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Data shows daily coronavirus deaths are decreasing worldwide. Media misleads with cumulative statistics and graphs
Tech Startups ^ | POSTED ON MARCH 8, 2020 | TechStartups Team

Posted on 03/08/2020 6:00:55 PM PDT by narses

With coronavirus death toll in the U.S. rising to 19, people are becoming increasing afraid of contracting the disease. To date, there are 3,803 reported deaths with 109,835 confirmed cases worldwide. Also a total of 60,694 people have recovered from the virus. As the fear of coronavirus continues to spread, there are a growing number of reports of empty shop shelves as people rush to stock up on basic products such as hand soap, sanitizers, tissue papers, and many more. It got so bad that some stores are now limiting purchases of these products, more due to coronavirus fears.

The fears stem from the misleading information coming from mainstream media about the trend of the virus. The media shows the number of fatalities continuously increasing, on a time-based graph. The problem with this is that, the media only uses a cumulative graph to illustrate coronavirus deaths. However, if you look deeper at the raw data provided by John Hopkins on GITHUB, the number of global deaths per day are decreasing worldwide.

Hats off to Evan at TradeGuru, who first noticed the discrepancy in media’s cumulative statistics and created a more accurate chart. According to Evan’s analysis using the raw data provided by John Hopkins University, “the virus is decreasing in hotspots such as South Korea, China and Hong Kong (the first to deal with the novel virus). The press tells us it’s an outbreak, or a pandemic on the precipice. Both situations would suggest exponential growth. The actual data doesn’t suggest exponential growth of fatalities at all. The data suggests decline. In fact, the crude death rate is statistically 0.”

Also, it’s now being estimated that 80% of individuals that contract the coronavirus are asymptomatic or midly-symptomatic. And in this viral video, Rebecca Fraiser says she “never really felt unwell” after contracting the virus, and it “sounds like it is the case for the majority of people.”


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: coronavirus; covid19; resurrection
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To: unixfox

Oil tumbled due to Saudi and Russian price war.


441 posted on 03/10/2020 2:07:17 AM PDT by narses (Censeo praedatorium gregem esse delendum. (The gay lobby must be destroyed))
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To: SamAdams76

Thanks. New deaths dropping does not seem to sink in but it is factual, in two weeks we should have a great deal of clarity.


442 posted on 03/10/2020 2:08:35 AM PDT by narses (Censeo praedatorium gregem esse delendum. (The gay lobby must be destroyed))
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To: babble-on

Unrelated.


443 posted on 03/10/2020 2:09:39 AM PDT by narses (Censeo praedatorium gregem esse delendum. (The gay lobby must be destroyed))
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To: catnipman; Prolixus

Math appears to be hard.

CRICKETS


444 posted on 03/10/2020 2:10:48 AM PDT by narses (Censeo praedatorium gregem esse delendum. (The gay lobby must be destroyed))
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To: Travis McGee

“BECAUSE AN EFFING TSUNAMI IS COMING, THAT HAS ALREADY HIT MANY OTHER COUNTRIES, AND DULLARDS STILL REFUSE TO LOOK AT REALITY!”

Odd shaped “tsunami” there buddy.


445 posted on 03/10/2020 2:11:51 AM PDT by narses (Censeo praedatorium gregem esse delendum. (The gay lobby must be destroyed))
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To: Travis McGee; Repeal The 17th

Your chart is fake.

See https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-cases/#case-outcome for real data instead of FAKE NEWS.


446 posted on 03/10/2020 2:13:06 AM PDT by narses (Censeo praedatorium gregem esse delendum. (The gay lobby must be destroyed))
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To: RummyChick

“The market is getting crushed tonight”

Not tonight. Get ready for panic buying.


447 posted on 03/10/2020 2:16:52 AM PDT by narses (Censeo praedatorium gregem esse delendum. (The gay lobby must be destroyed))
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To: Codeflier

“...when we should be concentrating mostly on mitigation for the elderly.”

Oh my, rational thought in the midst of panic, thank you!


448 posted on 03/10/2020 2:18:13 AM PDT by narses (Censeo praedatorium gregem esse delendum. (The gay lobby must be destroyed))
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To: narses; catnipman

Yes! Math is hard but pettifogging is easy.


449 posted on 03/10/2020 4:11:12 AM PDT by Prolixus (In all seriousness:)
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To: Prolixus

so, has the spread in the U.S. been exponential or simply geometric with a steep slope .... inquiring minds want to know if you’ve fitted the data to a time curve to be able to make that “exponential” claim, at least for the U.S. ...


450 posted on 03/10/2020 4:13:42 AM PDT by narses (Censeo praedatorium gregem esse delendum. (The gay lobby must be destroyed))
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To: narses

You seem to be an expert why don’t you show me your data and calculations.

I’ll show you mine for Italy: 20 raised to exponent 3 is 8000 in just over two weeks.


451 posted on 03/10/2020 4:22:37 AM PDT by Prolixus (In all seriousness:)
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To: Prolixus

Italy
Confirmed: 17,660
Deaths: 1,266
Recovered: 1,439
Active: 14,955


452 posted on 03/13/2020 11:54:18 PM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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