90’s. 5 year drought and millions of acre feet of water is gone. Experts say it will take a generation to even get the lake back to normal depths. Year 6 the snowfall brings lake back to normal levels. Year 7 major snowfall and Tahoe Basin floods in the Spring. What do the experts know?


17 posted on 04/23/2021 2:29:14 PM PDT by Son-Joshua (son-joshua)
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To: Steely Tom
Dr. Kukla, in a telephone interview this week, said that the cause of the apparent cooling remained unknown and that no scientific attempt to predict whether the trend would continue was possible.

Drs. Fran and Ollie could not be reached for comment.

18 posted on 04/23/2021 2:34:47 PM PDT by gundog (It was a bright cold day in April, and the clocks were striking thirteen. )
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To: Son-Joshua

“experts” that’s a hoot.


19 posted on 04/23/2021 2:35:31 PM PDT by exnavy
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Actually....ice age is coming! The Earth’s magnetic poles are shifting and the coming solar grand minimum will make for some interesting weather patterns and wild weather. The left will claim it is man’s fault. Delusions of grandeur. When the left’s climate mandates don’t slow it down, they will insist more is done.


20 posted on 04/23/2021 2:36:40 PM PDT by mouse1
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