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Coronavirus is 10 times more lethal than the seasonal flu, Trump's task force immunologist says
the week ^ | 3/11/2020 | the week

Posted on 03/11/2020 10:50:15 AM PDT by RummyChick

Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, told lawmakers during a House Oversight Committee hearing Wednesday that COVID-19 — the disease caused by the novel coronavirus — is probably about 10 times more lethal than the seasonal flu.

President Trump has often compared COVID-19 to the flu, which affects tens of thousands of Americans each year, in an effort to calm people down, but Fauci clearly wasn't trying to downplay the seriousness of the virus' spread. Fauci is a member of the White House's coronavirus task force.

At the same time, he did clarify that 10 times figure actually brings the new coronavirus' fatality rate lower than official estimates, which hover around 3 percent. The flu has a mortality rate of about 0.1 percent, so, when considering the likelihood that there are many asymptomatic or very mild cases that have gone undiagnosed, Fauci places the new coronavirus' lethality rate at somewhere around 1 percent. While that's a good deal lower than the current data suggests, it still would lead to significant numbers of fatalities, and makes the flu comparisons seem pretty questionable.

(Excerpt) Read more at theweek.com ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: bestpeople; coronavirus; flu; potus; trump; virus
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To: BuckeyeGOP

Well, you can go earn $5k for two weeks of your time if you are willing to be injected with a virus.


101 posted on 03/11/2020 11:59:26 AM PDT by RummyChick
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To: McGruff

Perhaps the goal as a bioweapon was economic destruction.

Better to spread than kill fast.


102 posted on 03/11/2020 12:00:27 PM PDT by RummyChick
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To: RummyChick

HHS Secretary Alex Azar warns the US is still in the ‘early stages’ of the coronavirus outbreak and tells Americans to brace for ‘more aggressive containment efforts’]]

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8099969/HHS-Secretary-Alex-Azar-warns-early-stages-coronavirus-outbreak.html


103 posted on 03/11/2020 12:03:55 PM PDT by RummyChick
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To: Mom MD
it’s clear a bunch of people here on free republic do not understand epidemiology or medicine but feel free to opine none the less.

Sometimes the pharmacologic quackery around here gets pretty thick too.
104 posted on 03/11/2020 12:03:58 PM PDT by farming pharmer
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To: RummyChick

for you seniors in the crowd..stay home

American Health Care Association President says coronavirus is a ‘perfect killing machine’ for the elderly as Washington care home reveals residents are dying just HOURS after first showing symptoms

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-8100233/US-nursing-head-says-coronavirus-perfect-killing-machine-elderly.html


105 posted on 03/11/2020 12:04:45 PM PDT by RummyChick
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To: RummyChick

True number of US people with coronavirus is MUCH greater than official rate: Scientists release study that claims eight infected people who visited Wuhan could have sickened nearly 10,000 Americans

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8099809/American-Chinese-scientists-warn-true-number-coronavirus-cases-higher-reported.html


106 posted on 03/11/2020 12:06:41 PM PDT by RummyChick
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To: RummyChick

Doctors say vaping could make you more susceptible to getting coronavirus after ‘healthy’ 22-year-old who used e-cigarettes tested positive

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-8100613/Doctors-say-vaping-make-susceptible-coronavirus.html


107 posted on 03/11/2020 12:07:36 PM PDT by RummyChick
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To: Codeflier

Here is some news to “Lighten the mood”:

DEATH Data for the U.S.

•Number of deaths: 2,813,503
•Death rate: 863.8 deaths per 100,000 population
•Life expectancy: 78.6 years
•Infant Mortality rate: 5.79 deaths per 1,000 live births

Number of deaths for leading causes of death:
•Heart disease: 647,457
•Cancer: 599,108
•Accidents (unintentional injuries): 169,936
•Chronic lower respiratory diseases: 160,201
•Stroke (cerebrovascular diseases): 146,383
•Alzheimer’s disease: 121,404
•Diabetes: 83,564
•Influenza and Pneumonia: 55,672
•Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome and nephrosis: 50,633
•Intentional self-harm (suicide): 47,173

The first confirmed case of the global outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the United States was announced on January 21, 2020. As of March 6, 2020 [update], there are at least 259 confirmed and presumptive cases of COVID-19 in the U.S., including 14 DEATHS. 164 of those cases were confirmed by the CDC.

