Posted on 11/16/2020 11:16:29 AM PST by BenLurkin
On Thursday, a new study came out warning that even if we stopped emitting carbon dioxide, the world has reached the “point of no return” for climate change. The paper claims that’s because Arctic permafrost—carbon-rich, permanently frozen earth made of rocks, water, and dead wildlife—is melting irreversibly, and it could continue to heat the planet for centuries by releasing carbon dioxide. Terrifying, right?
The only solution, the authors indicate, is to suck carbon out of the air with carbon capture, which is yet unproven to work at scale, or to employ even more dangerous geoengineering technologies. The study’s results and conclusions have been covered widely and a bit breathlessly, but here’s the thing: The analysis has some big problems.
The problems with the study begin with its title, which refers to the “melting of permafrost.” That’s a red flag because as Merritt Turetsky, an ecologist who directs the Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research at the University of Colorado, Boulder, noted, permafrost thaws rather than melting.
They’re not climate scientists, they’re business school professors. And it shows in the report, because their model is simplistic. Climate researchers have spent decades building out models that account for the intricacies of the climate. More complex models, for instance, better illustrate the ocean’s circulation patterns, which can have a large effect on warming in the long term. They also more accurately display how much water vapor is in the atmosphere, which is short-lived but common natural source of warming. The new paper’s model misses a lot of this.
Yet another major flaw in the model also overestimates methane emissions’ warming potential. The authors claim that methane will be the chief driver of future temperature increases, but in doing so, they exaggerate the temperature increase that the methane concentrations in their model could produce.
(Excerpt) Read more at earther.gizmodo.com ...
Heck I was hoping this would be full of data worthy of the “debunk” moniker. It isn’t. It’s just a little internecine spat over a particular source of greenhosing — not a dressdown of the spurious data and premises of the stupid meme.
bkmk
We are removing CO2 every day when we take out the garbage.
What’s in our trash? Paper, plastic, tossed out food — a large percentage of that is carbon.
Where does it go? To landfills, to be buried.
Termites produce more methane emissions than humans.
Better call the Orkin Man.
According to the United Nations then head of the UN Sec-Gen Ban Ki-Moon, the point of no return was in 2012. The IPCC issued no correction or criticism.
If you want to reduce carbon in the atmosphere, stop recycling paper.
Paper is made from trees that are planted by people as crops, like corn or wheat only it takes longer to grow. If you recycle paper, there is less demand for new paper and fewer trees are planted. If you send paper to a landfill, more trees are planted and the carbon in the old paper is encapsulated and removed from the atmosphere for hundreds or thousands of years.
We used to LOCK people in asylums for believing they could “Control the Weather”, why did we stop??
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.