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Rate of New COVID-19 Infections Collapses in Italy
2020-03-24 | Dangus

Posted on 03/23/2020 3:55:11 PM PDT by dangus

Good news!

I take it upon myself to identify good news in crises, since the mainstream media almost always overlooks good news. Like when Ebola went away, they simply quit reporting. I haven't had much good news to report since South Korea largely conquered the Coronavirus, COVID-19.

Around a week ago, it looked like we were starting to see some flattening of the curve in the U.S., but then the number of positive tests exploded, probably simply because the number of tests exploded. We may be starting to see some real flattening, but a local explosion in the New York City metro area has be undecided how to avoid cherry-picking data.

The real explosive news comes out of Italy. Now, about 10 days ago, I reported the decline in Korea and a possible decline in Italy. The headline I used proved to be misleading; the two nations combined had a declining number of new cases, and in the immediately preceding two days both nations had a decline in the number of new cases. But the decline in Italy was a product of inconsistent reporting, a glitch in the data. And while the "infection curve" did continue to flatten, the happiness seems a little misplaced, given the truly astounding death rate among the modest number of Italians who did get sick. The glitch in the data fooled me because the curve really was flattening!!!

Perhaps that's why I've been shy to report the excellent news that's been coming out of Italy since. You see, the virus has continued to spread, but at a declining rate which reveals the claims of from idiots like Angela Merkl, and various left-wing American politicians that most of us will get sick are nothing but a lot of hysteria designed to destroy markets and sow political destruction.

The truth is There were fewer new infections in Italy than there have been in a week. This is not a data hiccup; there have been fewer new infections each day for four days now.

So for all the people who warn of the horrors to come, saying that what happens in Italy will soon happen here, I can only say, THANK GOD! because it looks like Italy is following the same type of curve that South Korea and, reportedly, China have followed, a curve that, for America, points to hundreds of thousands, but not hundreds of millions, of infections.


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KEYWORDS: anotherdamnedvanity; lookatme; vanity
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To: dangus

Beware the 1-2 day trends.


41 posted on 03/23/2020 5:21:12 PM PDT by Frapster (Don't tread on me.)
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To: Mom MD

But in most pandemics there is a second bell curve, often bigger than the first, right?


42 posted on 03/23/2020 5:23:02 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: dangus

So you live in Italy and have first hand knowledge of what is going on there? Please keep us updated......thanks


43 posted on 03/23/2020 5:23:52 PM PDT by Hot Tabasco (I went to China and all I got was a cheap face mask and a cold)
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To: Mom MD
The cases seem to follow the same bell shaped curve in every country over 8-10 weeks so I doubt lockdown tells the whole story

90% of it at least. Every country takes pretty much the same steps some earlier and some later.

44 posted on 03/23/2020 5:24:40 PM PDT by DouglasKC
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To: DouglasKC
It's NOT because the virus is dying. It's because Italy has been on lockdown for quite a while now.

Exactly. And, the virus needs a host to survive and replicate. There have been so many people in Italy that have been infected, the virus is having fewer hosts to infect.

45 posted on 03/23/2020 5:26:32 PM PDT by eastexsteve
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To: dangus

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019%E2%80%9320_coronavirus_pandemic#Epidemiology

Italy

Cases 63,927
Deaths 6,077
Recoveries 7,432


46 posted on 03/23/2020 5:27:08 PM PDT by familyop ("Welcome to Costco. I love you." - -Costco greeter in the movie, "Idiocracy")
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To: ManHunter
And only 330,000 positive tests and 111 deaths in Korea, among a population of over 51 million.

That's because Korea moved on it early with aggressive testing and aggressive lock downs. We did neither.

47 posted on 03/23/2020 5:30:50 PM PDT by eastexsteve
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To: Dogbert41
Wouldn’t it be swell if things came to a screeching halt and we didn’t need a stimulus package at all?

That's what WILL happen.

48 posted on 03/23/2020 5:34:08 PM PDT by montag813
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To: nickcarraway

Trump outfoxed the Chicoms........shut their flights down, the Europe and ITALY!

IT’S OVER. Fake pandemic is toast. Just watch.....


49 posted on 03/23/2020 5:37:19 PM PDT by blackberry1
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To: dangus

All viruses in the history of man kind have hit a peak and then die off

Unless this is something so extraordinary as to have never been seen before ( unlikely since it is a variant of corona virus) this too will peak and die out


50 posted on 03/23/2020 5:40:11 PM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: Grampa Dave

No


51 posted on 03/23/2020 5:40:49 PM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: eastexsteve

Apologies, but I made an error in my earlier post and left out some data. Korea conducted 338,000 tests, there were 8,961 positives (2.6% of those tested) and 111 deaths for a mortality rate of 1.2%.

According to the CDC, in this US flu season, there have been over 5,100 deaths.


52 posted on 03/23/2020 6:03:38 PM PDT by ManHunter (You can run, but you'll only die tired... Army snipers: Reach out and touch someone)
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To: SauronOfMordor

What if told her to shove her stimulus pork up her A$$ and was going to tell the American public to go back to work! Problem solved and all new deaths are on her!


53 posted on 03/23/2020 6:09:37 PM PDT by US_MilitaryRules (I'm not tired of Winning yet! Please, continue on!)
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To: dangus

their death rate is fishy too... they mark you as death by WuFlu if you have it at death whether that was the actual cause or not.

that sh1t has GOT to change


54 posted on 03/23/2020 6:11:15 PM PDT by Chode (Send bachelors and come heavily armed.)
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To: nickcarraway

Like the one in china? /s


55 posted on 03/23/2020 6:11:49 PM PDT by US_MilitaryRules (I'm not tired of Winning yet! Please, continue on!)
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To: Hot Tabasco

no, i’m reading reports.


56 posted on 03/23/2020 6:13:32 PM PDT by dangus
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To: Frapster

6 day trend.


57 posted on 03/23/2020 6:13:46 PM PDT by dangus
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To: bolobaby

Daily CUMULATIVES of infections in Italy.
24,747 +20%
27,980 +17%
31,506 +13%
35,713 +13%
41,035 +13%
47,021 +15%
53,578 (peak) +14%
59,138 +10%
63,927 +8%


58 posted on 03/23/2020 6:18:45 PM PDT by dangus
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To: cicero2k

even better
03/24/20 has only 4789, lowest since 03/18/20


59 posted on 03/23/2020 6:19:51 PM PDT by dangus
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To: dangus

Bookmarked.


60 posted on 03/23/2020 6:20:58 PM PDT by WildHighlander57 ((WildHighlander57 returning after lurking since 2000)
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