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we may refer to their inaccurate prediction of Trump losing, but many house losses are open GOP seats. other seats HRC won. Strength of candidate chosen in primary. Various sites have examined each race seat by seat. They were correct with GOP gains in 2010 and 2014 well before November.
1 posted on 07/24/2018 5:13:34 AM PDT by SMGFan
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To: SMGFan
Funny...on 11/1/16 ILLary was a hard favorite to take 400 Electoral Votes.
2 posted on 07/24/2018 5:15:46 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (You Say "White Privilege"...I Say "Protestant Work Ethic")
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To: SMGFan

Why would any sane person ever vote for a Democrat?


3 posted on 07/24/2018 5:16:44 AM PDT by Wm F Buckley Republican (?)
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To: SMGFan

Is this the same Larry Sabado that predicted a MAJOR win for Hillary?

That’s what I thought.


6 posted on 07/24/2018 5:18:42 AM PDT by unixfox (Abolish Slavery, Repeal the 16th Amendment)
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To: SMGFan

Is this the same Larry Sabado that predicted a MAJOR win for Hillary?

That’s what I thought.


7 posted on 07/24/2018 5:18:43 AM PDT by unixfox (Abolish Slavery, Repeal the 16th Amendment)
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To: SMGFan

Perhaps. Has there been a study that examined accuracy of July prognostications for a November election?

I’ll pay more attention to the horse race analyses in October.

Who knows what information will drop between now and the midterms?


8 posted on 07/24/2018 5:18:45 AM PDT by HombreSecreto (The new Oldsmobiles are in early this year)
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To: SMGFan

And Hillary Clinton has a 91% chance of winning the presidency...


10 posted on 07/24/2018 5:20:38 AM PDT by Hotlanta Mike ("itYou can avoid reality, but you can't avoid the consequences of avoiding reality.")
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To: SMGFan
This Larry Sabato???

ROTFLMFAO!!!


13 posted on 07/24/2018 5:21:56 AM PDT by CodeToad
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To: SMGFan
'Dems now favorite to take House in midterms' ... they've been saying this for the past year.
14 posted on 07/24/2018 5:22:02 AM PDT by Henry Cavendish
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To: SMGFan

of course they are!

They don’t even need to go out and vote- it’s such a sure thing


15 posted on 07/24/2018 5:22:38 AM PDT by Mr. K (No consequence of repealing Obamacare is worse than Obamacare itself.)
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To: SMGFan

Well, after their incredible job on the 2016 election, I guess we can all trust the pollsters now and just stay home.

[insert eyeroll here]


16 posted on 07/24/2018 5:23:06 AM PDT by Pravious
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To: SMGFan; All

And the day before the election, Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball prophesied 322 electoral votes for Clinton and 216 for Trump.


17 posted on 07/24/2018 5:23:36 AM PDT by areukiddingme1 (areukiddingme1 is a synonym for a Retired U.S. Navy Chief Petty Officer and tired of liberal BS.))
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To: SMGFan

Larry Sabato doubles as the My Pillow guy...

They do look a little alike....


18 posted on 07/24/2018 5:23:46 AM PDT by patriotspride
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To: SMGFan

I think someone needs to start a suicide watch for Libs.......


19 posted on 07/24/2018 5:24:58 AM PDT by Lockbox
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To: SMGFan

Doc, these democrats are beyond the delusional stage. One more round of losing and the straight jackets stock will soar


20 posted on 07/24/2018 5:25:42 AM PDT by no-to-illegals (..There is no difference between liberals/rinos/moslems/illegals/lamestream media ...)
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To: SMGFan

They’re going to win right up until they lose and then they’re going to whine until the cows come home or the fat lady sings... Hillary hasn’t started singing yet, so it’s when the cows come home.


21 posted on 07/24/2018 5:26:39 AM PDT by jerod (Nazi's were essentially Socialist in Hugo Boss uniforms... Get over it!)
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To: SMGFan

The Larry Sabato Pattern:

July: Dems +10 points
August: Dems +2 points
September: Dems +5 points
Early October: Dems +5 points
Late October: Dems +2 points
Election Day Minus One: No bias

We are in the Dog Days of Summer, when Larry Sabato let’s his freak flag fly. The fact that he has this at all close is very, very good news for the Republicans.


22 posted on 07/24/2018 5:26:43 AM PDT by Haiku Guy (ELIMINATE PERVERSE INCENTIVES)
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To: SMGFan

I tend to disregard Sabato


26 posted on 07/24/2018 5:27:55 AM PDT by Guenevere
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To: SMGFan

This is an attempt to start a new narrative going into the fall to mute the one showing the Democrats are out of touch with the mainstream in calling for socialism, etc.

This is the first salvo.

Sabato is a democrat hack and always has been.

Having said that, the GOP has PLENTY of material to hang around the Democrats neck and they better start spending all the cash they are raking in through donations.


27 posted on 07/24/2018 5:29:33 AM PDT by headstamp 2 (My "White Privilege" is my work ethic.)
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To: SMGFan

I almost think this is deliberate —

The Dem leadership knows that they are in a bad way. But they tell their followers that they are kicking ass. But in November, when they lose badly, they can tell their supporters that Trump has, again, meddled and stolen another election and now there is no other recourse: it’s time for violent revolution.


28 posted on 07/24/2018 5:29:41 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (The MSM is in the business of creating a fake version of reality for political reasons.)
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To: SMGFan

Time will tell.


29 posted on 07/24/2018 5:30:15 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
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