Posted on 07/29/2016 4:00:32 PM PDT by orchestra
NEW YORK (Reuters) – Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton held a 6- percentage-point lead over Republican rival Donald Trump, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll with new wording that was released on Friday, the day after she formally accepted her party’s nomination for the Nov. 8 election.
Nearly 41 percent of likely voters favor Clinton, 35 percent favor Trump, and 25 percent picked “Other,” according to the new July 25-29 online poll of 1,043 likely voters, which overlapped with the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia.
The poll has a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.
The presidential tracking poll reflects a slight change of wording from previous surveys, replacing the “Neither/Other” option given to respondents with just “Other.” An internal review had found the word “Neither” has, at times, siphoned support away from one or the other candidate. [nL4N1AB4I6]
Former Secretary of State Clinton delivered an upbeat keynote address at the Democratic convention on Thursday night, as she became the first woman to accept the presidential nomination from a major party. [nL1N1AD041]
In the biggest speech of her more than 25-year-old career in the public eye, Clinton, 68, cast herself as a steady leader at a “moment of reckoning” for the country, and contrasted her character with what she described as Trump’s dangerous and volatile temperament.
And what is a “online poll” of likely voters?
Sounds like no one is reading the article. The tell is right in there.
The first poll doesn’t include the fringers, Johnson and Stein. But those two are making their minor mark.
In the poll where they are included, the outcome is:
Clinton 37%
Trump 37%
Johnson 5%
Stein 1%
I think that’s close to reality, given that reality changes day to day.
The gist of all the polls is that the race is close. I think that’s correct. Close/not close and trends are what polls tell us about. Expecting anything more is not realistic, just as expecting a batting champion to hit .500 is not realistic.
When I went back and looked at polls vs results, most of the polling in the R nomination race was quite accurate. There were glaring exceptions, but they were obvious as soon as you saw them, they stuck out.
OAN is usually quite good
Hmm, no internals. Wonder why? /sarc
We will have to wait for Monday for any reliable, if they exist, polls.
They have to lower Trump in order to get her a lead.
“credibility interval”? WTF is that?...Confidence intervals I know, but I think that the article actually reveals that journalists aren’t familiar with even the most basic statistical concepts.
Rejigger? That has to be racist. 10 demerits and re-edukation for inkorrect thinking!
Fortunately, I reject PC dogma.
25% on “other”????
I call garbage.
They polled 57% women and 42% men and have Hillary beating Trump among both. She also wins the independent vote. Poll is worthless.
It was 11 before conventiond
Yes
As predicted, as expected.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.