Posted on 10/04/2020 11:07:10 AM PDT by bort
Georgia VBM numbers appear promising for Trump. Superficially, Democrats have a large lead in requested and returned VBM ballots. Black voters have requested 31% of VBM ballots, and have returned roughly 33% of VBM ballots, a number a little above their voter registration %. Not surprising as there is a well-funded black senate candidate on the ballot AND the DNC/state party have been pushing VBM. However, there is a lot of good news. First, men are returning a higher share (14.4%) of their VBM than women (13.2%). Second, Fulton County (Atlanta) voters have only returned 5% of their VBM as compared to 14% average state-wide. (continued below).
“First, men are returning a higher share (14.4%) of their VBM than women (13.2%). “
I thought women were afraid of the virus and wanted to vote by mail? Maybe Democratic women more so than Republican women.
Since he’s been President hes raised nearly a billion and a half dollars for his re-election alone much less the RNC I keep hearing about this massive ground game he put all his money into we shall see if it was a smart strategy
Not anyone that I know.
How do they determine the race of the voter?
“men are returning a higher share (14.4%) of their VBM than women (13.2%). “
I thought women were afraid of the virus and wanted to vote by mail? Maybe Democratic women more so than Republican women.
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Women are more afraid of the China Virus than men. Polls show this and every day experience does as well . Some of the fear is personal, but some of it is fear that they will catch it and pass it on to their children or elderly parents. That women are returning a lower % than men is very surprising and may mean something is brewing. There is evidence also that black male Republicans and Unaffiliateds are over performing 2016 in N Carolina. How about Florida?
The southern states require that states note racial data on registrations. We know everything about voters except how they voted.
I saw a poll in which over 65 blacks support Biden more than 95%. Younger blacks are more willing to consider Trump, and the younger the more open to Trump.
The best news is the decision by the 11th circuit that overturns the after Election Day acceptance
How do you define older?
I saw a poll on the ABC Evening “News” a few weeks ago (I think it was ABC) that stated President Trump has a 27% approval rating amongst blacks in Pennsylvania.
If this translates into actually votes for the president, I don’t see how Biden can win Pennsylvania.
Haven’t seen any demographics yet on Florida voters.
Daniel Smith usually provides numbers as voting is under way. When he tabulates some numbers, I’ll post.
Older voters in Pennsylvania have no issue with socialism/communism. So I’d guess it depends where the older voters are.
Disgusting that Georgia is even in play. It used to be blood red. We keep losing States yet democrats don’t seem to be at least in the same speed. I’m sickened by it.
I don’t know, I keep hearing seniors. I’m 75 so I guess I’m an older voter but I totally support Trump.
I live in AZ and I know how many Californians have moved here (Biden yard signs and CA plates) and I know a lot of New Yorkers have moved to Florida.
Do you find it suspicious that Professor Smith hasn’t published detailed demographic numbers yet?
B
Many old people I know are already moving into senility.
They get scared when they see Biden Ads saying Trump will reduce their Social Security and Medicare to pay for tax cuts for the rich. Fear and lies works with seniors.
Importing million+ immigrants with low skills and no wealth requirement has done the job.
Immigration should be strictly merit based and exception for bringing several million dollars to invest in USA economy.
My guess is it’s because the state has a ton of black business owners. Corporate taxes is a real eye opener, lol. I noticed when the BLM riots started here, a lot of blacks were outspoken against the rioting and looting. We haven’t had ongoing problems like some states, unless white antifa punks are bussed in.
Possibly. But it is early. Only a week of early voting.
I would think he’d post some numbers though in the next week or so.
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