Coronavirus: The Solution Is Becoming Clear

PeakProsperty ^ | Mar 29, 2020 | PeakProsperty

[DannyTN]

• we can do this.
• But we are on our own.
• USA 20,000 new cases.
• Italy case fatality rate >10%
• Germany is underreporting coronavirus deaths.
• Abiltiy to test is not keeping up with cases will give the impression of a slow down in cases.

• Masks are helpful to keep asymptomatic spread down.
• New studies on infectiousness of the virus.
• Capable of putting someone of any age into ICU.
• China study, asymptomic cases were the source of most cases. Source of 79% of cases.

• WHO wrongly still says not airborne.

• New study by MIT says 2 meter distance may needs to be 4 times bigger. Particles travels at 10 to 30 meters a second.
• Droplets can stay suspended for hours.
• Virus particles have been found in ventilation systems
• Video captures particles coming out of people's mouths while talking.

• Masks stop or reduce the particles.
• Masks stop us from touching our face
• Masks result in low innoculum if we do get infected.
• Low "innoculum" results in better outcomes.
• High 'innoculum' more likely to become serious
• Czeck government ordered masks worn after people had already decided to wear masks.
• Flattened the growth rate.
• Chart shows difference in countries that wear masks and those that don't.

• Suggestions for making home made masks
• How to sterilize a mask. heat or UV. 30 minutes at 200 degrees. or wait 9 days.
• Predicts we will infect on purpose with smallest possible dose.
• Predicts Armbaneds will identify who has had it and are immune.

• 85% of cases may be undocumented, implies that known cases need to rise to 35 million in the US, before herd immunity is achieved.

[Praxeologue]

Wik - Go to https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/italy/ then go to totalcases and select log scale, then do the same for Spain. You'll notice the countries where the infection is more 'mature' are close to topping out. Then "fit the curve" for the U.S. prognosis by date. My reading of this data would show us declining in about three weeks. Then three weeks later, we'll see a decline in U.S. deaths. 150,000 deaths will be tragic, but nothing like two million would have been.

If you come up with anything interesting, kindly let me know, thanks.