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Around the Horn Summary
self | 6/4/2020 | LS

Posted on 06/04/2020 6:33:50 AM PDT by LS

Hi all, Just a few thoughts and info on where we are.

First, much of America is opening up with a lot of stupid regs, but I think these will fade by July. I’ve already seen Papa John’s workers without masks, though I still see a lot of fearful people in grocery stores with masks. As I say, I expect the China Virus will be largely gone by July.

Second, the market has come roaring back. This is very important as Rush Limbaugh said yesterday. This time, the market is siding with Main Street and saying it believes in America. Earlier I had predicted we’d hit 26,000 by October. Well, we crossed 26,000 yesterday. Possibly we’ll cross 30,000 by October. Despite some sectors being badly hurt-—entertainment/Hollywood/concerts, sports/public events, airlines & oil-—most ag continued unabated as did mining, logging, while vast new work-from-home businesses expanded. One of my brand consultants was swamped, and one lady ran an 8,000 person Zoom meeting. Dunno how you do that. My son works in Med-tech with a CA company called Veeva that is just going nuts. His stocks soared. Other areas, including bicycle manufacturers, hiking and home workout equipment, online exercise classes, have exploded. Homeschooling has grown-—and this is my area-—though I’m seeing a small stream of sales (I think most homeschoolers this year are waiting til closer to August to buy because of money).

Unemployment requests fell under 2m today. We may cross that threshold & start adding jobs soon. Oil will rebound. Futures are already better. Rush had good comments the other day from some of his business friends who said that, yes, we can recover without NY or CA. In part, much of CA (ag, mining, oil) was never “shut down.” Hollywood was already in a downward spiral. Banking to Asia can still be done in a lockdown. So we may be witnessing a major economic shift away from the coasts.

In short, the DemoKKKrat attempted sabotage of the economy failed. It will be growing by October. Maybe not exploding, but will definitely be growing. The “right track” question on Rasmussen only dropped 1 point during this whole time. That’s key.

Second, as for the riots, many people use the “Insurrection Act” of 1807 to say Trump can just send in troops to LA or NYC if he wants to. Yes and no. Legally, he may have the authority. But historically and practically, no president in history has EVER sent in troops without the request of a gov with only two exceptions, and both involved Civil Rights. Both in Alabama under George Wallace and in 1957 in Little Rock, presidents (Kennedy and Ike) either sent in federal troops or nationalized the Guard to provide protection for black students attending college/school. Ike had a court order from a federal judge. But both had the broader “Brown v Bd of Education” ruling from the US Supreme court making clear this was federal policy.

The practical problems with sending in the troops without a gov/mayor’s request is that you put the troops in the possible position of working AGAINST police. Certainly they would get no support from the police. It also means you would make police forces take sides as to following the feds or their mayor (and many of course are there with the govs & mayors). It would be a VERY dangerous situation. And remember our military is NOT designed to be a police force. The military exists to kill people and break things. Yes, it “can” police, the same way you can use an electric band saw to cut a steak. But that’s not its purpose. ANY TIME you use the military for other than their purpose they are not as effective and you create trouble. (”building schools” and “peacekeepers”). We see what has happened to US “peacekeepers.”

My guess is that Trump will continue to force the govs into either enforcing their own laws or begging him for help. Until they do so, I don’t think he’ll send in troops.

While my heart goes out to honest citizens of some of these cities, the fact is the cities must be made to feel the pain of their choices. Unfortunately the pain falls on the just and the unjust. The just must be made to either move or become activists themselves who can expand their #S into enough to make a significant difference locally.

Finally, my own view is that the polls, just as they were in 2016, are horrifically off. I think Trump is at or over 50%; I think he is doing better in all the 2016 battleground states than he did in 2016. I would automatically add 5 points to Trump in any poll. Remember in 2016 the AVERAGE error in WI was 6 points!! This is huge. It means many pollsters were off by 7-8 points. No one had Trump winning MI or PA or WI. (Only Baris had him winning these, but he is never included in the RCP average).

Look for the GOP to move the convention to a friendly state without a dillweed gov; I expect Trump will hold at least one rally before the convention. Then it’s over. They will have failed massively to stop him on Twit (where he now has 81m followers, #7 on the list). They will have failed to stop the rallies.

And here’s the final takeaway: by rolling out Zero, W, Mattis, and McChrystal in the SAME WEEK it tells me they are phenomenally desperate and know they are losing huge. This is something you save for late October! The fact they had to use this now says they know Demented Biteme will lose huge.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: chinavirus; riots; trump
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To: LS

Thanks for this. The “news” is SO negative ... I just don’t believe any of it anymore ... Faux News included. I pick my ‘sources’ very carefully. Unfortunately, my elderly folks watch/believe all the negatives ... they are SO depressed, it isn’t funny. Die-hard Trump fans ... he’s not losing their votes, but the mental anguish being caused by hearing all the negatives is taking a toll. Dad is a WWII Vet ... all this stuff is killing him (probably literally - advanced heart failure & stress is not good).

Unfortunately, we have Blacface Baby Killer Coonman (the mask fascist) for a governor .... of course we didn’t vote for him & seeing what he’s doing to Virginia (and now Monument Avenue in Richmond ... his lips are Super Glued to Mayor Stoney’s butt) is more than depressing and extremely frustrating.