Since 1/19/2020 to 3/6/2020:

259 Cases
14 Deaths

We are a country of 330,000,000 people.

WHERE is the EXPLOSION of Deaths and hospitalizations!? This virus has obviously been working in the US for a couple of months.


108 posted on 03/11/2020 12:08:44 PM PDT by LeonardFMason (Lou Dobbs)
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To: RummyChick

Not as bad as I’d heard. I heard 46 times as deadly.


109 posted on 03/11/2020 12:10:40 PM PDT by Brilliant
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To: jstolzen
if I turn out to be wrong, I’ll be the first one to say it.

What will make you wrong is that we take effective positive measures to stop it.

110 posted on 03/11/2020 12:13:34 PM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: RummyChick

One sample???

It seems reasonable that a “vaper” would have some lung problems and be susceptible. However that’s an assumption, one sample proves nothing!


111 posted on 03/11/2020 12:14:08 PM PDT by Reily
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To: catbertz

1% is sill much higher than the flu though. Of course the number of deaths is lower than the flu. The Coronavirus is just starting. We don’t know how many will eventually die. I don’t think it’s to our benefit to understate this.


112 posted on 03/11/2020 12:14:29 PM PDT by Brilliant
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To: akalinin

Yup


113 posted on 03/11/2020 12:15:40 PM PDT by Mom MD
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To: RummyChick
Coronavirus is 10 times more lethal than the seasonal flu, Trump's task force immunologist says

Currently, in the US, for people under 60, thru March 10th, the flu remains more lethal.

so, when considering the likelihood that there are many asymptomatic or very mild cases that have gone undiagnosed, Fauci places the new coronavirus' lethality rate at somewhere around 1 percent.

That's been my estimate for about a week now.

114 posted on 03/11/2020 12:19:37 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: jstolzen
It’s clear a bunch of people here on FR don’t yet understand exponential growth.

Here in the US, thru March 10th, the daily death rate from COVID-19 has been fairly flat, and definitely not exponential.

Do you understand that?

115 posted on 03/11/2020 12:23:04 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: Brilliant
% is sill much higher than the flu though. Of course the number of deaths is lower than the flu. The Coronavirus is just starting. We don’t know how many will eventually die. I don’t think it’s to our benefit to understate this.

I agree that underestimating is never a good idea. Let the facts and conditions lead to response. Having said that, I think currently the media and others are fostering a panic. The real mortality rate in well managed health care systems (not you Italy, Iran, and China) will probably drop to below 1%. South Korea and Taiwan are the better models of this likely drop.

south-korea-coronavirus-testing-death-rate-2020

116 posted on 03/11/2020 12:27:10 PM PDT by catbertz
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To: DEPcom

Unfortunately most people are finding out that we outsourced our supply chain to China and they can’t deliver the goods which is causing big economic problems.

Just wait until antibiotics run out next month...

We also have the anti-trump crowd trying to cause panic and use this as their latest tool to get rid of him.

Yea Joe is going to save us. Sure that’ll sell.


117 posted on 03/11/2020 12:30:18 PM PDT by desertfreedom765
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To: JoSixChip

Should I run around in circles screaming now or wait?


118 posted on 03/11/2020 12:32:30 PM PDT by spudville
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To: Secret Agent Man

“I don’t see why anyone is losing it over this anyway. We’ve only got 10+ years left on the planet.”
__________________________________________

:-))


119 posted on 03/11/2020 12:34:15 PM PDT by xenia ("In times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act." George Orwell)
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To: JoSixChip

It has become so bad here that it is hard to tell the sarcastic from the serious.


120 posted on 03/11/2020 12:37:33 PM PDT by T. P. Pole
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