So it is dropping. Great news. We are on the backside of this.
Correct, the trend is downwards. The 500 odd deaths yesterday are from 2 to 3 weeks ago. And the trend of NEW cases since the 21st of July has been downwards, so we can expect the trend of daily deaths to also head downwards.
I would still expect (but not predict0 a couple of spikes in deaths, but the trend would indicate that by 31 August we are at 300 deaths per day.
Let’s hope it goes lower — keep social distancing and stay masked in public spaces to minimize the spread.
That being said - I wouldn’t declare victory — OR an impending cliff-edge, just yet. The country is too big and there might be a sudden spike up in Louisiana that throws everything for a toss.
However, if people followed what Vietnam, Slovakia, Taiwan and Thailand did and masked in public places, then the trend will be inexorably down.