Posted on 01/28/2020 3:08:48 PM PST by 11th_VA
131 Dead, 5564 Cases
Ping !
Thanks for the update. BTT.
What’s an important number is how many are dying in Western countries once they get the virus
It’s a little early for counting just yet, but the tally is still useful.
We don’t know the real denominator - how many thousands just have a bad cold?
How many chose to not even go to hospital, are dying or died at home?
How many in ICU won’t make it?
And of course, China never tells the truth about anything. And in this case they probably don’t know it themselves.
The MOST essential question right now is: Is there asymptomatic transmission?
The US and China CDCs do not agree on this matter. And it should be the very highest priority for the epidemiologists.
After that verify China’s claim it’s transmitted via touch, and even simple proximity with shared air. Apparently the US CDC doesn’t agree with that either.
Ostensibly, the two biggest and richest and technologically advanced countries in the world should be able to agree on these enormously important questions.
2% death rate. Compares to .05% death rate for the current flu. 40 times deadlier.
US deaths from flu: 8,000
US deaths from Coronavirus: 0
Worldwide deaths from Coronavirus: 130
>> What’s an important number is how many are dying in Western countries once they get the virus <<
0 so far.
We are about two weeks behind China, next week will be very telling.
Here’s the problem with the 40 times deadlier notion:
US flu death rates are based on an estimate of how many people have it.
Coronavirus death rates are based on confirmed cases. How many people in China REALLY have had Coronavirus? If the number is ten times greater than reported, then the death rate is likely ten times lower.
OUTSTANDING post. Thanks. More information...
Condolences to the Chinese and anyone worldwide affected by this.
WHO let the germs out...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qkuu0Lwb5EM
Sorry. In stressful thoughts my mind defaults to music many times.
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There are currently 5,572 confirmed cases worldwide, including 131 fatalities.
Last update: 28 January 2020 at 5:55 p.m. ET
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/01/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
==
Currently, no fatalities outside of mainland China.
22 cases in region: Hong Kong, Taiwan, Macau
59 cases International
The argument could be rightly made that we’re nearly 2 months behind China. And a big difference that we have walking intersections vs the wild animal market which was a central vector point.
That would only be the case if they are lying about the denominator and not the numerator as well.
We’re more like 4+ weeks behind China.
China noted it’s first cases December 31.
But who knows how long they had it before they announced.
We announced our first on Jan 21.
Steve is really whining tonight - not sure I am listen tonight
You’re probably right. I went with a lower number because of 5 million Wuhan who left, many of whom are probably are in the US now.
“0 so far.”
Also, even if our system and medications can prevent large numbers of deaths, that isn’t a permanent situation. What happens if we’re treating 5 people this week, 20 next week, 500 next month and 50,000 in 3 months? Sooner or later the system will get overwhelmed, there simply won’t be enough professionals or drugs, and THEN people start dying in large numbers.
“If the number is ten times greater than reported, then the death rate is likely ten times lower.”
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