21 posted on 06/04/2020 8:23:14 AM PDT by Qiviut ("I have never wished death upon a man, but I have read many obituaries with pleasure" Mark Twain)
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To: LS

I got your ping. The one that said ‘test’.


22 posted on 06/04/2020 8:24:50 AM PDT by Mama Shawna
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To: LS

Thanks and I got your Freepmail test.


23 posted on 06/04/2020 8:26:13 AM PDT by hsmomx3 (Patiently awaiting the return of Steelers football)
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To: Chaguito

Received here as well.
Preparing to use d’rat method:
Compiling my crib notes
in order to pass.

Thanks, LS.
MAGA!
VSG-POTUS, Donald J. Trump ~ winner
Take the House.
Hold the Senate.
Return our government to WTP!


24 posted on 06/04/2020 8:45:57 AM PDT by V K Lee ("VICTORY FOR THE RIGHTEOUS IS JUDGMENT FOR THE WICKED")
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To: LS; LucyT

NO TROOPS!!!

POTUS himself said, and repeated many times, that he’s withdrawing our troops from Afghanistan because US troops should not be used as policemen as they’re doing now.

He’d better be consistent and avoid falling in the deepest hole dug for him by Soros and his Antifa army! They’re already calling him falsely a ‘dictator’ and they need ‘pictures’ to go with it.

Imagine the pictures of troops in our streets killing people in self defense.
Antifa will force our military to shoot back producing ‘civilian’ casualties!

Mr. President, DON’T FALL FOR THAT, please.


25 posted on 06/04/2020 8:49:19 AM PDT by melancholy
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To: null and void; aragorn; AZ .44 MAG; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; ...
###########

PING

26 posted on 06/04/2020 9:00:59 AM PDT by LucyT
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To: MayflowerMadam

Exactly so.


27 posted on 06/04/2020 9:10:50 AM PDT by gogeo (It isn't just time to open America up again: It's time to be America again.)
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To: LS

Thanks as always for your information
And the Ping!


28 posted on 06/04/2020 9:19:32 AM PDT by djstex ( Trump 2020!)
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To: LS

Happy Talk!

And I love it!


29 posted on 06/04/2020 9:21:18 AM PDT by karnage
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To: LS

Bump!


30 posted on 06/04/2020 9:30:07 AM PDT by Enterprise
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To: MayflowerMadam
👍
31 posted on 06/04/2020 9:40:18 AM PDT by laplata (The Left/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: LS

As in the past, the loony left torched their own homes. Brilliant. Those of us who care about their communities are keeping a watchful eye for the vandals. The closest I’ve come to direct interaction has been with what appeared to be scouts. They were doing a recon of a shopping center that is home to one of two grocery stores that serves our town. I made a point of conspicuously following them until they took the hint and left.


32 posted on 06/04/2020 10:12:32 AM PDT by rockrr ( Everything is different now...)
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To: LS

Larry,

This post is like finding manna in the desert. Thanks for the update.

TW


33 posted on 06/04/2020 10:13:45 AM PDT by The Westerner (Protect the most vulnerable: get the government out of medicine, education and forests!)
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To: LS

FYI, received email from you today, subject: test

Thought you would want to know. And while i’m here, thank you for what you do.


34 posted on 06/04/2020 10:14:30 AM PDT by Moe-Patrick (If you're not part of the solution, you're part of the problem.)
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To: LS
Wow. 👍👍👍
35 posted on 06/04/2020 10:25:16 AM PDT by LouisianaJoanof Arc (Fire Wray today)
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To: LS

“...The practical problems with sending in the troops without a gov/mayor’s request is that you put the troops in the possible position of working AGAINST police. Certainly they would get no support from the police. It also means you would make police forces take sides as to following the feds or their mayor (and many of course are there with the govs & mayors). It would be a VERY dangerous situation. And remember our military is NOT designed to be a police force. The military exists to kill people and break things..”

LS - this is the clearest explanation of President and Esper’s reticence to NOT use the military to quell these riots. The Democrat Administrations responsible for their own States and Cities have the power to end the rioting. All the power they need is legally theirs to use. If they stand down their police, and don’t sweep the streets using Reservists, they are Looters and Nihilists themselves.


36 posted on 06/04/2020 11:05:06 AM PDT by The Westerner (Protect the most vulnerable: get the government out of medicine, education and forests!)
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To: Chaguito
I also.

(We don't use me too).

37 posted on 06/04/2020 11:10:08 AM PDT by higgmeister ( In the Shadow of The Big Chicken)
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To: Lurker

I think a lot are furloughed & going back soon.


38 posted on 06/04/2020 11:18:49 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: ClearCase_guy

Yes, a chance. We need 18 flips, maybe 20 depending on the re-drawn NC districts. I think right now we’re at 5 solid “near sure” flips. That leaves 13 to challenge. Many races are just now getting a candidate.

Either way, will be close.


39 posted on 06/04/2020 11:20:14 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Bump


40 posted on 06/04/2020 11:47:29 AM PDT by Jet Jaguar
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