Posted on 11/01/2020 5:54:22 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
We’re now two days away from Election Day, and Joe Biden leads in both national and state polls. At this point, President Trump needs a big polling error in his favor if he's going to win — and as editor-in-chief Nate Silver writes, a 2016-sized polling error just isn’t going to cut it. But that doesn’t mean there isn’t still a path for Trump. Trump might be the underdog, but bigger polling errors have happened in the past, and there’s a difference between a 10 percent chance of winning and a 0 percent chance. A 10 percent chance of winning, which is what our forecast gives Trump, is roughly the same as the odds that it’s raining in downtown Los Angeles. And it does rain there. (Downtown L.A. has about 36 rainy days per year, or about a 1-in-10 shot of a rainy day.)
(Excerpt) Read more at projects.fivethirtyeight.com ...
In Michigan you have Detroit
Yeah Wayne country is fraud central! 2016 they had over 20000 votes more than was registared if memory serves me right. Was never looked into.
What a Pant-Load!!!
I believe Trump will win VA and we will flip a house seat too (VA 2nd)
Why on earth are you posting this tripe?
Likely with a VERY small margin. Coin toss. Trafalgar Group has Trump losing in Minnesota which what I'm reading Trump will win Minnesota. Trafalgar Group is being conservative on their estimation not trying to hit it on the head meaning there is a larger margin going to Trump. Virginia is going to be close either way though it should trend Trump.
Pennsylvania Trump will need a +5% to overcome the largest election fraud in US history in that state (even Biden said something like that) Trump should be at around +4 right now.
I agree with those who are saying that they are just establishing a narrative about a “stolen election” when Trump wins.
The huge crowds turning out for the President will help undercut their arguments, however they will continue to tell us we can’t believe our lying eyes.
You have an interesting point. Polling is a business, and they deliver the product the buyers want.
But then again this could also be intentional propaganda to justify massive violence when Biden loses.
It’s only going to hurt even more this time around Natie. Giving Grandpa Groundhog more than a 1% chance is cruel and you should be ashamed of yourself.
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