Posted on 12/09/2020 6:10:34 AM PST by MtnClimber
The Sun may be in for a very busy time. According to new predictions, the next maximum in its activity cycles could be the one of the strongest we've seen.
This is in direct contradiction to the official solar weather forecast from NASA and the NOAA, but if it bears out, it could confirm a theory about solar activity cycles that scientists have been working on for years.
"Scientists have struggled to predict both the length and the strength of sunspot cycles because we lack a fundamental understanding of the mechanism that drives the cycle," said solar physicist Scott McIntosh of the US National Center for Atmospheric Research.
"If our forecast proves correct, we will have evidence that our framework for understanding the Sun's internal magnetic machine is on the right path."
The Sun's activity levels are actually quite variable, and its activity cycles are bound up with its magnetic field.
Every 11 years, the Sun's poles swap places; south becomes north and north becomes south. It's not clear what drives these cycles, but we do know that the poles switch when the magnetic field is at its weakest.
Because the Sun's magnetic field controls its activity - sunspots (temporary regions of strong magnetic fields), solar flares, and coronal mass ejections (produced by magnetic field lines snapping and reconnecting) -
Does not fit the global warming religion so you have to dig deep to find the studies.
+++++
Your post was spot on. Keep it up.
See post 43 above.
The issue is never the issue; the issue is always the revolution.
It is interesting that the graph at the link you provided shows a dip near the center of the previous two sun spot peaks.
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Science is dead.
NASA and NOAA are still saying that this will be a weak solar maximum.
It is clothing that is bad bad bad. With the global warming if we quit wearing clothes the pollution and carbon that clothing makes wil lbe greatly lowerd and save us.
Aren’t there supposed to be little black spots?
‘WTF?
“Scientists” have been saying the Sun has entered a Grand Solar Minimum, to last 50 years, with global cooling probable.
Now this?
Eggs bad! Eggs good! Eggs bad!
Coffee good! Coffee bad! Coffee good!
Masks on! Masks off! Masks on!
Highly educated idiots have run amuck. Including coders.’
This being actual, testable science, we’ll know the answer soon enough. That’s in contrast to the more difficult questions of AGW or whether cloth masks are anything more than a poor fashion choice...
I’ve been thinking this cycle would be very weak based on the “Layman’s Sunspot Count”, which at a minimum made interesting points on how sunspots are counted today versus at the beginning of the record (15th century).
Looks like that site is down, perhaps gone for good.
At any rate, it should be interesting!
Even during a solar minimum you are still going to have some sunspots possible and a CME ejections are possible. In 2018-19-20 we have went over 200 days without a sun spot.
This simply cannot be! Solar activity has a direct effect on Global Warming. (Our only source of warmth is the sun.) The science of Global Warming is absolutely SETTLED. There simply can be no controversy.
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