The numbers I provide are confirmed cases only.
They are proven because a test proved the person is indeed infected.
For my own curiosity I wanted to know doubling rate of known cases. This started my tracking of the data and even looking ahead.
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This doubling rate is admittedly, not great news.
However, it is a reasonable indicator to what is in the near future. The rate may, and probably will change or fluctuate and as it does I willl post the real data.
The mathematical issue with your numbers is that until testing is consistently performed, that is the limiting factor. That was the case early in China.
Honestly, what you are measuring is the same as extrapolating the weight of a newborn baby.
I would be careful putting too much faith in growth rates until the testing is widespread.
Your numbers have value.
Just don’t conflate their rate of growth with the rate of growth of the virus.
UW VirologyVerified account @UWVirology Follow Follow @UWVirology More
Another busy day on March 8 @UWVirology. #SARSCoV2 #CoronavirusUSA tests for 450 people with about 13% positive. Many samples coming from other parts of the US so unclear what this rate means for the Seattle outbreak. Clearly there are many people infected.
hey, SheepW. Another day of waiting, eh? that sucks.
found this website, data scientist, detailing Johns Hopkins’ Kaggle dataset manipulator thingy. Have u seen it?:
https://towardsdatascience.com/a-data-scientists-perspective-on-the-wuhan-coronavirus-4d1110446478