Posted on 11/01/2020 5:54:22 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
We’re now two days away from Election Day, and Joe Biden leads in both national and state polls. At this point, President Trump needs a big polling error in his favor if he's going to win — and as editor-in-chief Nate Silver writes, a 2016-sized polling error just isn’t going to cut it. But that doesn’t mean there isn’t still a path for Trump. Trump might be the underdog, but bigger polling errors have happened in the past, and there’s a difference between a 10 percent chance of winning and a 0 percent chance. A 10 percent chance of winning, which is what our forecast gives Trump, is roughly the same as the odds that it’s raining in downtown Los Angeles. And it does rain there. (Downtown L.A. has about 36 rainy days per year, or about a 1-in-10 shot of a rainy day.)
(Excerpt) Read more at projects.fivethirtyeight.com ...
Trump voters will turn out en Masse Tuesday.
If I have to stand in line for hours to vote for Trump, I will.
Biden voters will not wait in line for hours to vote.
The Supreme Court will stop the illegal vote by mail counting
after the polls close.
And Trump will win re-election.
his model has 50-50 chance for OH
Nate, the only track record you have is being wrong.
Your ridiculous predictions mean squat yo me!
Nate deserves 5 .38s.
I think the odds are greater that Trump will win MI than he will PA. PA is just too much of an unknown with voter fraud. In an honest election, your map would have a good deal more Red.
Am I the only one who thinks Trump is going to win Virginia?
He's not going to win Virginia. It's just like Maryland now due to NoVa.
Really? The Dems aren’t taking the Great Lake States for granted? How do you figure that when Biden has been locked down most of the time, and when he is out, he can’t draw flies!
The Dems are taking a lot for granted, and trusting these bull sh*t polls once again.
I think Dinesh Desousa had the best explanation: “they are all doing their part”. They being the Democrap party and it’s operatives, their media arm, pop culture and sports celebs, tech giants, and Wall St. - the entire Ruling Class. They are of one mind, one culture, one set of values, and hole a common disdain for We The (Deplorable) People.
So in their bubble it is better to go down mouthing the party line than to start backpedaling and showing weakness and insecurity. In a world of blue pillers, nobody want to be the first to take the red pill.
Ten minutes ago I talked with my boy near Salt Lake City, UT. He was almost agog (unusual) over a Trump Train of autos he just saw - “Never seen anything like it in my life.”
Couple that, plus other Trains, and add in the mind-boggling photo of the crowd in Butler, PA, and I’m calling Nate’s predictions not only utter hogwash but predict myself that President Trump will beat Biden so badly that no amount of cheating will save him - and that’s saying a lot from this cynic.
>>A red tsunami is coming.<<
Trump received 306 EC votes in 2016. His base has not eroded.
Trump’s support has firmed and grown.
I think he’ll receive 320+.
Answer: Nate Silver, the biggest fraud in the polling business right now.
In Michigan, you have Detroit.
Massive Trump Caravans Swarm Sunday Roadways Coast to Coast…https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2020/11/01/massive-trump-caravans-swarm-sunday-roadways-coast-to-coast/
Check out the pics .... this is all “organic” ... patriotic Americans showing their support, not organized by the RNC. Ever seen anything like this?
Nate is a left wing pundit who pretends “math” makes him something else...
He’ll be eating crow once again this year
Detroit is roughly 6.5% of the population in MI. Philadelphia is roughly 12.5% of the population in PA.
I don’t even listen to Biden anymore. I don’t care what he has to say. Only interested in Trump.
I think it’s possible to win Va but not likely.
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