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To: Ymani Cricket

Except the Germans have been testing. Their mortality rate is less than .1


33 posted on 04/13/2020 2:00:05 AM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: Nifster

The Germans will also follow orders to stay home and socially distance a lot more than we do.


37 posted on 04/13/2020 2:25:08 AM PDT by Spktyr (Overwhelmingly superior firepower and the willingness to use it is the only proven peace solution.)
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To: Nifster

Except the Germans have been testing. Their mortality rate is less than .1


Not even from this guy’s studies, which came up with 0.37% on a detailed study (as of an unspecified date last month). And even the numbers he came up with are outdated as the folks have now had time to die. They are low, but not near that low.

Currently Germany’s death/cases rate, which was for a while less than 0.1%, and at 0.38% on 22 March, is now up to 2% and rising. It’ll probably end up around 3.4% if the new treatments aren’t dramatically better.
Date _cases _dead _rec _death/cases
3/22 _24873 ___94 __266 0.378% (Interesting number)
3/23 _29056 __123 __453 0.423% 98% unresolved
3/24 _32781 __157 _3243 0.479%
3/25 _37323 __206 _3547 0.552%
3/26 _43938 __267 _5673 0.608%
3/27 _50871 __351 _6658 0.690%
3/28 _57695 __433 _8481 0.750%
3/29 _62095 __541 _9211 0.871%
3/30 _66125 __616 13500 0.932%
3/31 _71808 __775 16100 1.079% 76.5% unresolved
4/01 _77981 __931 18700 1.194%
4/02 _84794 _1107 22400 1.306%
4/03 _91159 _1275 24575 1.399%
4/04 _96092 _1444 26400 1.503%
4/05 100123 _1584 28700 1.582% 70% unresolved
4/06 103374 _1810 28700 1.751%
4/07 107663 _2016 36081 1.873%
4/08 113296 _2349 46300 2.073%
4/09 118181 _2607 52407 2.206%


49 posted on 04/13/2020 4:50:47 AM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: Nifster

Except the Germans have been testing. Their mortality rate is less than .1


Not even from this guy’s studies, which came up with 0.37% on a detailed study (as of an unspecified date last month). And even the numbers he came up with are outdated as the folks have now had time to die. They are low, but not near that low.

Here’s Germany compared to its early numbers:

Nordic/Germanic countries from 3/9:

“How is it that Germany has 800 cases and zero deaths? Other countries are similar. Norway, Sweden, hundreds of cases, no deaths.”
Summary:
Germany has 1151 cases, no deaths
Norway, 176 cases, no deaths
Sweden with 203 cases, no deaths
Finland, with 30 cases, no deaths
Denmark, with 35 cases, no deaths

.

Some differences might be because of definitions, however, there are a couple of other things going on:

1) Germany’s initial infected were nearly all athletic young folks who contracted the disease from ski trips to Italy. This group is known to be more able to overcome the disease.

2) Germany’s numbers were *extremely* low at 0.38% as recently as 22 March, but have been changing, possibly A) because the population of infected now more closely matches their population; B) because a lot of the infected were infected at very similar times, they had not gotten past the death lag, and C) because they are so late in the cycle that they are using the more recent treatment regimens.

Currently Germany’s death/cases rate, which was for a while less than 0.1%, and at 0.38% on 22 March, is now up to 2% and rising. It’ll probably end up around 3.4% if the new treatments aren’t dramatically better.

Date _cases _dead _rec _death/cases
3/22 _24873 ___94 __266 0.378% (Interesting number)
3/23 _29056 __123 __453 0.423% 98% unresolved
3/24 _32781 __157 _3243 0.479%
3/25 _37323 __206 _3547 0.552%
3/26 _43938 __267 _5673 0.608%
3/27 _50871 __351 _6658 0.690%
3/28 _57695 __433 _8481 0.750%
3/29 _62095 __541 _9211 0.871%
3/30 _66125 __616 13500 0.932%
3/31 _71808 __775 16100 1.079% 76.5% unresolved
4/01 _77981 __931 18700 1.194%
4/02 _84794 _1107 22400 1.306%
4/03 _91159 _1275 24575 1.399%
4/04 _96092 _1444 26400 1.503%
4/05 100123 _1584 28700 1.582% 70% unresolved
4/06 103374 _1810 28700 1.751%
4/07 107663 _2016 36081 1.873%
4/08 113296 _2349 46300 2.073%
4/09 118181 _2607 52407 2.206%


51 posted on 04/13/2020 4:55:36 AM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: Nifster

“Except the Germans have been testing. Their mortality rate is less than .1”

When the Germans put their mind to it and their Germaness comes out, they do not F around. They do not suffer fools gladly.


59 posted on 04/13/2020 5:46:02 AM PDT by Bonemaker (invictus maneo)
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