https://www.pdsoros.org/meet-the-fellows/eric-ding
Er...any relation to George Soros?
Cuz, if so, this story just took one mother of a left turn at Albuquerque.
I wonder how this compares to the swine flu.
Wuflue warfare time, total blockade of any Chinese tourists.
Emergency quarantine sites big enough to handle cruise ships.
More thermal detection at airports.
For starters.
Note to self, avoid Chinese people.....
I came across this on Reddit- supposedly from the Brazilian Ministry of Health- stock up on medical grade alcohol, masks and prepare to hunker down for a long time.
https://i.redd.it/bh3fj30c90d41.png
I’ve been reading a lot of articles about this viral critter. Seems most at risk are those with cardiac issues, diabetes, pre-existing COPD. Most old. Started mid-Dec, but only 50/60 reported deaths.
The virus may have a RO of 3.8, but viruses on crack, like this one seems to be, are likely to have higher incidences of replication failure with each mutation. What are the odds it will burn itself out by making too many mistakes in genetic coding? SARs was a big scare, but remember, only 800 deaths from that before it fizzled itself into history.
(what I don’t understand is China building a hospital in a week when they have so many ghost cities already built that patients could be transferred to. Disturbing the soil (airborne particulates) doesn’t seem the smartest thing to do if the carrier is rats and/or their fleas)
If you guys think an accurate R0 can be calculated under the circumstances that exist in Wuhan right now - you will be very disappointed.
It’s the “Kung Flu”.
Yup. Doing a good job of panicking. We are about to get real data on spread and mortality here instead of garbage numbers out of China. The. we will see what we really are dealing with.
Another attempt at population control.
Just to lighten the mood...
I keep having dreams of a nice black lady telling me to come visit her in Hemingford Home, Nebraska. Me and all my friends are welcome...strange.
"Our findings are critically dependent on the assumptions underpinning our model, and the timing and reporting of confirmed cases, and there is considerable uncertainty associated with the outbreak at this early stage."
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.23.20018549v1
Can i get the virus playing Chinese Checkers?
I did updates on a similar outbreak on the thread linked below. Reality turned out to be way different than projections. The updates are the last posts on the thread.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3210773/posts
Do surgical masks really work?
Officials address CDC confirmation of first case of coronavirus in Chicago area.
Amid the deadly outbreak of coronavirus in China that’s killed at least 26 people and sickened hundreds of others, officials in the country are encouraging the public to wear surgical masks to prevent the spread of disease. Demands for the masks have skyrocketed, with many retailers unable to keep up.
But the question remains: Do surgical masks really work?
CHINA CORONAVIRUS OUTBREAK SENDS COUNTRY SCRAMBLING TO BUILD HOSPITAL
“Surgical masks will not prevent your acquiring diseases,” said Dr. William Schaffner, a professor of preventive medicine and infectious diseases at Vanderbilt University, and the medical director of the National Foundation for Infectious Diseases, to Fox News.
Rather, he explained, surgical masks are typically used by surgeons to protect their patients from their mouth-borne germs — but “those masks don’t work to prevent inhaling diseases,” said Schaffner.
The masks, which cover the nose and mouth, are often made from a flimsy material and aren’t fitted to the face. In other words, spaces and gaps can form around the cheeks and edges of the mouth, making it easy for air to move in and out.
US AIRPORTS DISPLAYING CDC WARNING POSTERS AMID CORONAVIRUS OUTBREAK
“When coughing, you can feel the puffs of air coming out of the mask,” he said.
That said, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) is currently recommending anyone infected with the novel coronavirus or being tested for it to wear a surgical mask when in public. And one infectious disease physician told The New York Times the masks could block “large respiratory droplets” from entering your body when an infected person sneezes or coughs. These large droplets are largely behind the spread of coronaviruses, the physician said.
A more protective mask, known as an N-95 respirator, may be more effective, said Schaffner. But, he noted, a non-medical professional using this mask is likely not using it correctly, doing little to prevent the spread of illness or inhaling a disease.
“The chance of the average person going into a pharmacy, wearing them correctly and for long periods of time is unlikely,” he said.
“14/ Let’s pretend the 3.8 estimate is too high (there’s unpublished estimates of 2.5). even if this virus’s R0=2.5, that’s still 2x higher than seasonal flu’s 1.28 (ref above), and higher than 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic of 1.80 that killed millions. So 2.8 is still super bad folks”
Except seasonal Flu averages between 2 an 3 RO...
The scare stories are spreading faster than the virus - despite a high-density ground zero.
Perhaps it is a good time to invest in a houseboat.
I still have some Tom Ridge brand duct tape and plastic in my basement. (not really)
