Posted on 07/05/2019 10:15:42 AM PDT by BenLurkin
The good news about Thursday's 6.4-magnitude quake... is that it happened in an unpopulated area of the Mojave Desert about 100 miles from the main San Andreas fault. The bad news? "The probability of a 'big one' hasn't changed at all," ...
"You realize the last big earthquake to hit the L.A. segment of the San Andreas fault was 1680. That's over 300 years ago. But the cycle time for breaks and earthquakes on the San Andreas fault is 130 years, so we are way overdue. In any given year, the probability of the big one is 3% in any given year."
Because of that inevitability, he said California residents should get prepared now.
"Learn about things you can do for the family. Talk to your family, kids, loved ones, what to do, stock up on food, water in case of an emergency. Go have an escape route. Get hooked up to the internet or radio or whatever. Be prepared, basically, because it will happen."
(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...
The next Ice Age is overdue too.
“Oh goodie! When is it going to happen? please let it crack and separate CA from the civilized world, and let it sink into the ocean.”
There are good people in California not to mention all of our military bases there.
“On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero.”
I lived in SF in 1989 when the Loma Prieta quake hit,
AKA the World Series Quake. 6.9
I lived in a high-rise apartment complex near the beach, several buildings. A few minutes before the quake, I decided to drive up to a lookout point in Seaview, which overlooked the Golden Gate. Golf course nearby, expensive homes etc. On the way there, while driving thru Golden Gate Park, I felt like I had a flat tire. BUT, I wasn’t moving so it was probably a quake. No biggie. Continued my drive, lots of people running out into the streets from homes, apis on the way there.
I thought, “must be a lot of new people here if they think that was a big one.” Got to my destination, golfers waved as they kept playing, (one reason I love golfers) a man joined me on the bench and started telling me about big quake. Wasn’t big, I said. Yes, just turn around, see that smoke? Buildings fallen down, gas mains broken and burning, chaos.
I drove back home, along the beach route where there was not much traffic nor stoplights. Got to my building, people milling outside, elevators broken. I ran upstairs to my 5th floor apt, halls full of debris from fallen ceilings. My next-door neighbor, with whom I shared the long common wall, was screaming for help, couldn’t open her door. I gave it a good shove and it opened, her apartment was a. mess with the china cabinet overturned broken glass, lots of damage. Then we went to my apt. Door opened easily. We both gasped. NO DAMAGE. Zero. I had a china vase on the coffee table that fell off but didn’t break.
My cat was fine, just rather irritated that I’d left him alone to hold it together. Hero cat.
Because we were on sandy soil, buildings in our complex were among the worst damaged, with refrigerators flying out windows, etc. Red Cross set up stations in them.
You’re better off to be on rocky soil, where you feel a quake as a sort of a bounce, and you feet might even leave the ground. But stuff tends to stay in place. The most personal damage in quakes is caused by BOOKS, heavy objects with sharp corners, so don’t have a bookcase near your bed.
The good news about Thursday's 6.4-magnitude quake... is that the CA governor and elected representatives will protect and provide for their beloved serfs no matter what the consequences of a the global-warming caused "big one" are...
Their biggest concern is the adverse economic impact on their home country of mexico that might be caused by a magnitude 9 earthquake in CA...
I know that 3-4 million will be conservatives, but if they are still in CA, tough.
Sodom and Gomorrah was tough, but needed.
OK, after re-reading before posting, maybe I'm being too casual because of the rum, but if it happens, maybe I might shed a single tear.
Or not.
BTW, I have no control over earth quakes, but if I did, kalifornikator would be in serious trouble.
Get out now while you still can.
= = =
North is volcanoes
East is floods
SE is tornadoes
Way SE is hurricanes
Misc fire storms if not desert
so . . .
Move to Hungary?
or Mars?
or just ‘check out’?
Seriously though I have read it’s better to have multiple small earthquakes it reduces the stress and prevents the ‘big one’.
I know 6.4 is not small but didn’t it and all the aftershocks reduce stress?
Sandy soil not good. If the ground shacks enough, compacted sandy soil is subject to liquefaction which turns the sandy soil to the consistency of oat meal, resulting in buildings and homes to literally sink into the ground. The good news is aftershocks can cause enough pressure to push up or burp homes back up to the surface.
Virginia was just about perfect, but the people who moved here from New Jersey are trying to turn it into New Jersey so I will have to find somewhere else to go.
East TN, western NC, maybe.
Overdue?
[Wiki] [Quote] A scientific theory is a well-substantiated explanation of some aspect of the natural world, based on a body of facts that have been repeatedly confirmed through observation and experiment. Such fact-supported theories are not “guesses” but reliable accounts of the real world.[Unquote]
Based on this assumption of scientific theory, just how long have these observations of earthquake phenomena in California been going on? Certainly it hasn’t been thousands and thousands of years, although there is a geologic record I don’t think the geologic record actually contains enough information to make the assumption that anything is overdue.
Perhaps the Cascadia subduction zone has a few more clues contained within the boundaries of that subduction zone that a possible forecast of 300 years is semi accurate, but there have been core samples all up and down the coast which indicates layers and strata of sand caused by tidal scrub in events known as subduction, and there is also tree-ring analysis plus there are the writings from the Japanese about the orphan tsunami which aid the quasi predictability of 300 years.
But the California fault lines are not subduction fault lines, and I think perhaps the term “overdue” is bandied about haphazardly and does not really constitute any level of reliability, but rather propagates the consistent sensationalism of the MSM.
But Hungary has vampires! Magyars!
Thanks for the link.
No time at the moment to look at it.
Be back later. :)
Oh no! Just eleven years and days left.
How about a cup of the milk of human kindness next time, instead of the rum?
Maybe someone should ask the fool Congress critter who thought putting more people on Guam would tip the island over what his plan is for when The Big One rips California in two from west of Los Angeles through San Francisco and that part goes floating off into the Pacific Ocean if it will tip over and everyone will drown. If that Congress critter is not available, I am certain we can get AOC to opine.
I live at the very outside edge of the suburbs.
I’d be in the mountains already, but my wife won’t move to the real boonies.
Little Miss Lurkin (now all growed up) is there.
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