Posted on 10/23/2019 2:32:27 AM PDT by Libloather
NOAA released its official winter outlook Thursday morning, predicting a higher probability for above average temperatures across much of the country, and above average precipitation for much of the Upper Plains, Midwest and Great Lakes. Forecasters say that even though colder than average temperatures are not favored, there will likely be some areas that end up with temperatures below average for the winter season (December-February).
The El Niño Southern Oscillation often times influences our winter weather here in the United States, however forecasters with NOAA say we are currently in neutral conditions (neither El Niño or La Niña are present) and those are expected to last through Spring 2020. This means long-term trends played more of a role in the winter outlook. It also means that other climate patterns such as the Arctic and North Atlantic Oscillations, as well as the Madden-Julian Oscillation, will likely determine more of our winter weather locally. Arctic air masses are more frequent when the Arctic and North Atlantic Oscillations are in their negative phase. Unfortunately, the predictability for those types of climate patterns is limited to just a couple weeks.
(Excerpt) Read more at mystateline.com ...
Farmer’s Almanac said the opposite. Hmmm
They predict the warmer temperatures in support of their false global warming narrative, but watch how they blame man-made climate change for the lower temps we experience.
Ah, Carnac has predicted the FUTURE!
NO ONE knows the future except God! Why are humans so obsessed with trying to predict the future, which is IMPOSSIBLE!
Even when you turn out to be correct, you didn’t PRE-dict anything. You got lucky. Everything is binary. Yes/no, right/wrong, is/isn’t, did/didn’t, hot/cold, dry/wet, .....
I’ll let you know just how cold this winter is going to be ....IN THE SPRING!
“So, NOAA says above average on their manipulated data scale, so therefore it will ONLY be 10 degrees cooler than normal?”
Right, which is why it will be reported as hottest winter in one hundred and eleventy billion years
And there will be plenty of “Winter Vortexes” and “Bomb Cyclones”, you know, those things that we used to call just “Weather”.
Joe Bastardi of WeatherBell.com showed its winter forecast and it has the central and northern portion of the country being 1 to 3 degrees cooler than average. His map shows the southern states of Florida through California of being 1 degree warmer than average. And folks with short memories will exclaim its the worst/best ever.
Every fall I rake the leaves. Store the lawn equipment. Clean my gutters. Prep the snowblower. And mount snow tires.
Then every spring I mount summer tires. Prep the lawn equipment. And store the snowblower.
I live in Minnesota. It will be winter from November until May. And it will be colder than hell mid-December until March.
Nothing any of these organizations do or say changes any of that.
The last Woolley Bear caterpillar I saw says different- it was nearly black.
Indeed:
How often did the NOAA predict below average temps in its long range forecast? But then try to find info on how well they did. See http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3746738/posts
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