I was one of the two people who destroyed the nuclear winter hoax. It was fun seeing hat the same people who promoted that concept, not knowing it was a hoax, immediately fell for and promoted the global warming hoax. None of the people who made these high estimates of American infected and fatalities had anything to do with the nuclear winter hoax (some weren't even alive at the time). I have no idea what their opinions of gloal warming are.
Half the American people becoming infected with the Wuhan Virus is definitely possible. I have a different opinion, of 1/3, but half would not be surprising. It will just take multiple waves over a period of about a year.
My opinion of probable American fatalities last month was two million but pleasant surprises keep arriving. At this point I'm definitely down to one million and am thinking of lowering it again.
"Dr. Birx said all of the flu models predicted somewhere between 1.6 and 2.2 million deaths if the government did not mitigate. It is not clear where she came up this this excessive number. Dr Birx said some models predicted half of the United States would be infected.Excuse me, Dr Birx...but are these models from the same "scientists" that predicted global cooling & global warming that turned out to be hoaxes?"
This thing moves too fast. Without mitigation, 1/3 would be exceptionally lucky.
There never would have been a 100% unmitigated response. People would have self isolated and the cities would be desolate. But they would have infected half the country in their panicked flight. No place would be safe. No amount of prepping would be good enough for the majority of people.
Likewise, 90% is improbable. But the infectiousness and stealth capabilities of this virus are a formidable combination.