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11% Chance of Another Huge Earthquake in SoCal, Scientists Say
ktla ^ | 07/06/2019

Posted on 07/06/2019 6:54:08 AM PDT by BenLurkin

The odds that Southern California will experience another earthquake of magnitude 7 or greater in the next week are now nearly 11%, according to preliminary estimates from seismologists.

And the chances that a quake will surpass the 7.1 temblor that struck near Ridgecrest on Friday night are roughly 8% to 9%, said Caltech seismologist Lucy Jones.

(Excerpt) Read more at ktla.com ...


TOPICS: Local News
KEYWORDS: california; earthquake; socalearthquake
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To: BenLurkin

21 posted on 07/06/2019 7:33:14 AM PDT by Pollard (If you don't understand what I typed, you haven't read the classics.)
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To: Alas Babylon!

Pic of damage at some guys old building [used as storage].

Note all of the cracks emanating from the corners of wall openings.


22 posted on 07/06/2019 7:36:36 AM PDT by Paladin2
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To: Pollard

23 posted on 07/06/2019 7:37:34 AM PDT by Bratch (IF YOU HAVE SELFISH IGNORANT CITIZENS, YOU ARE GOING TO HAVE SELFISH IGNORANT LEADERS-George Carlin)
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To: BenLurkin

I’ll take earthquakes over hurricanes any day of the week

Unless of course I own a liquor store


24 posted on 07/06/2019 7:51:34 AM PDT by Truthoverpower (The guvmint you get is the Trump winning express !)
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To: myerson

A Vile and Evil Place,,,
That’s so True and
We Call It Home.


25 posted on 07/06/2019 7:53:49 AM PDT by Big Red Badger (Despised by the Despicable!)
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To: BenLurkin

It takes Faith and
Guts to
Live in a
“Vile and Evil” place.
.
Myerson has Neither.


26 posted on 07/06/2019 7:58:07 AM PDT by Big Red Badger (Despised by the Despicable!)
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To: Mouton
11% eh. Almost like they know what they are talking about. IMO my guess is as good as anyone’s. The real question remains. Does this affect faults to the west or the super Volcano to the north east. Hopefully no but only God knows.

Short answer: No way.

Long answer: We are using a video camera as the sole measurement tool to watch a bar of steel under load in a testing rig with the measurements of torque and pressure covered up. We can tell you when the bar cracks or breaks, we can draw on the screen where other cracks have appeared in the past. We have no idea as to the metal's hardness, it's temp, the grain structure, etc.

So our being able to predict effects on neighboring faults is incredibly limited. But you're talking trillions of tons of mass; for this quake to affect other faults immediately outside of the strike zone, it is unlikely. About 25km, if I recall correctly, would be the strike zone for a 7.1 quake.

27 posted on 07/06/2019 7:59:01 AM PDT by kingu (Everything starts with slashing the size and scope of the federal government.)
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To: BenLurkin

Get The Big One and illegals will be taking boats all the way to Sacramento.
Actually i wonder if it even registers upon them. The reality of major earthquake’s in their supposed promised land.


28 posted on 07/06/2019 8:01:21 AM PDT by Daniel Ramsey (Thank YOU President Trump, finally we can do what America does best, to be the best)
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To: fireman15

Don’t know about God’s hand, but mine is raising one finger to salute your warm wishes.


29 posted on 07/06/2019 8:08:02 AM PDT by SoCal Pubbie (Ca)
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To: BenLurkin

Do they really know enough to say, or is this like the 2016 polling that had Clinton running away with it?


30 posted on 07/06/2019 8:20:02 AM PDT by Buttons12
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To: SoCal Pubbie

I’m with You Pal!
.
It takes Guts to
Live in the State of
“Shake and Bake!”


31 posted on 07/06/2019 8:21:25 AM PDT by Big Red Badger (Despised by the Despicable!)
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To: BenLurkin

Let us pray JimRob and family are on vacation elsewhere.


32 posted on 07/06/2019 8:31:15 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: SoCal Pubbie
Don’t know about God’s hand, but mine is raising one finger to salute your warm wishes.

Ah, keep your gloves on. We live just SE of Seattle. We will be sliding into the ocean with you. : )


33 posted on 07/06/2019 8:32:02 AM PDT by fireman15
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To: BenLurkin

Does that mean that there is an 89% chance it won’t happen?


34 posted on 07/06/2019 8:44:08 AM PDT by Parmy
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To: Parmy

I don’t have enough fingers and toes to do that calculation.


35 posted on 07/06/2019 8:45:07 AM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire. Or both.)
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To: BenLurkin

Yada, yada, yada.

I believe these two large earthquakes in a sparsely populated region in the Mohave Desert are the beginning of the return to historical norms of earthquake activity. Look for dozens of 5-plus earthquakes all over Californicatia over the next 80 years with big ones all but destroying large swaths of Los Angeles including the areas where the motion picture industry is and all but destroy San Francisco.

Too bad the people who will die will not be the politicians and the criminal aliens to which those politicians pander.


36 posted on 07/06/2019 8:51:34 AM PDT by MIchaelTArchangel
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To: fireman15

If the big one hits a populated area those living in the streets may be the ones to be affected the least. Are they capable of helping others. Maybe this will spook some illegals.


37 posted on 07/06/2019 8:54:33 AM PDT by Wm F Buckley Republican
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To: BenLurkin

Just wondering - did these seismologists give the odds the second earthquake (this current one) would happen after the first one occurred?


38 posted on 07/06/2019 8:56:52 AM PDT by MichaelCorleone (Jesus Christ is not a religion. He's the Truth.)
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To: MichaelCorleone

Yes, they always say one in twenty for a larger quake. This time their estimation (not really a prediction) was a little higher due to the unusual number of aftershocks.

The aftershocks continue today. I’m 80 miles from Ridgecrest in my lazy boy recliner and am still feeling gentle wave action almost constantly.


39 posted on 07/06/2019 9:00:58 AM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire. Or both.)
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To: WildHighlander57

The dutchsinse “discovery” isn’t too hard to follow when you have the data. (They) just don’t want civilians doing their job.


40 posted on 07/06/2019 9:15:47 AM PDT by numberonepal (WWG1WGA)
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