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Dr. Birx said all of the flu models predicted somewhere between 1.6 and 2.2 million deaths if the government did not mitigate. It is not clear where she came up this this excessive number. Dr Birx said some models predicted half of the United States would be infected.

Excuse me, Dr Birx...but are these models from the same "scientists" that predicted global cooling & global warming that turned out to be hoaxes?

If you are actually asking a serious question, and would actually like a serious answer, please take a look at the videos here. This guy has been predicting the numbers corectly for the past two months, long before anyone in the mass media or .gov had a clue:

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCD2-QVBQi48RRQTD4Jhxu8w

The mass media and .gov did not invent this one—the virus is real, and could not care less whether you believe in it or not.

“Excuse me, Dr Birx...but are these models from the same “scientists” that predicted global cooling & global warming that turned out to be hoaxes?”

Those questions were answered in the press conference, if you watched it and paid attention, you would know.

Those questions have also been answered in this thread, if you had read it, you would know.

There were several models based on no attempts to mitigate the pandemic which produced American fatalities in the 1.6 - 2.2 million range. The Imperial College London March 9? study was one. There were a lot more than that which predicted half the US would be infected, and some got as high as 80%. The latter happens to be the premise of the theories that 80% of victims never show any symptoms.

I was one of the two people who destroyed the nuclear winter hoax. It was fun seeing hat the same people who promoted that concept, not knowing it was a hoax, immediately fell for and promoted the global warming hoax. None of the people who made these high estimates of American infected and fatalities had anything to do with the nuclear winter hoax (some weren't even alive at the time). I have no idea what their opinions of gloal warming are.

Half the American people becoming infected with the Wuhan Virus is definitely possible. I have a different opinion, of 1/3, but half would not be surprising. It will just take multiple waves over a period of about a year.

My opinion of probable American fatalities last month was two million but pleasant surprises keep arriving. At this point I'm definitely down to one million and am thinking of lowering it again.

"Dr. Birx said all of the flu models predicted somewhere between 1.6 and 2.2 million deaths if the government did not mitigate. It is not clear where she came up this this excessive number. Dr Birx said some models predicted half of the United States would be infected.
Excuse me, Dr Birx...but are these models from the same "scientists" that predicted global cooling & global warming that turned out to be hoaxes?"

“Excuse me, Dr Birx...but are these models from the same “scientists” that predicted global cooling & global warming that turned out to be hoaxes?”

Her numbers are light, if the condition that “the government did not mitigate” were a fact. Fortunately, the government did mitigate.

Best results anywhere in the world for a first-world HCS that did not collapse - about 2% fatalities among the infected.

Penetrance of a “novel” disease, one for which there is no vaccine or existing immunity, 70% to 95%, depending on incubation period and contagiousness.

Now, that assumes people are milling around, willy-nilly, going to Mardi Gras, parades, church, school, shopping, Carnival, Spring Break, concerts, lectures, sporting events or running around hugging Chinese guys as a show of support. You know, stuff that would never happen during a global pandemic.

But, anyway, 0.7x.02x3.3e8=4.6 million. 4.6 million dead. If the government hadn’t mitigated and told people to wash their hands and avoid crowds. And that’s if the HCS doesn’t collapse.