Posted on 10/22/2018 7:00:59 PM PDT by dontreadthis
1) Gonna offer a hypothesis. This is NOT a prediction quite yet.
(Excerpt) Read more at threadreaderapp.com ...
Oh, Facebook. Is there a difference?
1) Gonna offer a hypothesis. This is NOT a prediction quite yet.
2) In the last couple of days the DNCC went back into IA1 (Blum) and VA10 (Comstock) and began placing ads again.
3) These were races they thought they had won in mid-summer. Barbara Comstock was the . . .
3) contd . . epitome of the endangered R who would lose her seat in the fall. She of course still might.
4) But this race was supposed to be over weeks ago. The fact that the DNCC is now having to fight for this territory tells me something.
5) I think the DemoKKKrat strategists can actually read. Moreover, I think they can read absentee/early voting #s as well as we can.
6) Which means they see they are getting buried. Even in NV, the only state of six where they have a tiny lead, I’m told that . . .
6) contd . . when the rural counties come in, Ds will be a shocking 41,000 short of their 2016 numbers (when Trump only lost by 27,000).
7) What does it mean they are now having to retake the “cities” they supposedly held? It probably means they never held them at all.
8) Their “leads” were always based almost entirely on polls.
9) But I think it means something more. I think the DNC is . . .
SCARED. TO. DEATH.
10) They are looking at losing a net five or six more senate seats . . but with some luck, Rs could take one or two more meaning a 58 or 59 seat senate. This would put it well out of RINO range.
Minion Romney would not be able to slink over to the DemoKKKrats . . .
10) contd . . . and caucus to sink Trump-friendly bills or legislation.
Thank you Susan Collins, but that will be the last time you EVER hold the upper hand in a vote.
11) But it means more than that. I think the Ds’ retreat in these “safe” races means something bigger:
12) I think they KNOW they will not take the House and now are terrified of actually losing MORE seats to the Rs.
13) Again, the numbers are in their favor: I count only 2 “guaranteed” D-R flips right now and about 5 others. But when you see those absentee #S, . . .
13) contd . . they “seem” to be bringing a different message from the voters.
14) The Ds can afford to not take back the House. After all, they don’t have it now.
15) What they CANNOT afford is to be seen as losing across the board, a continuation of the Obama years.
16) I’ll wait for more evidence before changing my hypothesis to a prediction, but if I see just two more ad buys in seats that a month ago were considered “safe” D?
I’ll know that on election night the drug stores are gonna be running short of razor blades.
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That was fun to read. Thanks OP and LS. :)
Thank you.
Actually the link takes you to a nicely formatted Thread Reader page. Now if the actual Twitter thread was posted here in it's entirety, then it would look quite crappy. Twitter threads do not translate well to this space.
There is a world outside the Free Republic ecosystem. Be brave! Venture outside your comfort zone once in a while.
He’s so behind the curve that his post-election analyses are dusty, moth-eaten, tediously wrong.
thanks
you intimidated me with your “lazy” comment
We all hope and pray that you are right, Larry!
Republicans MUST keep House and Senate!
MAGA!
JOBS, NOT MOBS!
He had Ohio nailed right down to the precinct level. He also predicted a PA victory when the usual suspects around here were hollering "fools gold" and saying that Trump was wasting his time in PA and ought to write it off. As well as MI and WI.
Me, I do a little shrubbery pruning Tuesday and Thursday and twice Sunday morn!
It’s not twitter. It’s easily read text of Larry’s tweets. Try it. If you don’t like it, don’t go back.
Personally, I hate twitter, facebook, etc, et al. Cause more pain and misery than they are worth.
Something is happening all around the country and it was the Kavenaugh hearings that triggered it. Not just the idea that he was nominated to the SC but the degree in which the Democrats unleashed to hoards of screaming, screeching, protests in the middle of the hearings.
The American voting public was shocked to the core. On the heals of that was the last second political hit on the Judge from what was said to be a 35 year old high school acquaintance. In addition were the sickening unsubstantiated claims for two others.
Registered voters were shocked and sickened by this display. All the independents and a portion of the Democrat voting were no doubt deeply affected.
You are watching in slow motion the evaporation of the blue wave and a building of a red wave added by the approaching army of migrants as we close in on the mid terms.
i predict this will be as shocking as the Trump victory two years ago. The left only has itself to blame. The radical Sanders wing of the party got too powerful and now will reap what it’s been sowing.
Throw us a bone, wouldya?
Something is happening all around the country and it was the Kavenaugh hearings that triggered it. Not just the idea that he was nominated to the SC but the degree in which the Democrats unleashed the hoards of screaming, screeching, protests in the middle of the hearings.
The American voting public was shocked to the core. On the heals of that was the last second political hit on the Judge from what was said to be a 35 year old high school acquaintance. In addition were the sickening unsubstantiated claims for two others.
Registered voters were shocked and sickened by this display. All the independents and a portion of the Democrat voting were no doubt deeply affected.
You are watching in slow motion the evaporation of the blue wave and a building of a red wave aided by the approaching army of migrants as we close in on the mid terms.
i predict this will be as shocking as the Trump victory two years ago. The left only has itself to blame. The radical Sanders wing of the party got too powerful and now will reap what it’s been sowing.
see 22
Go to the link. It's none of those. It's a site that compiles posts in a twitter thread. No sign up or other swimming through a septic tank.
Sorry, but LS was the only one to “predict” exactly what happened in the 2016 election. He does know what he is talking about and I absolutely trust him.
Pray for the defeat of every demonrat. Every single one of them.
And vote.
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