Posted on 10/22/2016 4:54:15 PM PDT by MrChips
Saturday on Fox & Friends, Tucker Carlson sat down with a college professor with a remarkable record of predicting election outcomes.
Professor Helmut Norpoth, from Stony Brook University in New York State, has correctly predicted the outcomes of the last five presidential elections.
This year, he steadfastly believes Donald Trump will win the election.
Norpoth said he uses two "models" to make his prediction:
One is the "primary" model, where he compares a candidate's strength in their respective primaries.
"The candidate who does better in his party's primary beats the other guy who does less well," Norpoth said.
Looking at New Hampshire and South Carolina's primaries, Norpoth projected that Trump would be the general election favorite because of the strength of his showing, versus Hillary Clinton.
The second model he created is called the "swing of the pendulum" model. . .
(Excerpt) Read more at insider.foxnews.com ...
Defeat Islam; vote Trump
I wonder if he accounts for a corrupt, thieving, lying and powerful federal government that will not take a chance of losing power with an honest election.
Surprized this came from Fx Noise.
Any insights? Maybe presented for the appearance of “fair and balanced?”
The only one he got wrong was Kennedy Nixon. But that one was going to be a squeaker anyway, I don’t think this one will be.
Does he have any proof of his success.
Corrupt, Leftist polling companies & media conspire to suppress voter turnout with phony survey results. They’ve been at it for a long time.
Just don’t ask Dick Morris.
Just HOW does his “Primary Model” account for the fact she simply stole the Dem Primary?
That fact would only seem to confirm it.
Agreed. Trump doesn’t have to win with more votes than Clinton, but with enough votes to offset the Democrat vote fraud, too.
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