Posted on 03/21/2020 12:24:24 PM PDT by grumpa
This article is very hopeful. It is filled with charts so I cannot post the article. But it shows a slowing of the virus in every country. It also shows the weather patterns where the virus is strongest. "The overall summary is things are getting much better." Here's the link:
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/03/data-analysis-indicates-coronavirus-is-slowing-with-a-declining-fatality-rate-with-warmer-weather-likely-slowing-it-considerably/?fbclid=IwAR3egH1XSU41v8xmK3SxoMrZXtkPSyZZ-fGXYcV1FfIP118Sd47HifjcdBM
I agree, thanks.
All viruses in the history of man have a seasonal component.
We’re all gonna die
No, but we may all get infected - in which case about 3,000,000 of us may die. And if too many of us need hospital care in too short a span of time, some of us will go without.
We’re all going to DIE! Nuke us from orbit - it is the only way to be sure!
< / sarcasm >
And, what was the number at the height of this flu season? How do we know some of the cases in parts of country weren't Corona cases?
Back in January, this flu was considered one of the worst in recent years:
https://www.usnews.com/news/health-news/articles/2020-03-20/coronavirus-pandemic-overshadows-a-deadly-flu-season
So far this season, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has recorded 36 million flu cases in the U.S., with 370,000 hospitalizations and 22,000 deaths.
As of March 7, CDC reports, "hospitalization rates in children 0-4 years old and adults 18-49 years old are now the highest on record for these age groups, surpassing the rate reported during the 2009 H1N1 pandemic."
We’ve got about 1 hour and 15 minutes until the clock rolls over. About 900 fewer new cases today than yesterday, nationwide.. Four fewer deaths. If that holds, would be two days that deaths have declined, and that new cases would be roughly static.
Do you know what states haven’t reported yet?
Also notable is that New York had 3 thousand new cases yesterday, vs about 2 thousand today. Assuming they don’t have another data dump in the next hour, that would be good news.
The possible range of outcomes related to both the illness and the economy have made me realize attempting to predict either is worthless.
Those with the responsibility will decide what to do and we will pay the price. I’d rather be me than them right now and I can’t imagine any sane person not acting to the best of their ability for civilization right now. We collapse economically, the rest of the world is even more trouble.
They may be hated for all of history even if they do everything right. And it’s mostly on one head.
I use Wikipedia. It gives the data for each day and it is reasonably up to date.
Your average numbers sound about right to me. I calculate a 7 day running average on the rate and I get about what you quoted. But the average is running higher than a few days ago and will very likely continue to climb.
And the last 3 days show a growth rate of 43%, 48%, 44%. A few days earlier, before the testing ramped up, it was 24%, 25% and 29%. That is why the average is climbing.
Right, abb! Waiting now. Watching a lot of places, near and far. I have a lot of relatives in Italy, but so far so good as far as them individually. They live central and south, many in small villages that are pretty self sufficient and isolated.
Conneticut, South Dakota and Rhode Island. Perhaps they have nothing to report.
Louisiana is an hour late for their 5:30 PM CDT data dump. What can I say, it’s Louisiana bureaucrat incompetence. One good thing about this is that many, many states and localities will have to decimate their deadhead payrolls because sales tax revenues have been vaporized.
I wrote about it on my newsblog earlier this week.
I bet lots of government deadheads thought 3 weeks ago this would be a paid vacation thingy. They better be for updating their resumes.
Louisiana just did report. 180 new cases, 4 new deaths. Should put today’s totals almost dead even with yesterday.
http://ldh.la.gov/Coronavirus/
No we’re not all gonna get infected
First assumption is so over blown “if it keeps going at that rate...”
Learn to breathe
Never, ever suspected there were so many psycho paranoids on FRee Republic.
I know
I grew up at a time that there where no vaccines. Measles and polio had outbreaks every year. Measles in particular killed and maimed never had this kind of hysteria
And there was never, ever any question that the USA should be shut down. Life went on.
Numbers are in. Are three data points a trend?
USA New cases:
3/20 - 5,594
3/21 - 4,825
USA New deaths:
3/20 - 49
3/21 - 46
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
Daily new cases USA:
3/18 - 2,848
3/19 - 4,530
3/20 - 5,594
3/21 - 4,825
Daily new deaths USA:
3/18 - 41
3/19 - 57
3/20 - 49
3/21 - 46
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