Posted on 03/21/2020 12:24:24 PM PDT by grumpa
This article is very hopeful. It is filled with charts so I cannot post the article. But it shows a slowing of the virus in every country. It also shows the weather patterns where the virus is strongest. "The overall summary is things are getting much better." Here's the link:
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/03/data-analysis-indicates-coronavirus-is-slowing-with-a-declining-fatality-rate-with-warmer-weather-likely-slowing-it-considerably/?fbclid=IwAR3egH1XSU41v8xmK3SxoMrZXtkPSyZZ-fGXYcV1FfIP118Sd47HifjcdBM
Regardless of the number of tests, it's the daily number of deaths from COVID19 that tells you what is going on.
And we've had now two days in a rows of reduced deaths in the country.
We are just getting started. New York will be terrible and without ICU ventilators people will just be told to stay home, take meds, live or die.
And we've now had two days in a row of reduced deaths in NYS.
Normalcy Bias.
Mindless comment.
Inslee, the Guv.
“And we’ve had now two days in a rows of reduced deaths in the country.”
Source?
There are quite a few states that don’t look like they are experiencing exponential growth. That’s just from a quick look.
New deaths jump around too much for those numbers to impress. I’ll touch on cases at your next comment.
Th total number of cases measured obviously depends on the availability of the tests.
The number of tests that are being made available is growing at a high rate.
To suggest that the real number of people who have COVID-19 is growing at a 24% from the above data is absurd.
A better way of determining real spread of the disease is to use the number of deaths per day and then multiply that by the estimated death rate.
Hysteria. Panic. All on full display here at FR
Interesting but intense.
Yes, too few data points to plot a definite trend, but it does put a dent in the “exponential growth” bullshit from a few days ago. And don’t forget, the new cases numbers are biased by the hugh ramp up in testing.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
Daily new cases USA:
3/18 - 2,848
3/19 - 4,530
3/20 - 5,594
3/21 - 4,825
Daily new deaths USA:
3/18 - 41
3/19 - 57
3/20 - 49
3/21 - 46
Today’s case number is an outlier compared to the previous progression.
I’ve seen cases drop for three days and then shoot up again. Patience is difficult but required and I’m not known for it, heh.
It's because they're "moronic" and "stupid".
There are a few of them here on this thread.
Source?
Worldometer.
The Washington Department of Health always reports between 3:00 and 3:15 p.m.
3/20 - 49
3/21 - 46
And 3/19 - 57!
I am more hopeful about the growth rate, and we haven’t been under restrictions long enough to show effect.
Ah, thanks!
Which part of "if" did you not understand?
Hoft links to his source - who explains all this much better than Hoft did:
https://medium.com/six-four-six-nine/evidence-over-hysteria-covid-19-1b767def5894
“That’s today. Total cases are running at 134% of the previous day’s total cases; at that rate, in 4 weeks 0.006% grows to about 24%.”
In 6 or 7 weeks the total cases reach 100%
Gonna be rough.
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