Posted on 03/08/2020 6:00:55 PM PDT by narses
With coronavirus death toll in the U.S. rising to 19, people are becoming increasing afraid of contracting the disease. To date, there are 3,803 reported deaths with 109,835 confirmed cases worldwide. Also a total of 60,694 people have recovered from the virus. As the fear of coronavirus continues to spread, there are a growing number of reports of empty shop shelves as people rush to stock up on basic products such as hand soap, sanitizers, tissue papers, and many more. It got so bad that some stores are now limiting purchases of these products, more due to coronavirus fears.
The fears stem from the misleading information coming from mainstream media about the trend of the virus. The media shows the number of fatalities continuously increasing, on a time-based graph. The problem with this is that, the media only uses a cumulative graph to illustrate coronavirus deaths. However, if you look deeper at the raw data provided by John Hopkins on GITHUB, the number of global deaths per day are decreasing worldwide.
Hats off to Evan at TradeGuru, who first noticed the discrepancy in medias cumulative statistics and created a more accurate chart. According to Evans analysis using the raw data provided by John Hopkins University, the virus is decreasing in hotspots such as South Korea, China and Hong Kong (the first to deal with the novel virus). The press tells us its an outbreak, or a pandemic on the precipice. Both situations would suggest exponential growth. The actual data doesnt suggest exponential growth of fatalities at all. The data suggests decline. In fact, the crude death rate is statistically 0.
Also, its now being estimated that 80% of individuals that contract the coronavirus are asymptomatic or midly-symptomatic. And in this viral video, Rebecca Fraiser says she never really felt unwell after contracting the virus, and it sounds like it is the case for the majority of people.
Oil tumbled due to Saudi and Russian price war.
Thanks. New deaths dropping does not seem to sink in but it is factual, in two weeks we should have a great deal of clarity.
Unrelated.
Math appears to be hard.
CRICKETS
“BECAUSE AN EFFING TSUNAMI IS COMING, THAT HAS ALREADY HIT MANY OTHER COUNTRIES, AND DULLARDS STILL REFUSE TO LOOK AT REALITY!”
Odd shaped “tsunami” there buddy.
Your chart is fake.
See https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-cases/#case-outcome for real data instead of FAKE NEWS.
“The market is getting crushed tonight”
Not tonight. Get ready for panic buying.
“...when we should be concentrating mostly on mitigation for the elderly.”
Oh my, rational thought in the midst of panic, thank you!
Yes! Math is hard but pettifogging is easy.
so, has the spread in the U.S. been exponential or simply geometric with a steep slope .... inquiring minds want to know if youve fitted the data to a time curve to be able to make that exponential claim, at least for the U.S. ...
You seem to be an expert why don’t you show me your data and calculations.
I’ll show you mine for Italy: 20 raised to exponent 3 is 8000 in just over two weeks.
Italy
Confirmed: 17,660
Deaths: 1,266
Recovered: 1,439
Active: 14,955
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.