Stanford doctor: Coronavirus fatality rate for people under 45 'almost 0%'

Washington Examiner ^ | 07/05/2020 | by Dominick Mastrangelo

[SeekAndFind]

Stanford University's disease prevention chairman slammed using statewide lockdown measures as a response to the coronavirus, saying they were implemented based on bad data and inaccurate modeling.

“There are already more than 50 studies that have presented results on how many people in different countries and locations have developed antibodies to the virus,” Dr. John Ioannidis said during a recent interview with Greek Reporter. “Of course, none of these studies are perfect, but cumulatively, they provide useful composite evidence. A very crude estimate might suggest that about 150-300 million or more people have already been infected around the world, far more than the 10 million documented cases.”

Ioannidis pointed out the mortality rate is low among young people who have contracted the virus.

“The death rate in a given country depends a lot on the age structure, who are the people infected, and how they are managed,” Ioannidis said. “For people younger than 45, the infection fatality rate is almost 0%. For 45 to 70, it is probably about 0.05%-0.3%. For those above 70, it escalates substantially.”

Since the pandemic began in February, more than 2.6 million people in the United States have contracted the virus, and 128,000 have died.

Several states have seen spikes in cases, especially in the southeastern part of the country, where lockdown measures were lifted earlier than in other states.

The mortality rate nationwide appears to be tapering, however, a trend U.S. health officials attribute to a younger age bracket in terms of infection. The national single-day death rate from the virus fell to a three-month low last month. Additionally, Massachusetts reported zero new deaths from the coronavirus on Tuesday for the first time since March.

[olivia3boys]

Pretty soon they will tell you to get out in the sun and breathe fresh air. That's what happened during the 1918 Pandemic. The nurses took morning walks...unmasked and in the sun.

I'm a huge proponent of this. Since mid March I've been working from home--outside on my back patio. I've visited friends and family for dinners but only outside--on their back patios. I think it is very hard to transmit the virus outside in fresh air. It's easy to stay outside practically all the time in CA.

[RJS1950]

Naw! I’m coming to believe that the virus switches on a gene for stupidity. It’s the reason why we’re going through the year of living stupid. This virus is and always been a basic nothing more than a flu without a vaccine. New cases are NOT new cases, they are positive tests which account for around 10% of the overall testing numbers. That is raw, uncorrelated data without real meaning other than of those exposed, very few are hospitalized or die. The pandemic, declared by the now discredited WHO, was done in this country and others at least a month ago, but the stupid gene remains in control. Gotta keep spooking the herd, at least until November.

[silverleaf]

Dang, that last para ought to be a national briefing
Along with get your Vit D, C, and Zinc levels checked and take supplements as needed to boost them

[poinq]

I thought the outside exercise would increase your vitamin D

[TexasTransplant]

I posted this link on an earlier thread
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cSKjcltDkng
Graphs, Stats and Resources

Ivor Cummins approaches this from an Engineers POV
I found it well worth the time

[silverleaf]

It helps but maybe not equally for everyone esp if you are older, wear sunscreen or are covered by clothing

supplements are a cheap way to make sure
4000 IU per day as prophylactic dose

[Mase]

Now that the risk of death from Covid has been determined to be exceptionally lower than previously believed, the what about this crowd is harping on resulting afflictions from having Covid-19 like MIS-C. They are touting it as one more reason we cannot go back to school in the fall and must remain at home.

Have you seen any MIS-C in your practice? If so, how common is it and are kids who have it recovering? We are being told it is increasingly prevalent among the young who were supposed to be the least impacted by Covid.

[Mom MD]

I don’t treat pediatrics but my understanding is it is rare and most recover completely. Covid is not the only thing that causes it and a certain number of cases per year are expected outside covid. It will not keep me from sending. my daughter to school

[Mase]

Thank you for your reply! We have a group of teachers doing their best to keep school closed, and they are throwing anything and everything against the wall to make something stick. I read that more school age kids in my state contracted meningitis last year vs. MIS-C. I think these people like getting paid to stay at home. That’s good work....if you can get it.