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Rasmussen, IBD/TIPP show Biden lead collapsing; Economist has Biden up only because of turnout model.

Posted on 10/21/2020 9:32:14 AM PDT by dangus

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To: damper99
”Drudge has that Iowa is trending blue and Georgia is slipping away from Trump.

Since no one except liberals pays any attention to Drudge these days those types of headlines could be helpful. All that Drudge’s leftist slant on polls will do is encourage libs to be lazy about voting since they’ve got it in the bag.

41 posted on 10/21/2020 11:00:13 AM PDT by noiseman (The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.`)
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To: fireman15

Popular vote as measured by Dornsife is the action term here. I think they are adjusting the popular vote models based on Trumps loss of the popular vote in 2016. Trump could still be behind in the popular vote because of the blue states but still win by electoral vote counts.


42 posted on 10/21/2020 11:06:17 AM PDT by mdmathis6
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To: Steely Tom

I do not know of any Trump 2016 voter who now supports Biden. I do know of many more Trump supports who openly support Trump and many more who are afraid to openly support Trump.


43 posted on 10/21/2020 11:08:49 AM PDT by FoundinTexas
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To: DarthVader

I would settle for 40 and 4 gains. Hehehehe


44 posted on 10/21/2020 11:08:56 AM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: mdmathis6

Conservatives out votes liberals in 2016. Libertarians didn’t vote for Trump, they will this time.


45 posted on 10/21/2020 11:09:25 AM PDT by SteelPSUGOP
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To: fireman15

The results in the “Trust Advantage” column clearly indicate a heavily liberal/dem-skewed sample.


46 posted on 10/21/2020 11:09:50 AM PDT by noiseman (The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.`)
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To: dangus

So, according to the polls, long-time Biden supporters are jumping ship and supporting Trump. That is nice to see.


47 posted on 10/21/2020 11:25:00 AM PDT by Cowboy Bob (Mocking Liberals is not only a right, but the duty of all Americans.)
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To: DarthVader

That’s very promising for House races too.


48 posted on 10/21/2020 11:26:50 AM PDT by rfp1234 (Caveat Emperor)
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To: dangus

Most moderate Dems don’t want Joe, he’s never answered questions and his running mate is terrible.


49 posted on 10/21/2020 11:27:05 AM PDT by 1Old Pro (FILL THE SEAT)
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To: rfp1234

It aligns with what we are observing in the campaign.


50 posted on 10/21/2020 11:28:11 AM PDT by DarthVader (Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues th the day be decided but by Blood & Iron)
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To: Rockingham

I’ve seen that as well!


51 posted on 10/21/2020 11:43:31 AM PDT by Cottonhill
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To: damper99

Rush always has been defeatist, like Hannity.


52 posted on 10/21/2020 11:45:48 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: DarthVader

What a night that would be!


53 posted on 10/21/2020 11:46:31 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: Parley Baer

So would I!


54 posted on 10/21/2020 11:47:06 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: fortheDeclaration

Rush is dealing with a lot right now. I would discount what he says.


55 posted on 10/21/2020 11:47:46 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: Tanniker Smith
Now they need to balance voter suppression with actual accuracy for their reputations.

Bingo.

56 posted on 10/21/2020 11:48:58 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: damper99

If that happens, were all effed.


57 posted on 10/21/2020 12:03:31 PM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: Steely Tom

“I heard about one “turnout model” in which they assumed that only about 70% of voters who selected PDJT in 2016 would do so again in 2020.”

yeah i saw that too, and it’s complete nonsense ...


58 posted on 10/21/2020 12:11:29 PM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: dangus

“The bad news is Dornsife”

not really ... they proved they couldn’t accurately predict in 2016 just like the rest of the polls, so why should we expect them to be more accurate in 2020?


59 posted on 10/21/2020 12:13:08 PM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: damper99

“Drudge has that Iowa is trending blue and Georgia is slipping away from Trump.”

drudge is a far-left anti-trump outfit, so just assume the opposite is true from anything they claim ...


60 posted on 10/21/2020 12:14:53 PM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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