Posted on 03/11/2020 4:03:36 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
Sell the idea to Democrats. They’ll believe ANYTHING!
My personal prediction is that self-driving cars will not be ready for prime time any decade soon. Even if the statistics prove that accidents are no more likely, people will just not accept them. Bet on it.
What percentage ride motorcycles. 1 in 10 is plenty. And with almost 30% in the maybe column. Then of course there’s the real target for the self driving: commercial trucking. It’s a ripe market.
I could see using a Transit System that picked up and dropped people off at designated stops. I think we already have that in some cities. Such Transit Systems have their own track and route. They don’t mix with regular drivers at all.
May not be “spotless” record but will soon (if not already surpassed) have substantially better records than human drivers. 10x safer will be very hard to say no to.
For Tesla at least:
All the AI learning is shared between all vehicles. They all learn from each other simultaneously. If one encounters a unique situation, it’s flagged and human trainers are involved to quantify & inform all vehicles about it. Each car is capable of driving entirely on its own, but certainly improves with network access.
Go look up Tesla Autonomy Day on YouTube. It’s worth the 4 hour watch to address everyone’s concerns.
That’s my guess as well. The computing power to handle it has been available for years. These cars will be loaded with redundant sensors and cameras, lidar and radar. Probably drive better than we do a lot of the time.
Will Boeing be involved in the programming? And what government agency will be in charge of licensing the specific vehicles allowed to be in the roads?
No particular Boeing involvement.
Which agencies are being asked to approve these is a good question.
As in, who is in the back seat with you?)
“As in, who is in the back seat with you?)”
LOL! Maybe 40 years ago. Now I’m at the age where “the situation” would be getting to the pharmacy to pick up meds. (How things change, huh?)
People have been treating that Tesla autopilot as if it’s a fully functional self driver, occasionally to less than satisfactory results. It’s close, but it’s not there yet. In fact now it’s supposed to turn off if you don’t keep your hands on the wheel.
I guess I should have included a sarcasm tag about boeing. With all of the news about the 737 not flying, any track record with problems will keep the acceptance low. When it’s a hypothetical vehicle traveling on a hypothetical road that’s one thing, but when it’s you in a self driving car in a crowded busy highway that’s an entirely higher level of concern.
Yes, I’m aware of Tesla’s mass learning and pooling of car driving data for training their AI.
You are correct, that currently it is safer, on average, than human driving.
However, I’m concerned about exceptional situations and I want explicit guarantees of liability and decision protocols.
I believe Tesla fails in low visibility situations.
It feels weird just being a passenger in my own car, if the girlfriend wants to drive.
Yet how many here would hop into an uber or a taxi with a driver they have never met before?
Driverless cars will not be accepted unless they make human driving illegal. They are probably fine on a road where all vehicles are computer controlled and strictly following traffic laws. We humans are too random and unpredictable.
So why don’t we have self driving lawn mowers
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