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CDC: Coronavirus fatality rate could be as low as 0.26%
Just the News ^ | 24 May, 2020 | Daniel Payne

Posted on 05/24/2020 2:42:53 PM PDT by MtnClimber

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To: Steve Van Doorn
CDC is reporting the death rate as of the end of April at 0.004 Symptomatic Case Fatality Ratio

A 35% asymptomatic rate gives a .0029% fatality rate.

21 posted on 05/24/2020 3:26:57 PM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of Colorado scenery and wildlife, click on my screen name for my FR home page.)
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To: MtnClimber

That .0029% should be .0029 rate or .29%. Sorry.


22 posted on 05/24/2020 3:28:44 PM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of Colorado scenery and wildlife, click on my screen name for my FR home page.)
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To: MtnClimber

Can these CDC idiots get anything correct? On cue the Chicago TV Stations were screaming the “high” number of new cases in Illinois - no mention of the recovery rate.


23 posted on 05/24/2020 3:39:56 PM PDT by EC Washington
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To: MtnClimber

In Sweden authorities estimate that about 7% of the population has been infected by the Chinese Virus. Total population is about 10,000,000, so abut 700,000 people.

Total deaths from Wuhan Flu so far are ~4,000.

4,000/700,000 x 100 = .57 percent. Still well below one percent, and dollars to donuts that death total includes many persons who were already at risk for death from illness or poor medical prognosis.


24 posted on 05/24/2020 3:42:53 PM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire. Or both.)
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To: BenLurkin

It seems Sweden did not take strong measures to protect LTC facilities.


25 posted on 05/24/2020 3:46:22 PM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of Colorado scenery and wildlife, click on my screen name for my FR home page.)
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To: MtnClimber

the cdc, Holy Righteous Science, and the msm are all due for a reckoning after this is over.


26 posted on 05/24/2020 3:48:40 PM PDT by JohnBrowdie
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To: MtnClimber

The following has age and comorbidity taken into account, but with Spanish data.

https://www.conservativereview.com/news/horowitz-cdc-confirms-remarkably-low-coronavirus-death-rate-media/

It’s at least a semi-accurate comparison.


27 posted on 05/24/2020 4:08:53 PM PDT by Tacrolimus1mg (Do no harm, but take no sh!t.)
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To: FreedomVsControl
So it really was just the flu.

Not really. It spreads much faster than Influenza (Influenza R0 of 0.9-2.1, SARS-CoV-2 R0 of 1.94-5.7), kills more people than Influenza (0.136% mortality rate for Influenza, "could be as low as 0.26%" for COVID-19), and we have no vaccine to provide any defense against it. Also, there is some evidence to support lasting effects in at least some patients from COVID-19 infection even after recovery.

Given the SARS-CoV-2 R0, we can expect herd immunity at around 80-85%. There are 330 million people in the US. If 80-85% eventually become infected, that's 264 - 280.5 million infected. If 0.26% of them die, that's 686,400 - 729,300 dead Americans by the time we hit herd immunity if we can't develop a vaccine or much better treatments. And that's at the low end, per the CDC info.

Influenza kills an average of 37,000 Americans each year. That's a lot fewer deaths than 700,000. No, it is not "just another flu".

28 posted on 05/24/2020 4:19:52 PM PDT by 2aProtectsTheRest
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To: FreedomVsControl
Blame China and especially Dr. FRAUD FAUCI who ILLEGALLY gave the Wuhan Lab $3 1/2 MILLION of OUR Dollars to do Gain-in Function testing on bat virus which Congress made ILLEGAL to do in this country because it's so dangerous!!

DR. FRAUD FAUCI SHOULD BE ARRESTED!

29 posted on 05/24/2020 4:23:08 PM PDT by Ann Archy (Abortion....... The HUMAN Sacrifice to the god of Convenience.)
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To: MtnClimber

No, they sure didn’t protect the LTC facilities. The nursing homes are the whole reason Sweden’s number of deaths is as high as it is. Had they properly protected their elderly population, there would be no room to argue that their strategy of social distancing without a lockdown has been every bit as successful at preventing unnecessary deaths as any other strategy tried.

Looking at the data, it’s pretty clear that if you protect the nursing homes and push social distancing in public places, everything can remain open for business without running into the Italy situation.


30 posted on 05/24/2020 4:23:23 PM PDT by 2aProtectsTheRest
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To: MtnClimber

That is certainly how any responsible engineer or scientist or just someone with a tiny bit of math background would see it was tending.


31 posted on 05/24/2020 4:27:07 PM PDT by jimfree (My19 y/o granddaughter continues to have more quality exec experience than an 8 year Obama.)
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To: FewsOrange

Or the numbers are garbage.

The only thing I’ll believe at this point, is the change, if any, in the total death burden. I just don’t believe anything the authorities say; they are all corrupt and/or biased.


32 posted on 05/24/2020 4:28:55 PM PDT by ecomcon
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To: MtnClimber

Translation:

Now that the peasants have been beaten into submission and America’s economy has been brought down to the level of the rest of the world

We can start to tell the real truth


33 posted on 05/24/2020 4:32:18 PM PDT by Oscar in Batangas ( January 20, 2017, High Noon. The end of an error.)
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To: MtnClimber

If they report it, it means that it is 1/10 or smaller.


34 posted on 05/24/2020 4:37:06 PM PDT by Blood of Tyrants (Tyrants don't just give you your freedoms back. You have to take them.)
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To: MtnClimber

Well, thank God we shut the country down and created a depression for that.


35 posted on 05/24/2020 4:40:45 PM PDT by Newtoidaho (All I ask of living is to have no chains on me.)
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To: MtnClimber
again, the health professionals have been liberal with their diagnosis of covid, whether by encouragement, or conjecture.

they've gone back and added as covid patients people who had died weeks earlier, no testing, just guessing...

overall, this covid is a very severe infection when it gets ahold of very vulnerable people...

I think the protocols were probably all wrong at the begining...probably should not have put everybody and his brother on vents instead of bipap...

should have done the Hcq trifecta oral administration early on on mild to moderate symptomatic people...

should not have placed covid patients in nursing homes...

probably should have listened to Trump....

36 posted on 05/24/2020 4:43:20 PM PDT by cherry
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To: 2aProtectsTheRest

Sweden did not have a “hug a Chinese” day either.


37 posted on 05/24/2020 4:48:23 PM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of Colorado scenery and wildlife, click on my screen name for my FR home page.)
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To: 2aProtectsTheRest

Does the flu normally infect 80% of the population in a given year?

No.

Then why should corona?


38 posted on 05/24/2020 4:53:53 PM PDT by FreedomVsControl
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To: 2aProtectsTheRest

86% of the fatalities in Italy were over 70, Italy has a HUGE elderly population!! With the ChiComs coming and going as they pleased of course Italy was a mess HOWEVER our decisions for this country should never have been based on Italy!!


39 posted on 05/24/2020 4:56:09 PM PDT by Trump Girl Kit Cat (Yosemite Sam raising hell)
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To: Newtoidaho

Biggest overreaction in world history.

We should never let anyone forget whose idea it was that this was the worst virus ever, and that we needed to shut down the world... Experts. Computer Modelers posing as scientists. Politicians who always do more harm than good.

And we should never let anyone forget that we were railroaded into this every step of the way, thanks to the execrable “executive order”, which needs to be scaled back, immediately.

The one upside: Maybe this experience will be a bit of a “vaccination” itself against future freak-outs and sudden bouts of stupidity.


40 posted on 05/24/2020 5:00:00 PM PDT by FreedomVsControl
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