Gee, yet another COVID thread (YACT).
P
Death rate in U.S. is 7.2% so far if anybody cares.
The money quote: 80% of people with the Wuhan flu are not counted in the mortality cal ulation.
Previous to that, the large numbers would be posted together around
17:30 to 18:30 PST. That means that the majority of new cases, deaths,
and the recovered numbers would be spilled together.
On Monday the negative numbers were published at 13:30 and the positive
numbers three hours later at 16:30.
Yesterday the negative numbers were published at 9:30 & 12:30, with the
positive numbers coming in at 17:53.
Today that same format seems to be playing out. Large negative numbers
were reported at 9:30 and 12:30. It remains to be seen when the positive
numbers will show up.
What this means is that the increase in cases shows up starting as
much as eight hours or more before the recovery numbers show up.
This creates a false narrative that things are getting quickly worse.
Then the media runs with that.
To the contrary, by the end of the day these numbers more than balance out,
with the number of active cases shrinking each day.
I think it's a ploy to make this thing look worse than it is, and the
general public won't actually understand how they are being gamed.
Yesterday morning 1,337 new cases were announced at 09:43. At 12:33
that number had grown to 1,881, and that was made public. Not until 17:53
was it released that 2,621 cases had been resolved. At that time it was
reported that in total 2,184 total new cases had been reported during
the day.
Upshot of the day, there were 2,717 cases resolved yesterday,
and after balancing new cases with the resolved cases, there was a drop
in active cases of 494 cases.
I don't believe that is the message that will be broadcast to the public.
Just came from Portland. The large hospital West of town has it’s quarantine tent out at the emergency room entrance.
Signs on doors say it is a drill.
And Costco had rice and toilet paper but also a sign limiting purchases of those items.
There s COVID19 Type L and COVID419 Type S according to an earlier article on FR - the L type is more common and “mild”. The S type is less common but bad.
A virus that has a higher percentage of death does not make it deadlier. The flu is deadlier, period. It has more deaths associated with it than does the coronavirus.
Will the Coronavirus subside in a few months as the weather in the Northern Hemisphere gets warmer like the flu season subsides?
ya GOTTA know what the TOTAL community case load is before making any pronouncements.
We have worldwide, less than 100,000 cases we know about. If in total, worldwide there are only 200,000 cases the stats are MUCH different than if worldwide cases are 1,000,000-and ONLY 100,000 have been sick enough to hit the system.
corona virus/COVID is a small time street punk compared to influenza when looked at in this perspective
“the Coronavirus is far deadlier...”
To Wuhan, China and Seattle Washington, it seems.
You think people haven’t noticed??